CNN 49 H 44 T (LV)-- But Trump does slightly better with RV

[Fahrenthold451]

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/10/24/cnn.poll.pdf

Looked at the internals. CNN has Trump doing slightly better with registered voters compared to likely voters at 47H -43T

I'm no Nate Silver, but as far as I can remember RV always seems to be +Dem about 3%. Either this is a new trend showing D enthusiasm or this poll is backwards somehow.

I get the filters and everything, just really not used to seeing a Republican do better with RV vs LV. For example the Sept 1-4 CNN Showed Trump +2 LV but H + 3 RV. (That poll was a tough one.)

So by my reckoning I think H is at least +7 or 8 in the most recent poll because there is a sample problem with it.

[stonecutter357]

1. I'm not concerned at all.

[geek tragedy]

2. CNN has a pro-Trump house effect of about 2-3 points.

Likely voter screens can produce inconsistent results.

[Lefthacker]

3. 538 adjusted

To +6.

[MiniMe]

4. Vote doesn't count unless they get out and vote

To me, it means that the "tRump supporters" can't get them selves motivated enough to get out and vote

[sarcasmo]

5. CNN needs it to be that close for ratings. Probably a landline only poll.

[Lint Head]

6. Not "concerned."

[triron]

7. As usual they undersampled

18-34 age group it appears. Best samples were over 50. May not have been intentional but I'm betting it was.