Updated Nationwide Presidential Poll Results - July 30, 2016

[brooklynite]

[link:http://www.rabaresearch.com|Raba Research

(DES MOINES) – Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton has opened a significant lead over Republican nominee Donald Trump, now leading him by 15 points, according to a new online nationwide survey conducted on Friday, July 29th by RABA Research, a bipartisan polling firm.

Among likely voters, Clinton garners 46% support to Trump’s 31%. Libertarian Gary Johnson now captures 7% of the vote, while Jill Stein sits at 2%.

A RABA Research poll conducted the day after the Republican convention showed a tighter race, with Clinton at 39% and Trump at 34%. Johnson was at 8% in that survey, while Stein found 3% support.

“After closing the gap to single digits last week, Trump’s post-convention bounce has disappeared,” said RABA Research’s John Del Cecato, a Democratic partner with the firm. “While Trump continues to struggle to consolidate support within his own party, Clinton has a sizable lead among independents, and is even peeling off a small slice of Republican voters.”

[auntpurl]

1. Oh gosh, those are good numbers.

Of course, as DSB (or is it NCTraveler) always says, this is only one data point, but it's a DAMN GOOD data point.

Thanks for posting, made my day!

[apcalc]

2. Is it a survey conducted online ?

If so , it is probably skewed to the more educated and younger population. I doubt that his supporters would participate in an online poll.

[leftofcool]

3. Yea, because I think his supporters have to be able to read

[Loki Liesmith]

4. Online polls are demographically balanced

To compensate for this

[apcalc]

5. Ok did not know that, thanks! Good to know...

[Loki Liesmith]

7. To be fair it's unclear how well this works

In the early 2000s online polls sucked. They did very well in 2012. So clearly the formulas for balancing have gotten better.

But all polling is really voodoo...

[molova]

9. Is YouGov an online poll?

?

[MariaThinks]

6. This seems intuitively correct.

[molova]

8. Wow

That's a huge margin.

[geek tragedy]

10. Is RABA a credible outfit? nt

[oberliner]

11. Link?

What is this from?