2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPPP Polling: Clinton Image Improves Following Conventions; Leads Trump by 5 pts
Slow, steady gains...
July 30, 2016
Clinton Image Improves Following Conventions; Leads Trump by 5
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/07/clinton-image-improves-following-conventions-leads-trump-by-5.html
PPP's new national poll, taken completely after both party's conventions, finds that Hillary Clinton emerged with a much more positive image than she had a month ago. Donald Trump meanwhile is just as unpopular as he was before the conventions.
Clinton's net favorability improved by 9 points over the last month. She's still not popular, with a -6 net favorability at 45/51, but it's a good deal better than the -15 spread she had at 39/54 a month ago. The gains are particularly attributable to Democrats increasing in their enthusiasm for her, going from giving her a 76/15 rating to an 83/12 one. Trump, on the other hand, is at a -22 net favorability with 36% of voters seeing him favorably to 58% with a negative one. That's barely changed at all from the 35/58 standing we found for him in late June.
Clinton leads the race with 46% to 41% for Trump, with Gary Johnson at 6% and Jill Stein at 2%. In a head to head just between Clinton and Trump, Clinton hits 50% and leads Trump 50-45. A month ago Clinton led 45-41 in the full field contest and 48-44 in the head to head so there hasn't been much change. But not much change is good news for Clinton. We've been writing for months that this race is shaping up pretty similarly both nationally and at the state level to the margins Barack Obama won by in 2012- not a huge landslide by any means, but a solid victory. The conventions have passed without any change to that big picture, and that leaves Clinton as the favorite going into the final three months.
It's also important to note that most of the remaining undecided pool is very Democratic leaning. .................
Democrats are coming out of their convention with the public having a much better view of their party (45/48 favorability) than the Republicans (38/55 favorability).....................
emulatorloo
(43,979 posts)andym
(5,441 posts)It takes time to reverse all of the negative stories over the last few years about the congressiobal investigations, and especially over the last year about the FBI and the email server. But now that is in the past, and with a successful convention behind her, things should improve.
riversedge
(69,722 posts)Cha
(295,909 posts)who Hillary really is.
So many want to smear her with lies but the truth came shining through!
Mahalo rivrers!
Michelle's, President Obama's, Bill Clinton's, all of their speeches were riveting!
DemonGoddess
(4,640 posts)Wounded Bear
(58,440 posts)using the excuse that "it will just motivate the Repub base." I'm not sure I ever agreed with that sentiment, but I think it is part of why it has been so long coming. Fact is, Obama "motivated their base" as much as anything Hillary could do. He ignited long simmering, but unacknowledged, racial feelings that had been largely suppressed. Hillary will trigger mysoginistic feelings in much the same way. Problem for the Repubs is that they can't 'segregate' women from their lives like they can racial minorities. They'll be conflicted in ways Dems will not this election. That should lead to a solid, if not spectacular win for Hillary.
GOTV!