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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumClinton Beats Seņor Deplorables in big data North Carolina poll by 2 . He needs it. She doesn't!
Well-educated white voters are rejecting Republican candidates in North Carolina, and it might just be enough to jeopardize the chances of Donald J. Trump to win the presidency and his party to keep the Senate.
Hillary Clinton and Mr. Trump are tied, 41 percent to 41 percent, among likely voters in a three-way race in North Carolina, according to a New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll released on Thursday. Mrs. Clinton leads by two percentage points in a head-to-head contest, 45 percent to 43 percent.
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Clinton Beats Seņor Deplorables in big data North Carolina poll by 2 . He needs it. She doesn't! (Original Post)
DemocratSinceBirth
Sep 2016
OP
TY. I am going back to bed. I need to break this bad habit of waking up to check polls.
DemocratSinceBirth
Sep 2016
#2
liberal N proud
(60,332 posts)1. Here is some context people
Well-educated white voters are rejecting Republican candidates in North Carolina, and it might just be enough to jeopardize the chances of Donald J. Trump to win the presidency and his party to keep the Senate.
Hillary Clinton and Mr. Trump are tied, 41 percent to 41 percent, among likely voters in a three-way race in North Carolina, according to a New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll released on Thursday. Mrs. Clinton leads by two percentage points in a head-to-head contest, 45 percent to 43 percent.
The presidential contest might be the least of the Republican Partys worries in this rapidly changing state. The embattled Republican governor, Pat McCrory, trails by eight points against Attorney General Roy Cooper, 50 percent to 42 percent.
And even Senator Richard Burr, who was not thought to be in great jeopardy just a few months ago, trails his Democratic challenger, Deborah Ross, by four points, 46-42. That contest is among the handful that seem likely to decide control of the Senate.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,708 posts)2. TY. I am going back to bed. I need to break this bad habit of waking up to check polls.
Loki Liesmith
(4,602 posts)3. That's hot
progressoid
(49,945 posts)4. This is in stark contrast to our estimates for Florida, where Mr. Trump has a seven-point lead among
According to our model, Mrs. Clinton is fairly well positioned among relatively likely voters. The model which is based on the two-way race in which Mrs. Clinton leads, not the three-way race gives Mrs. Clinton a two-point lead among voters with greater than a 90 percent chance of turning out.
This is in stark contrast to our estimates for Florida, where Mr. Trump has a seven-point lead among those likeliest voters.
AlbertCat
(17,505 posts)5. NC is a mess since it became "North Popelina"
But remember....on top of McCrory and his Teabgger legislature's "governing" by pet peeve pissing everybody off, NC voted FOR Obama in '08 and just barely missed doing so in '12.