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Tue Aug 30, 2016, 09:40 PM

The Trump campaign has a ground-game problem

As the presidential election marathon breaks into a final sprint, the Trump campaign faces a jaw-dropping gap in the ground game: Hillary Clinton currently has more than three times the number of campaign offices in critical states than does Donald Trump.

The contrast is a test for the conventional campaign model and points to the candidates’ stark differences in methods. Clinton is cleaving to the data-driven, on-the-ground machine that won two elections for Barack Obama. Trump, on the other hand, insists he does not need traditional campaign tactics to win the election, pointing to his overwhelming nomination victory achieved with a relatively small team and little spending.

Nevertheless, the ground game is poised to be critical in 2016. Undecided voters are becoming scarce, and targeted turnout may be the deciding factor on Nov. 8. That usually requires field offices with phone banks, organized volunteers and a coordinated effort to knock on doors and get people to the polls.

To pinpoint campaign operations, PBS NewsHour compiled office data from 15 key states, speaking with state and national campaign officials, cross-referencing Federal Election Commission spending reports and checking local news coverage.


http://www.pbs.org/newshour/updates/trump-campaign-has-ground-game-problem/

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Reply The Trump campaign has a ground-game problem (Original post)
RandySF Aug 2016 OP
kimbutgar Aug 2016 #1
magicnpoetry Aug 2016 #2
oberliner Aug 2016 #3
RandySF Aug 2016 #4
PJMcK Aug 2016 #6
Johnny2X2X Aug 2016 #5
Gothmog Aug 2016 #7

Response to RandySF (Original post)

Tue Aug 30, 2016, 09:48 PM

1. But he's got a free media advantage

You can't watch any news nowadays without Cheeto being mentioned. Yuck!

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Response to RandySF (Original post)

Tue Aug 30, 2016, 09:57 PM

2. This Makes Sense

 

Because he has been handed so much free media attention that he hasn't had to develop conventional strategies. But now that will be a problem for him.

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Response to RandySF (Original post)

Tue Aug 30, 2016, 10:00 PM

3. This will be the difference

 

And this is how HRC wins.

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Response to oberliner (Reply #3)

Tue Aug 30, 2016, 10:02 PM

4. It will be the difference

Between a 4 point win for Hillary and a 6 point win for her.

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Response to RandySF (Reply #4)

Tue Aug 30, 2016, 10:31 PM

6. A win is a win (n/t)

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Response to RandySF (Original post)

Tue Aug 30, 2016, 10:24 PM

5. He's relying on his party

His plan has always been to let the GOP do the heavy lifting for him on the ground. Doubt if the party will be able to keep up or have the will to.

Trump would need a clear lead to win on Election Day. I think Hillary will outperform her polls numbers by 2 points at least because of her advantages.

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Response to RandySF (Original post)

Wed Aug 31, 2016, 08:35 AM

7. A good ground game is critical

Trump could be losing 2.5% to 7% of the vote

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