Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
Sat Sep 24, 2016, 11:38 AM Sep 2016

Well... Sam Wang of Princeton and Nate Silver can't even agree on if 2016 polling is volatile

Start with Sam:
In point of fact, 2016 national race is the least volatile since the advent of modern polling, 1952-2012. Standard deviation=2.2%, super low https://t.co/PYbYgUnU6o
https://twitter.com/SamWangPhD/status/779689165747286016

And then Nate:
This is mostly wrong… 2016 polls have been more volatile than 2012, 2008, 2004. Certainly not as volatile as some past years (1992) though. https://t.co/PZkYzhxbAH
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/779697287559778304

You know an election year is weird when even analysts can't agree on whether polling is volatile or stable...

1 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Well... Sam Wang of Princeton and Nate Silver can't even agree on if 2016 polling is volatile (Original Post) Godhumor Sep 2016 OP
Me thinks Nate should take a look at the stats asiliveandbreathe Sep 2016 #1

asiliveandbreathe

(8,203 posts)
1. Me thinks Nate should take a look at the stats
Sat Sep 24, 2016, 12:34 PM
Sep 2016

from Google - thru the 20th..some of the numbers are eye poppin' - and suspect to say the least -

- AZ +5, UT +4, AR +1,MT +4, OH +1, KANSAS +12, SD 1 - NJ T +1, T FL +13..it was the KANSAS number that caught my eye and made me curious....Sooooooooooo

Encouraged - but complacent....

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Well... Sam Wang of Princ...