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2016 Postmortem

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts) Sun Sep 25, 2016, 11:35 AM Sep 2016

Loki-what do you think of this:

2 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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Loki-what do you think of this: (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2016 OP

That a single poll Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #1

Also Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #2

Loki Liesmith

(4,602 posts)

1. That a single poll

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Sun Sep 25, 2016, 12:13 PM

Sep 2016

Isn't worth shit and 2012's Gallup even less so.

Basically this is measuring only differential non-response bias. IE which camp was in a good mood that day.

Loki Liesmith

(4,602 posts)

2. Also

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Sun Sep 25, 2016, 01:12 PM

Sep 2016

Campaign knows more about likely voters than do most LV models.

(because they know who actually has voted recently)

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