2016 Postmortem

Loki Liesmith

(4,602 posts) Wed Sep 14, 2016, 12:50 PM Sep 2016

Yougov poll over weekend does not show pronounced "bad weekend effect"

H42 T40

About the same.

https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/09/14/clinton-maintains-narrow-lead-over-trump/

Still expect QPAC to be devastating for many here.

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Yougov poll over weekend does not show pronounced "bad weekend effect" (Original Post) Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 OP

Poll was conducted both before and after democrattotheend Sep 2016 #1

agree Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #2

democrattotheend

(11,605 posts)

1. Poll was conducted both before and after

Reply to Loki Liesmith (Original post)

Wed Sep 14, 2016, 12:55 PM

Sep 2016

But pollster did not notice big shift after.

In 2008, Gallup noted that they were seeing a shift in the final night of their tracking poll (which was based on 3-day average) immediately after the stupid "scandal" over Obama's pastor broke. So the fact that no such big shift was shown here is encouraging.

Loki Liesmith

(4,602 posts)

2. agree

Reply to democrattotheend (Reply #1)

Wed Sep 14, 2016, 12:58 PM

Sep 2016

But I'm more "concerned" about the QPac poll. They have a history of dodgy results, and they get bigger short term swings to R than to D, historically.

Not concerned for myself. It'll move the averages a half point, which is what I expected this week to close by. But the sturm and drang here will be deafening.

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