2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPassing data through Russian computers and allowing such to show = cover your tracks
Cover your tracks, create a diversion, evade US jurisdiction, maybe even hired help, lots of possibilities.
Instantaneous narrative blaming "Russia" in place everywhere immediately has all the characteristics of a created diversion.
I don't trust the FBI or Comey, he tried to frame Hillary by ignoring the fact there were ZERO classified emails, then developed instant amnesia when probed.
No, there is one suspect and we all should know who that is, the Republicans. Specifically, the dirty trickster Republicans who are long-standing associates of Trump and who now run and advise his campaign.
I've been posting this in threads about the hack. Time to give it more light with an OP.
[center]
Some History of Trump Operatives
Deja DU excerpts, many more at link: Bush vs. Gore, the 'Arkansas Project,' the USA firings, and the Swiftboat Admiral
44. Donald Trump, Roger Stone, Jack Abramoff, Gaming Gaming and Scalping the Tribes.
How is it that two consumate Republican insiders, both purported specialists in illegal
funding of campaigns, one a political dirty trickster who stays behind the scenes and
the other a felonious convict linked to the White House political office, each manage
to garner tens of millions of dollars from Indian tribes in the gaming rackets? By
working both sides at once, of course. And, how is it that one gets convicted and goes
to jail while the other keeps getting paid? Who is scalping whom for how much, who has
lost their scalp, who still has theirs, and will Donald Trump's hair survive the scandals?
With all the attention to Abramoff defrauding the Tribes, why isn't there more attention on
who else is involved in all of gaming's political machinations and influence peddling?
Who has lucrative contracts to receive a percentage of the gross from Indian casinos, and
how did they obtain it? Where is all that money going? How much ends up in the coffers of
politicos like Sen. John McCain, and why? Who else is scalping the Tribes?
And how much of the scalping goes to legal and illegal campaign contributions?
Questions to be answered.
"Roger J. Stone, Jr. is a long-time Republican dirty-tricks operative who led the mob that shut down the Miami-Dade County recount and helped make George W. Bush president in 2000. He was also a campaign strategist during the presidential campaigns of Presidents Nixon, Reagan and George Herbert Walker Bush. .............
........ Roger Stone and the Jack Abramoff mould. Making $$millions$$ gaming gaming.
A Dirty Trickster's Bush Bonanza
The man who stopped Miami recount makes gaming millions
by Wayne Barrett
April 19th, 2004 9:30 AM
http://www.villagevoice.com/news/...........
Roger Stone, the dirty-tricks hobgoblin of Republican politics, has exploited his Bush connections to become an influence-peddling force in the $13 billion Indian gaming industry. Stone's booming business in such a federally regulated enterprise makes his recent pro bono orchestration of Al Sharpton's double-edged presidential campaign an even stranger covert caper.
The longtime GOP consultant's reward for fomenting the "Brooks Brothers mob" that shut down the Miami-Dade recount in 2000 was an invitation within days of Bush's election to serve on the Department of Interior transition working grouphelping, in his own words, to staff its Bureau of Indian Affairs (BIA). Stone has since used this unannounced perch to market himself to tribes and developers from Louisiana to California, earning fat fees and contingent percentages of future casino revenue. Just two of the five deals examined by the Voice are projected to pay him at least $8 million, and perhaps as much as $13 million.
Time, The Washington Post and The New York Times have published exposés about Bush's BIA, with a February story highlighting $45 million in payments to two GOP lobbyists from four tribes since 2001. But no one has focused on Stone's profiteering, which, unlike the payments to registered lobbyists, is not reported on any public filings. ..............
What role did Stone play in financing the Contras? .............
A Prayer for Reverend Al
Let Him Buy His Soul Back from the Republicans
by Doug Ireland
www.dissidentvoice.org
February 21, 2004 - First Published in LA Weekly
http://www.dissidentvoice.org/Feb04/Ireland0221.htm
Who is Roger Stone? A slash-and-burn Republican black-bag election tamperer and consultant whose mentor was the repulsive Roy Cohn the redbaiting hatchet man for Senator Joe McCarthy. Stone first made news in the Nixon Watergate scandal, when it was revealed that the 19-year-old apprentice McCarthyite had infiltrated George McGoverns 1972 presidential campaign as part of CREEPs sabotage plan. ... Stone helped Ollie North raise money for the Nicaraguan contras, and was a close associate of the notorious Lee Atwater ...
This one, my favorite, exemplifes the lengths to which these unscrupulous operatives will go just to malign a Dem candidate. This is not democracy, it is criminal conduct.
There just is no way to make this stuff up!! This is a court pleading. Unbelievable.
First get some spy files from Israel, alter them to look like Argentine spy files, make them implicate Bush and Menem in corruption, blame Gore for the forged documents. Sound familiar. Did I mention blackmailing bribed journalists and, of course, the perennial covert Republican dirty tricksters. This genre of dirty trick came to be known as "swiftboating" when done to Kerry four years later by the same players!!
==========================
http://pacer.ca4.uscourts.gov/opinion.pdf/041901.P.pdf
Olavar (Triumph Communications International Group, Plaintiffs-Appellants, v.
Santibañes, Defendant-Appellee, and Ikon Holdings, Inc., t/a Ikon Public Affairs, Dick Morris, Roger Stone, Eileen McGann, John Does, Defendants.
Appeal from the United States District Court Decided: December 1, 2005
Triumph Communications International Group, Incorporated is a corporation that provides political consulting and public relations services and is owned and operated solely by Mattie Lolavar.
In early 2000, Miss Lolavar began discussions with defendant Dick Morris about the possibility of her working with Craig Snyder and defendant Roger Stone, who are partners in defendant IKON Holdings, Inc., another political consulting firm ... about the possibility of Triumph Communications assistance with work that IKON was doing for the government of Argentina.
These discussions lead to two contracts ... and provided that Triumph would act as a public relations consultant to "the Secretary of Intelligence of Argentina" as well as arrange various media events...
Miss Lolavar went to Argentina in August 2000 to assist de Santibañes with preparations for his testimony in Argentine congressional hearings inquiring into allegations that he and the Argentine intelligence agency, known as SIDE, were responsible for bribing various Argentine senators in exchange for political support. Morris and Stone assigned other tasks to Miss Lolavar while she was in Argentina. Among other acts, they instructed her to contact SIDE and obtain a list of journalists who accepted bribes from that organization in order to harm the credibility of those same journalists in reporting on a bribery scandal surrounding de Santibañes and President de la Rua, as well as requiring her to spread false information to the press concerning de la Ruas political opponent, Dr. Carlos Menem. The charges and counter-charges related here are from the papers in the court file, as are the other facts.
A request that occasioned controversy between Miss Lolavar and the defendants was Morris and Stones request that she serve as an intermediary in an anonymous wire transfer of funds to an official in Israel. These funds were to be paid to secure intelligence files from the Israeli government to assist de la Ruas political domestic disputes with Menem, and to imply a corrupt relationship between Menem and George W. Bush, who was then running against Albert Gore for the United States presidency. These files were to be altered by Miss Lolavar to appear to be SIDE documents.
When the defendants became concerned that this plot would be discovered and traced back to them, they ordered Miss Lolavar to orchestrate a press response to blame Vice President Gore for the dissemination of the documents, since it was known to them that the Gore campaign had been attempting to connect Menem with the Bush campaign.
PatSeg
(47,399 posts)Lots of info I haven't seen before.
L. Coyote
(51,129 posts)... "Buchanan hospitality suite" at the Dearborn, Michigan, convention hotelwith soda and hamburgers and occasional champagne"was paid for by Roger, who, in turn, said he was covering it with Trump's money." .....
Stone(s) ... sacking of the Reform Party may be his lasting legacy.
DetlefK
(16,423 posts)You are assuming that the Russians are too competent to make this mistake with the settings.
A few months ago, I read a similar speculation here on DU on the topic whether russian agents killed somebody in London with Polonium.
The counter-argument was basically that the assassins were competent enough to pull this off but they were incompetent enough to mishandle the Polonium and leave a trace of radioactive dust. And as russian agents do not fall in this tiny window between competence and incompetence, it couldn't possibly have been russian agents.
It's an extremely weak argument if it's based on speculation that a person X has juuuust the right combination of competence and incompetence to fit a pattern.
L. Coyote
(51,129 posts)I assume those who intended to leak this information would not want to get caught since it is criminal conduct.
You seem to assume they are too stupid to not get caught while smart enough to do the hack? That's glaring!
The leakers have a problem, they are criminals and subject to prosecution and jail time. They need to cover their tracks rather than convict themselves. Insert Occam's razor here. But, if they want to divide the Democratic party and create havoc for Hillary they need to leak the emails. So, simple solution is to make it seem someone else is the hacker, someone outside the reach and jurisdiction of the United States.
The leak happens just as the convention begins. Their motivation is glaring. Who is so motivated? Insert Occam's razor here too.
DetlefK
(16,423 posts)Occam's Razor is about prefering the theory with the least amount of assumptions.
The language-settings and the IP-adresses that link the hackers to Russia are fact, not assumption.
If you want to replace that speculation with another one, you have to replace facts with assumptions about facts. And as the new speculation has more assumptions than the old speculation, the old one is preferable to the new one, per Occam's Razor.
Of course the hackers could be competent enough for the hack but incompetent enough to leave traces. But that possibility by itself is meaningless for the speculation on who did it.
L. Coyote
(51,129 posts)The simplest explanation is usually the correct one. So, indeed, fewer assumption is better.
You made an assumption "language-settings and the IP-adresses that link the hackers to Russia" when it is more parsimonious to conclude a computer in Russia was involved. Maybe the hackers are not linked to Russia, albeit the computer was in Russia. That's Occam's razor at work, go with fewer assumptions.
mopinko
(70,078 posts)yet not even some low level flunky got nailed.
L. Coyote
(51,129 posts)if the statutes of limitations allowed. Trump managed to not get overly entangled in the Indian casino scandals, but he was there along with the known felons.
L. Coyote
(51,129 posts)Long article, New Yorker 2008. Trump seems to have changed his opinion about Stone, or perhaps, just uses him irrespective of his opinion about him. Stone is the opposite of Trump's description though, doing things people try not to get credited with. Perhaps better stated, Stone knows how to dissemble.
.... For nearly forty years, Stone has hovered around Republican and national politics, both near the center and at the periphery. At times, mostly during the Reagan years, he was a political consultant and lobbyist who, in conventional terms, was highly successful, working for such politicians as Bob Dole and Tom Kean. Even then, though, Stone regularly crossed the line between respectability and ignominy, and he has become better known for leading a colorful personal life than for landing big-time clients. Still, it is no coincidence that Stone materialized in the midst of the Spitzer scandaland that he had memorable cameos in the last two Presidential elections. While the Republican Party usually claims Ronald Reagan as its inspiration, Stone represents the less discussed but still vigorous legacy of Richard Nixon, whose politics reflected a curious admixture of anti-Communism, social moderation, and tactical thuggery. Stone believes that Nixonian hardball, more than sunny Reaganism, is John McCains only hope for the Presidency.
Over the years, Stones relationships with colleagues and clients have been so combustible that his value as a messenger has been compromised. Stone worked for Donald Trump as an occasional lobbyist and as an adviser when Trump considered running for President in 2000. Roger is a stone-cold loser, Trump told me. He always tries taking credit for things he never did. Like Nixon, Stone is also a great haterof, among others, the Clintons, Karl Rove, and Spitzer. So what happened at Miami Velvet one night last September, he said, amounted to a gift.
She was sitting right over there, Stone told me, pointing to a seat at the bar, as we sipped vodka .....
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)L. Coyote
(51,129 posts)Note on sourcing #DNCLeaks. We have, as usual, not revealed our sources. Anyone who claims to know who our source is has no credibility.
WikiLeaks @wikileaks
RELEASE: 19,252 emails from the US Democratic National Committee https://wikileaks.org/dnc-emails/
L. Coyote
(51,129 posts)Paul Manafort, the adviser hired by Donald Trump to add stability and institutional know-how to Trumps often scattershot presidential campaign, has long and deep reported ties to pro-Russian politicians in Ukraine.
PolitiFact, as part of an exchange of journalists sponsored by the U.S. State Department, is hosting two foreign political journalists, including a reporter from Ukraine. We asked that reporter to analyze Manaforts connections to Ukraine and its political leadership. What follows is her report. ..............
Hekate
(90,645 posts)L. Coyote
(51,129 posts)L. Coyote
(51,129 posts)Nonetheless this article does a great job of distinguishing between a lead and a hack:
.... this document dump wasnt a high-minded act of transparency. To state the obvious, only one political party has been exposed. (Selectively exposed: Many emails were culled from the abridged dump.) And its not really even the inner workings of the Democrats that have been revealed; the documents dont suggest new layers of corruption or detail any new conspiracies. Theyre something closer to the embarrassing emails that fly across every office in America ........
..........
Whats galling about the WikiLeaks dump is the way in which the organization has blurred the distinction between leaks and hacks. Leaks are an important tool of journalism and accountability. When an insider uncovers malfeasance, he brings information to the public in order to stop the wrongdoing. Thats not what happened here. The better analogy for these hacks is Watergate. To help win an election, the Russians broke into the virtual headquarters of the Democratic Party. The hackers installed the cyber-version of the bugging equipment that Nixons goons usedsitting on the DNC computers for a year, eavesdropping on everything, collecting as many scraps as possible. This is trespassing, its thievery, its a breathtaking transgression of privacy. It falls into that classic genre, the dirty trick. Yet that term feels too innocent to describe the offense. Nixons dirty tricksters didnt mindlessly expose the private data of low-level staff.
We should be appalled at the public broadcast of this minutiae. It will have a chilling effectcampaign staffers will now assume they no longer have the space to communicate honestly. This honest communicationeven if its often trivial or dumbis important for the process of arriving at sound strategy and sound ideas. ...
Consider our reaction, if an American political leader had pulled this stunt: He would be prosecuted, and drummed from political life. These are unacceptable tactics for an American; they can hardly be more tolerable when executed by a foreign power that wishes us ill. ...........