5 A-rated National polls just posted H+1, +2, +4, +5, +8

[Dem2]

Edit - the dipshit at 538 keypunched wrong - numbers fixed. Yes, they put in that +8 Ipsos poll that I posted yesterday.

[Buckeye_Democrat]

1. Excellent!

If the margins are "weighted" by the number of LV's, it's an average of over 4%.

[Chasing Dreams]

2. IMO all of these polls understate Hillary's vote, especially in the Hispanic community

As I said last night, look at the real turnout data from Nevada, Florida, Texas, and Arizona. My prediction is that the LANDSLIDE will happen:

Clinton 50
Asshole 42
Johnson 5
Stein 2
Others 1

Hillary 350+ EVs
52 D Senate seats
Within 15 of House majority

[kstewart33]

3. The polls should be averaged which equals a 3.6 point lead.

I've read several times in several places that the polls should be averaged for the most accurate result especially when the range is large and it is (1 to 7 points).

[regnaD kciN]

4. Uh…TWO Ipsos polls?

The +7 appears to be yesterday's version. Today's release seems to be back to +5 (although the margin is, bizarrely, shown as +4 in the chart, 44-39=5).

Drop the first Ipsos and correct the second one…still a good set of results!

[LAS14]

5. The two Ipsos polls have 2 different date ranges.

[Dem2]

6. FIXED!!!

538 has keypunch issues. Also, that Ipsos +8 poll I posted yesterday was finally just added - explains 2 Ipsos polls.

[Charles Bukowski]

7. There's still a bit of Comey residue in these polls

yet HRC leads in all of them.

Obama for the most part outperformed the polls four years ago. I suspect HRC will do the same.