2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhy Anti-Abortion Activists Are Going All in for Trump, a Man Who Not Long Ago Was Pro-Choice
By Ed Kilgore
September 21, 2016
5:30 p.m
One of the most interesting and underreported phenomena of this general election has been the lack of influence that Republican elites who oppose or at least disdain Donald Trump exercise among actual Republican voters. Despite all of the nasty attacks on the nominee by #NeverTrump pundits, all of the elected officials who are obviously taking a walk, all of the donors who are suddenly concentrating on down-ballot Republican candidates, and all of the efforts of the Clinton campaign to put out a welcome mat for defectors, theres not much evidence Trump is losing many base voters.
One important reason is that the opinion-leaders closest to the base, especially among the Christian conservatives who might be expected to look askance at this amoral philistine, are working overtime on Trumps behalf. Evangelical clergy and propagandists have most obviously entered the moguls camp, as evidenced by the recent Values Voter Summit. And a group that overlaps with the Christian right and provides a lot of the emotional energy for the conservative cause, the anti-abortion movement, is going to the mats for a nominee whose conversion to their point of view is both recent and suspect.
As Emily Crockett explains at Vox, Trump has compensated for his lack of a history with the right-to-lifers, and his unwillingness to talk much about their cause in front of swing voters, with a blunt and transactional bid for their support based on very specific policy promises and associating with their leaders.
His smartest gambit in securing pro-lifers was his commitment to choose a Supreme Court nominee to fill Antonin Scalias seat from a list pre-vetted by the Federalist Society and the Heritage Foundation. Every name is a certain or near-certain vote to reverse Roe v. Wade. Given the long, long history of Republican presidents dating all the way back to Richard Nixon betraying the cause with pro-choice SCOTUS appointments, this is arguably more convincing than all of that vague pro-life rhetoric Trump eschews. And showing that hes learned something since he stupidly called for the punishment of women who have abortions a major strategic no-no among abortion opponents Trump has also promised to rubber-stamp the rest of the movements legislative agenda, from a permanent ban on abortion funding to the latest federal and state attempts to chip away at abortion rights via pre-viability bans.
But its Trumps winning over of the more extreme anti-abortion leaders that has sealed the deal. His choice of longtime anti-abortion champion Mike Pence as a running mate was a very good start. But last weeks announcement that he convinced Marjorie Dannenfelser, president of the Susan B. Anthony List, to put together a pro-life coalition for him was even bigger. The list, originally formed in the 1990s as an anti-abortion counter to Emilys List, has become a sort of political shock unit for the overall pro-life movement: more radical and more directly engaged in electoral politics.
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http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/09/trump-protects-his-anti-abortion-flank.html
PeteSelman
(1,508 posts)It's amazing how we can lose everything we've worked son hard for over the past fifty years in one fell swoop.