2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumVery difficult to objectively call this one..
because both candidates have unusual cross-over appeal (or the opposite thereof as the case may be) and turnout is unpredictable and hard to model in the polling.
Trump is going to some of the Reagan Democrat vote. I think it comes down to whether the soccer moms, etc. who traditionally vote Republican but find Trump unacceptable actually get out and vote for Hillary or sit on their hands.

Squinch
(49,619 posts)Cha
(291,704 posts)Squinch
(49,619 posts)be a more rewarding hobby.
Nay
(12,051 posts)the propaganda. And now there are so many outlets to use, and it's so easy to just pop onto the internet, go to a dozen sites, and spread it. It's easy, fun, and they get their rocks off.
sarae
(3,284 posts)last ditch efforts?
2 more days!!
SwankyXomb
(2,030 posts)obamanut2012
(25,493 posts)randome
(34,845 posts)Not nearly enough, of course. But Clinton has got this.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Birds are territorial creatures.
The lyrics to the songbird's melodious trill go something like this:
"Stay out of my territory or I'll PECK YOUR GODDAMNED EYES OUT!"[/center][/font][hr]
JI7
(88,747 posts)Tommy_Carcetti
(42,838 posts)If Trump somehow pulls this off to our horror, he does it by managing to rally his base and lure independents. But honestly I can't see him winning that way.
JI7
(88,747 posts)Squinch
(49,619 posts)jcgoldie
(11,384 posts)Nice try isn't difficult at all.
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)and flip a blue state.
No way in fucking hell that happens.
When FL and NC are called for Hillary you can take that to the bank.
paleotn
(17,291 posts)He loses FL or NC, he's cooked. He wins both, he still loses unless by a miracle he flips MI or PA. The probability of that scenario are slim.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)and so I believe she is going to win and probably convincingly.
paleotn
(17,291 posts)But Reagan Dems don't exist anymore. Haven't since the late 80's.
Guy Whitey Corngood
(26,374 posts)demmiblue
(36,493 posts)
Squinch
(49,619 posts)brains) are really on the fence about him.
pangaia
(24,324 posts)this by 30 points is beyond my poor power to comprehend
duffyduff
(3,251 posts)There is massive crossover appeal to Clinton from disgusted Republicans, especially women.
Democat
(11,617 posts)The mods are great, but they have been much to nice to trolls lately.
lunasun
(21,646 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)St. Ronnie Rayguns the Great Destroyer of All Things Good in American would himself be considered waaaay to liberal for the present fascist republican party.
He only works as a dead and moldering prop for the reich wing to roll out on special occasions to fool the drooling idiots at election time.