2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMonmouth NH poll--Clinton +9 (47-38)---the granite firewall is holding
http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NH_092116/My prediction is that New Hampshire will be the state that puts Clinton over the top for a total of 272 or 273 electoral votes. This is good news. Without NH (or Pennsylvania) Trump has a plausible route to 265 but not to 270.
DarthDem
(5,255 posts)Shouldn't she be up by 30???? Oh no!!
Great news. If polls are news, which they now are but aren't supposed to be, really.
LisaL
(44,972 posts)DarthDem
(5,255 posts)You could even go a bit further.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)As NH is right now looking like the center of the political universe, this is huge.
MoonRiver
(36,926 posts)Johnny2X2X
(18,973 posts)NH, PA, VA, and CO, that's the firewall.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)NV polls almost always undercount Latinos/Democrats.
But, that will be icing.
I'm perfectly fine winning a close race, what matters is keeping Trump out of office.
Response to Johnny2X2X (Reply #6)
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triron
(21,984 posts)this in a couple other threads but no answer. Someone stated some result in an Ohio poll by Morning Star I believe that had hrc +4 but could not find anything about that pollster. Any other recent polls besides Ipsos?
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)OH is fertile ground for a white nationalist candidate. Lots of resentful dumbfucks.
Farmgirl1961
(1,493 posts)n/t