2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSome here really need to get a grip.
People vacillate from JOY to TERROR here so quickly, far more quickly than the fundamentals underlying this election can possibly change.
Do yourself a favor, whatever emotion you are currently feeling about this election, examine it. Are you letting the potential consequences of HRC losing overwhelm the actual object probability she does lose? Then put that emotion away, it doesn't affect anything but you.
Throw away whatever your gut feeling is. Go to http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster and count up the states where HRC has a lead. Add up their electoral votes. Try it a few times. Randomly drop a few states from her corner Use electoral-vote.com if you need to see a graphical representation. How many times does she lose the election? Divide this by the number of runs you try.
That's the only number you need to worry about.
fun n serious
(4,451 posts)Really needed to hear this.
Go Hillary/Kaine.
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)This has literally been known for DECADES.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512409751
AgadorSparticus
(7,963 posts)They just run amuck at the slightest of provocation. It's unbelievable....
Rocknrule
(5,697 posts)but I haven't forgotten 2000 and 2004. I refuse to do anything remotely resembling tempting fate. The stakes this time are too high. And I've learned to never underestimate the Dems' ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
It ain't over till the fat orange guy gives his concession tantrum...er, speech.
Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)Between reasonable caution and pure unreasoning fear though...