2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLoras Poll of Illinois Senate Race Duckworth (D) 41% Kirk (R) 36%
DUBUQUE, Iowa In the high-profile contest for the U.S. Senate in Illinois, the new Loras College Poll finds Democratic Rep. Tammy Duckworth with a five-point edge over incumbent Republican Sen. Mark Kirk. The live-caller statewide survey of a random sample of 600 likely voters was conducted Sept. 13-16.
The U.S. Senate race in Illinois is vital in the contest for control of the U.S. Senate. To take majority control of the chamber, Democrats need a net gain of four seats in the Senate if Democrat Hillary Clinton is elected president, and a net gain of five seats if Republican Donald Trump is elected.
The Illinois Senate seat has been a high priority for the Democratic Party and its efforts to win back the Senate, said Christopher Budzisz, Ph.D., associate professor of politics and director of the Loras College Poll. The prospect of Democrats retaking the chamber will dim if they are not able to secure a victory against Senator Kirk.
Candidate Preference: U.S. Senate
Tammy Duckworth 41 percent
Mark Kirk 36 percent
Unsure 22 percent
http://www.loras.edu/news/duckworth-edge-kirk-illinois-voters-sour-direction-state-loras-college-poll-finds/
An incumbent with 36% of the vote is highly vulnerable. Loras gave HRC a 13-point lead in Illinois in their poll yesterday.
yeoman6987
(14,449 posts)ChairmanAgnostic
(28,017 posts)And most of them won't vote.
Likely voters follow historical trends. With bruce Rauner fucking over our state, and some ego-driver jerk Trumpeting his bankroll and future TV gig, i sense that Capt. Kirk has trouble in river city.
saltpoint
(50,986 posts)blue column early in the evening on Nov. 8.
Hillary has long-ago roots in Illinois and I hope she is the overwhelming choice of voters. Big wins by HRC and Duckworth may help many down-ballot races across the state.
jcgoldie
(11,627 posts)She's a good candidate and Kirk only slid in in 2010 when there was no presidential election and folks in Chicago stayed home.
saltpoint
(50,986 posts)those folks in Chicago to the polls.