Reuters Ipsos Poll uses super weird turnout model

[Cicada]

They are using a new method to predict who will actually vote, a turnout model never used before. In a letter quoted by Nate Cohn of the brilliant Upshot section of the New York Times (after Nate Silver left the Times they hired a Nate replacement, Nate Cohn) Reuters said they project a 70% turnout rate for white males and a 13% turnout rate for young voters. The all time high turnout rate for white males was 66% in 1992, and the turnout rate for those 29 and younger has been around one third or a bit higher in the past presidential races of the last few decades. So the Reuters turnout model seems to be "crazy" to quote the new Nate.

[vadermike]

1. i agree

but its still scary to see along with the IBD/tipp poll... I hope to god Clinton Campaign comes out a blazin next few days.. we cant afford to lose this thing... the commander in chief forum is next week and then we have the 1st debate a few eeks later.. i hope clinto team has a plan to manage the media and have all of their surrogates ready to go

[Cicada]

2. Reuters expects 30% of eligible Hispanics to vote; it was 48% in 2012

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

3. After this past week it will be higher

Trump should scare the shit out of any Latino after that fucking rally the other night

[AgadorSparticus]

8. Don't believe the spin. There is record numbers of Hispanics applying for citizenship

They really truly do not like him....like all POC should be. But the media has to spin it and everything else in Trump's favor. Don't believe it.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trumps-candidacy-sparking-a-surge-in-citizenship-voter-applications/2016/05/11/33808f34-177a-11e6-924d-838753295f9a_story.html

[Iliyah]

4. So they given the GOPers the edge.

There are several polls that are giving GOPers the edge, can I say T-rump.

The problem with that is that 70% which is high ain't gonna all vote for T-rump but rest assure majority of the others will vote for Clinton. Therefore, to me, this and the other recent polling that do not include, ummm, let say all phone lines (land and cell) are bogus. On line polls suck.

[Onlooker]

5. To a small extent, I wonder if these links support Reuter's contention

http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/democraticunderground.com

http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/freerepublic.com

[unc70]

6. No, totally unrelated

[molova]

7. Let me explain to everyone what you just did

You just bragged about right-wing website freerepublic having better traffic numbers than the Democratic Underground.
In a separate thread, you express "concern" that millenials will tip the elections for Trump.
And in yet another thread, you ask Hillary to "admit her mistake" regarding the emails in a press conference.

Who are you?

[FSogol]

9. LOL, your last sentnce is really unecessary.

Hey look, Kim Kardashian is a better actress than Audrey Hepburn. Just look at their twitter stats!