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Thu Nov 3, 2016, 12:17 AM

An interesting read: More Evidence That Hillary Is Up Big in Florida

This article isnít just about one poll.

In fact itís about more and more evidence Iíve found that has led me to believe we might be on the verge of some major earthquakes when it comes to actual voter behavior.

Still, letís start with the crazy new Florida poll and then work are way out from thereÖ

Last night, I wrote an article about a brand new bombshell Florida poll from TargetSmart, that showed Hillary Clinton up 8, and, more shockingly, Republican early voters breaking her way 28% of the time.

Needless to say, this was an eye-popping poll that made many of us sit up and take notice (some of us more skeptically than others).

But Iíve been very curious ever since. Digging a bit more into TargetSmart, Iím quite convinced now that theyíre a highly respected operation and are focused on cutting edge work that cannot be easily dismissed simply because they have a poll that looks to be an outlier.

What makes me say that we can be confident about TargetSmartís bonafides?


-snip-

http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/11/2/1590420/-More-Evidence-That-Hillary-Is-Up-Big-in-Florida

10 replies, 1725 views

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Reply An interesting read: More Evidence That Hillary Is Up Big in Florida (Original post)
Farmgirl1961 Nov 2016 OP
Cha Nov 2016 #1
still_one Nov 2016 #2
Stallion Nov 2016 #3
Farmgirl1961 Nov 2016 #4
anamandujano Nov 2016 #5
Tom Rivers Nov 2016 #6
triron Nov 2016 #7
geek tragedy Nov 2016 #8
FrenchieCat Nov 2016 #10
Warren DeMontague Nov 2016 #9

Response to Farmgirl1961 (Original post)

Thu Nov 3, 2016, 12:19 AM

1. K&R! Thank you, Farmgirl!

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Response to Farmgirl1961 (Original post)

Thu Nov 3, 2016, 12:28 AM

2. It is really quite simple, we win Florida, Hillary wins. We also need the Senate

or the next four years will be a living nightmare

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Response to Farmgirl1961 (Original post)

Thu Nov 3, 2016, 12:28 AM

3. Worth The Read-Thanks

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Response to Farmgirl1961 (Original post)

Thu Nov 3, 2016, 12:36 AM

4. at the end the author writes...


And perhaps, even if Hillary is over performing with women and the early vote, she could still lose when Trumpís cavalry of angry white males heads to the polls on November 8th.

I know that could be seen as a bit of a downer, but what I'm wondering is -- is there some way to track % of potential Trump voters (mostly they'd fit the pattern of white republican male) over the course of the early voting in Florida? Doesn't EV end in Florida on November 5th? Wondering where "Souls to the Polls" might fit in?

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Response to Farmgirl1961 (Reply #4)

Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:25 AM

5. "Trumpís cavalry of angry white males" are angry because women have shunned them for

a very long time.

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Response to anamandujano (Reply #5)

Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:41 AM

6. most of them openly support oppresive fascism, conspiracy theories, and have poor hygiene

it should come as no surprise that they have difficulty attracting members of the opposite sex to mate with them.

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Response to Farmgirl1961 (Original post)

Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:53 AM

7. I posted the internal poll data

of the TargetSmart poll early today.

I was impressed by their internals. I agree with your assessment.

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Response to Farmgirl1961 (Original post)

Thu Nov 3, 2016, 01:55 AM

8. No one ever wins Florida 'big'

 

Obama won by a whopping 3% in 2008 and his national margin was bigger than Clinton's is.

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Response to geek tragedy (Reply #8)

Thu Nov 3, 2016, 02:22 AM

10. Obama wasn't running against

Herr Trump....

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Response to Farmgirl1961 (Original post)

Thu Nov 3, 2016, 02:13 AM

9. I wonder if the medical marijuana proposal is bringing more progressives to the polls this year?

I also figure that given the demographically significant chunk of older Jewish voters in Florida, some of whom might otherwise skew towards the conservative side of the spectrum, are no doubt put off by the strong stench of Neo-Naziism coming from the Trump Camp.

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