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Tue Sep 6, 2016, 10:39 AM

Hillary +1 in Texas & Arizona, tied in Georgia?

Texas: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/washington-post-surveymonkey-25352

Arizona: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/washington-post-surveymonkey-25351

Georgia: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/washington-post-surveymonkey-25355

Only down 2 in Mississippi?

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/washington-post-surveymonkey-25374

There are other polls in that grouping that aren't as favorable to Hillary, but overall the state polls are looking good for Hillary, even though they vary in weird ways just like national polls. The "average" view of the election is very favorable to Hillary right now.

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Reply Hillary +1 in Texas & Arizona, tied in Georgia? (Original post)
Dem2 Sep 2016 OP
SCliberal91294 Sep 2016 #1
Dem2 Sep 2016 #2
Sugarcoated Sep 2016 #7
CajunBlazer Sep 2016 #13
Botany Sep 2016 #4
tinrobot Sep 2016 #10
Demsrule86 Sep 2016 #15
La Lioness Priyanka Sep 2016 #12
duncang Sep 2016 #3
CajunBlazer Sep 2016 #9
duncang Sep 2016 #16
CanonRay Sep 2016 #5
CajunBlazer Sep 2016 #11
ffr Sep 2016 #6
CajunBlazer Sep 2016 #8
martin mike Sep 2016 #14
Dem2 Sep 2016 #17

Response to Dem2 (Original post)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 10:44 AM

1. Not good polls

They were conducted over a 25 days or so. Hard to believe, this poll has Colorado, Michigan, Wisconsin too close.

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Response to SCliberal91294 (Reply #1)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 10:45 AM

2. Lol!

You are hilarious.

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Response to Dem2 (Reply #2)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 11:49 AM

7. He's nervous

His guy is losing red states

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Response to Sugarcoated (Reply #7)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 12:04 PM

13. No, read my reply below

These are useless internet polls - And I won't take kindly to being called a troll since I am a huge Hillary supporter. I just like to deal in facts, not fantasy.

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Response to SCliberal91294 (Reply #1)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 10:49 AM

4. Texas, Arizona, and Georgia all have large populations of Hispanics

Texas almost 40%, Arizona 30%, and Georgia has 9% (32% black too)

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Response to SCliberal91294 (Reply #1)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 11:56 AM

10. Yep, Survey Monkey polls are not that good.

Let's not cheer too quickly here, we still have a lot of work to do in these states.

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Response to tinrobot (Reply #10)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 12:09 PM

15. Survey polls are not worth the paper written on. nt.

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Response to SCliberal91294 (Reply #1)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 12:02 PM

12. yes, it's really awful that the Democrat is losing by a couple of points in deeply red states

 

how can we ever survive this?

:faints on couch:

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Response to Dem2 (Original post)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 10:49 AM

3. I can only speak to a very few people I know

I live near Conroe Texas. My next door neighbor has a extended family around here. 6 families and houses total. They had been a mix of democrat and republican voters. Since the campaign has been going they have shifted over to supporting Hillary. Some are still planning on voting down ticket republican. But some have also moved from that. Some moved over because of the Cruz/dipshit row and won't vote for him. Some because of the rhetoric against latinos have moved over since it is a mixed European Mexican heritage family. I don't know or think it will turn Texas blue, but there has been a shift.

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Response to duncang (Reply #3)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 11:54 AM

9. I would suspect that most of the people living near you are college educated

Regardless, 6 families in one location are in no way representative of all of the likely voters in the state of Texas. Nice to talk about, but not significant in any way.

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Response to CajunBlazer (Reply #9)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 12:17 PM

16. A split on education

Some are blue collar with good jobs some college educated with white collar jobs. As I said it was just a small group of people I know and have met. And it was just anecdotal to the OP.

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Response to Dem2 (Original post)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 10:57 AM

5. But...but the mainstream media

Says the race is tightening??

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Response to CanonRay (Reply #5)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 12:00 PM

11. The race is tightening

Read my post below - these are useless internet polls. And before you call me a troll - consider that I am a huge Hillary supporter. However, I can't disregard facts. If you actually want facts instead of fantasy, check out Nate Silver's predictions for the election and how Hillary's lead has narrowed in all swing states: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ Then click on the individual swing states and their polls and you will see how the races in almost all of the swing states have tightened considerably.

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Response to Dem2 (Original post)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 11:47 AM

6. Come on, turn those states purple baby!!!

YES! GOTV!

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Response to Dem2 (Original post)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 11:52 AM

8. Did anyone notice these are INTERNET POLLS

From the Washington Post/Survey Monkey website:

This Washington Post-SurveyMonkey 50-state poll was conducted online August 9 - September 1, 2016 among 74,886 registered voters, including between 546 and 5,147 respondents in each state. The sample was drawn among the respondents who completed separate, user-generated polls using SurveyMonkey’s platform during this period. Results are weighted to match demographic characteristics of registered voters in each state. No margins of sampling error are calculated, as this statistic is only applicable to randomly sampled surveys.

In other words the total populations surveyed by these consisted only of those people who registered on the SurveyMonkey website. This means that the poll populations surveyed are unlikely to be accurate representations of the states' registered voters.

I would pay absolutely no attention to these polls.

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Response to Dem2 (Original post)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 12:04 PM

14. good news, if it's accurate

 

take with salt.

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Response to Dem2 (Original post)

Tue Sep 6, 2016, 09:03 PM

17. Rachel and Joy seem to find these state poll results interesting

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