PredictWise, the live market analysis on the race, has a very rosy scenario for Clinton today

[Godhumor]

In other words, the market hasn't moved much at all since deplorables or pneumonia.

So the % chance of winning the presidency is still at 74% as I write this (It fluctuated yesterday, but before the memorial it was at 75%), but of much more interest is the EC modeled results. Basically, using the percent chance of winning each state, they ran simulations on possible EV outcomes. Here is where it stood earlier today:



Now, take a look at the vertical line that represents 270 EVs and now look for red dots on either that line or to right of it. What it shows is that around 1% of electoral college scenarios end with Trump in the White House. 1%.

By contrast, the single most likely scenario is Clinton at 347 EVs which occurred 15% of the time. But take out all together, the vast, vast number of scenarios show that Clinton is going to finish somewhere between 271 and 400 EV, with the majority of scenarios being 300+.

So, even with all the hand wringing, the negative press, the non-stop attacks, Hillary's EV firewall is holding strong.

www.predictwise.com

[anamandujano]

1. It shows that most people in this country know crazy when they see it.

Even diehard Reps are mortified. Only the easily fooled and bottom feeders support him.

[DarthDem]

2. Outstanding Post and Terrific Analysis

. . . by you. And very good news. There does often seem to be a disconnect between MSM bleating and what people really care about and plan to do when they vote for president.

[Godhumor]

3. Bump n/t