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book_worm

(15,951 posts)
Tue Sep 20, 2016, 06:13 PM Sep 2016

Loras Poll of Illinois Senate Race Duckworth (D) 41% Kirk (R) 36%

DUBUQUE, Iowa — In the high-profile contest for the U.S. Senate in Illinois, the new Loras College Poll finds Democratic Rep. Tammy Duckworth with a five-point edge over incumbent Republican Sen. Mark Kirk. The live-caller statewide survey of a random sample of 600 likely voters was conducted Sept. 13-16.


The U.S. Senate race in Illinois is vital in the contest for control of the U.S. Senate. To take majority control of the chamber, Democrats need a net gain of four seats in the Senate if Democrat Hillary Clinton is elected president, and a net gain of five seats if Republican Donald Trump is elected.

“The Illinois Senate seat has been a high priority for the Democratic Party and its efforts to win back the Senate,” said Christopher Budzisz, Ph.D., associate professor of politics and director of the Loras College Poll. “The prospect of Democrats retaking the chamber will dim if they are not able to secure a victory against Senator Kirk.”

Candidate Preference: U.S. Senate


Tammy Duckworth 41 percent
Mark Kirk 36 percent
Unsure 22 percent

http://www.loras.edu/news/duckworth-edge-kirk-illinois-voters-sour-direction-state-loras-college-poll-finds/

An incumbent with 36% of the vote is highly vulnerable. Loras gave HRC a 13-point lead in Illinois in their poll yesterday.

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Loras Poll of Illinois Senate Race Duckworth (D) 41% Kirk (R) 36% (Original Post) book_worm Sep 2016 OP
22 percent unsure? That sounds high at this point yeoman6987 Sep 2016 #1
22% don't know or care that we have an election in weeks. ChairmanAgnostic Sep 2016 #2
Be great to have this one in our saltpoint Sep 2016 #3
Duckworth will win jcgoldie Sep 2016 #6
I like that prediction. And let's get saltpoint Sep 2016 #7
Be nice if the DNC would pay this much attention to Florida. Lochloosa Sep 2016 #4
+1 saltpoint Sep 2016 #5

ChairmanAgnostic

(28,017 posts)
2. 22% don't know or care that we have an election in weeks.
Tue Sep 20, 2016, 06:21 PM
Sep 2016

And most of them won't vote.

Likely voters follow historical trends. With bruce Rauner fucking over our state, and some ego-driver jerk Trumpeting his bankroll and future TV gig, i sense that Capt. Kirk has trouble in river city.

saltpoint

(50,986 posts)
3. Be great to have this one in our
Tue Sep 20, 2016, 06:27 PM
Sep 2016

blue column early in the evening on Nov. 8.

Hillary has long-ago roots in Illinois and I hope she is the overwhelming choice of voters. Big wins by HRC and Duckworth may help many down-ballot races across the state.

jcgoldie

(11,627 posts)
6. Duckworth will win
Tue Sep 20, 2016, 06:46 PM
Sep 2016

She's a good candidate and Kirk only slid in in 2010 when there was no presidential election and folks in Chicago stayed home.

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