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geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
Wed Sep 21, 2016, 01:06 PM Sep 2016

Monmouth NH poll--Clinton +9 (47-38)---the granite firewall is holding

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NH_092116/

Among Granite State voters likely to participate in November's presidential election, 47% support Clinton and 38% back Trump. Another 10% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson, 1% support Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and 3% are currently undecided.


My prediction is that New Hampshire will be the state that puts Clinton over the top for a total of 272 or 273 electoral votes. This is good news. Without NH (or Pennsylvania) Trump has a plausible route to 265 but not to 270.

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Monmouth NH poll--Clinton +9 (47-38)---the granite firewall is holding (Original Post) geek tragedy Sep 2016 OP
Concerning! DarthDem Sep 2016 #1
9 points isn't bad. LisaL Sep 2016 #2
Yes. Yes, I Know. DarthDem Sep 2016 #5
polls are useful information. geek tragedy Sep 2016 #4
Looking good! MoonRiver Sep 2016 #3
NH, PA, VA, and CO Johnny2X2X Sep 2016 #6
Yup. NV I think we'll also win due to a better ground game there and because geek tragedy Sep 2016 #7
+ 1 JoePhilly Sep 2016 #9
Message auto-removed Name removed Sep 2016 #11
Asked triron Sep 2016 #8
All the recent polls from Ohio show Trump winning. geek tragedy Sep 2016 #10
Do the polls show any tightening in Ohio, a further spread (toward Trump) or more or less the same? Farmgirl1961 Sep 2016 #12

DarthDem

(5,255 posts)
1. Concerning!
Wed Sep 21, 2016, 01:08 PM
Sep 2016

Shouldn't she be up by 30???? Oh no!!

Great news. If polls are news, which they now are but aren't supposed to be, really.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
4. polls are useful information.
Wed Sep 21, 2016, 01:12 PM
Sep 2016

As NH is right now looking like the center of the political universe, this is huge.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
7. Yup. NV I think we'll also win due to a better ground game there and because
Wed Sep 21, 2016, 01:55 PM
Sep 2016

NV polls almost always undercount Latinos/Democrats.

But, that will be icing.

I'm perfectly fine winning a close race, what matters is keeping Trump out of office.

Response to Johnny2X2X (Reply #6)

triron

(21,984 posts)
8. Asked
Wed Sep 21, 2016, 01:55 PM
Sep 2016

this in a couple other threads but no answer. Someone stated some result in an Ohio poll by Morning Star I believe that had hrc +4 but could not find anything about that pollster. Any other recent polls besides Ipsos?

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
10. All the recent polls from Ohio show Trump winning.
Wed Sep 21, 2016, 01:57 PM
Sep 2016

OH is fertile ground for a white nationalist candidate. Lots of resentful dumbfucks.

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