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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSuburban Women May Be Hillary Clinton’s Lifeline
In battleground states, Democrat needs support of suburban, college-educated women to offset Trumps appeal to working-class menhttp://www.wsj.com/articles/suburban-women-may-be-hillary-clintons-lifeline-1474317898
Well, they are hardly a "lifeline," IMO, because Hillary's substantive support is already based on a wonderful coalition that Trump can never equal. But I believe that this particular group is not being reflected in the polls as it should be. Much as I loathe ANY Bush, the fact that GHWB has indicated that he intends to vote for Hillary may be the final tipping point for those sane GOP women who have not already decided to vote for Hillary (or at least not vote at all) - no matter what they may say to anyone who asks.
Women in upscale suburban areas are the offset to the working-class white males who are streaming into the Trump camp elsewhere. In the August Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, 42% of white men with less than a college education had a positive view of Mr. Trump. Just 28% of suburban women had a positive view.
That means Mrs. Clinton has to hope that women in Montgomery County and similar areas of eastern Pennsylvania swallow their misgivings about her and provide support that balances out the vote in Trump country in the traditional coal and steel communities in western Pennsylvania. There, the Trump populist message has great resonance among workers who feel left behind by the current economy as well as the political system.
This equation is repeated in a series of battleground states, where women in suburban areas are crucial to the outcome. The suburbs around Denver in Colorado, and those in northern Virginia outside Washington, D.C., could be decisive in those two states, and in both cases the votes of suburban women are crucial to the Clinton effort. The same is true in Ohio and North Carolina, and, to some extent, in Florida.
Suburban women have in the past voted consistently Republican, and this year they are leaning heavily toward Hillary Clinton says GOP pollster Whit Ayres, who works with Sen. Marco Rubio. Says one Trump adviser flatly: Suburban women will decide this election."
That means Mrs. Clinton has to hope that women in Montgomery County and similar areas of eastern Pennsylvania swallow their misgivings about her and provide support that balances out the vote in Trump country in the traditional coal and steel communities in western Pennsylvania. There, the Trump populist message has great resonance among workers who feel left behind by the current economy as well as the political system.
This equation is repeated in a series of battleground states, where women in suburban areas are crucial to the outcome. The suburbs around Denver in Colorado, and those in northern Virginia outside Washington, D.C., could be decisive in those two states, and in both cases the votes of suburban women are crucial to the Clinton effort. The same is true in Ohio and North Carolina, and, to some extent, in Florida.
Suburban women have in the past voted consistently Republican, and this year they are leaning heavily toward Hillary Clinton says GOP pollster Whit Ayres, who works with Sen. Marco Rubio. Says one Trump adviser flatly: Suburban women will decide this election."
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Suburban Women May Be Hillary Clinton’s Lifeline (Original Post)
BlueMTexpat
Sep 2016
OP
The Dems have a true coalition, so no one group will decide the election -- every single group
pnwmom
Sep 2016
#1
Suburban women, African Americans, Asians, Latinos, college educated white men, etc., etc.
alcibiades_mystery
Sep 2016
#2
pnwmom
(108,973 posts)1. The Dems have a true coalition, so no one group will decide the election -- every single group
and every single voter is critical to Hillary's success.
BlueMTexpat
(15,366 posts)3. I agree 100 percent!
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)2. Suburban women, African Americans, Asians, Latinos, college educated white men, etc., etc.
She's gonna stomp his ass.
BlueMTexpat
(15,366 posts)4. That I truly believe ...
so the "concern" posts don't really get to me.
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)5. I call out the concern posts because I don't like abusers and liars
And that's what many of the concern trolls are.
There are, of course, many perfectly good and honest people who post their concerns. They're usually easy to distinguish from the abusers and liars.