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speaktruthtopower

(800 posts)
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 10:02 AM Nov 2016

Very difficult to objectively call this one..

because both candidates have unusual cross-over appeal (or the opposite thereof as the case may be) and turnout is unpredictable and hard to model in the polling.

Trump is going to some of the Reagan Democrat vote. I think it comes down to whether the soccer moms, etc. who traditionally vote Republican but find Trump unacceptable actually get out and vote for Hillary or sit on their hands.

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Very difficult to objectively call this one.. (Original Post) speaktruthtopower Nov 2016 OP
So much bullshit, so little time! Squinch Nov 2016 #1
lol.. but somehow they manage. Cha Nov 2016 #7
They do, but I always have to wonder why they do. I would think fishing or photography might Squinch Nov 2016 #10
They do it because it makes them feel good to be a part of the machine that spreads Nay Nov 2016 #36
lol, I've noticed an increase in these posts over the last week... sarae Nov 2016 #16
Their concerns and Red Hats are noted. SwankyXomb Nov 2016 #40
lolz obamanut2012 Nov 2016 #6
Has a GOP candidate ever been disowned by so many in his own party? randome Nov 2016 #9
Reagan democrats are dixiecrats and haven't voted dem in years JI7 Nov 2016 #11
I see very few Democrats crossing over to Trump. Extremely few. Tommy_Carcetti Nov 2016 #13
soccer moms ? it's not the 90s anymore JI7 Nov 2016 #15
Personally, I think it's all going to come down to the Whigs. Those guys are always hard to read. Squinch Nov 2016 #29
Wut? jcgoldie Nov 2016 #17
Very easy to call this one. Trump needs to win all toss up states upaloopa Nov 2016 #19
That's what the data shows paleotn Nov 2016 #27
Not hard for me--HRC has led virtually every poll since the conventions book_worm Nov 2016 #22
Hate to break it to you paleotn Nov 2016 #23
Cool story bra! nt Guy Whitey Corngood Nov 2016 #24
Trump has unusual cross-over appeal? demmiblue Nov 2016 #25
Yes. The soccer moms (not to mention women, latinos, people of color and people with Squinch Nov 2016 #28
How any democratic candidate could not win pangaia Nov 2016 #30
There is NO crossover appeal for Trump. duffyduff Nov 2016 #32
Can we just ban the pro-Trump trolls Democat Nov 2016 #35
Mother's little helper must be kicking in for the morning . Say wah? lunasun Nov 2016 #38
Whats a Raygun democrat? workinclasszero Nov 2016 #39
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Squinch

(50,949 posts)
10. They do, but I always have to wonder why they do. I would think fishing or photography might
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 10:09 AM
Nov 2016

be a more rewarding hobby.

Nay

(12,051 posts)
36. They do it because it makes them feel good to be a part of the machine that spreads
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 10:53 AM
Nov 2016

the propaganda. And now there are so many outlets to use, and it's so easy to just pop onto the internet, go to a dozen sites, and spread it. It's easy, fun, and they get their rocks off.

sarae

(3,284 posts)
16. lol, I've noticed an increase in these posts over the last week...
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 10:12 AM
Nov 2016

last ditch efforts?

2 more days!!

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
9. Has a GOP candidate ever been disowned by so many in his own party?
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 10:08 AM
Nov 2016

Not nearly enough, of course. But Clinton has got this.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]Birds are territorial creatures.
The lyrics to the songbird's melodious trill go something like this:
"Stay out of my territory or I'll PECK YOUR GODDAMNED EYES OUT!"
[/center][/font][hr]

Tommy_Carcetti

(43,173 posts)
13. I see very few Democrats crossing over to Trump. Extremely few.
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 10:11 AM
Nov 2016

If Trump somehow pulls this off to our horror, he does it by managing to rally his base and lure independents. But honestly I can't see him winning that way.

Squinch

(50,949 posts)
29. Personally, I think it's all going to come down to the Whigs. Those guys are always hard to read.
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 10:32 AM
Nov 2016

upaloopa

(11,417 posts)
19. Very easy to call this one. Trump needs to win all toss up states
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 10:13 AM
Nov 2016

and flip a blue state.

No way in fucking hell that happens.

When FL and NC are called for Hillary you can take that to the bank.

paleotn

(17,911 posts)
27. That's what the data shows
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 10:28 AM
Nov 2016

He loses FL or NC, he's cooked. He wins both, he still loses unless by a miracle he flips MI or PA. The probability of that scenario are slim.

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
22. Not hard for me--HRC has led virtually every poll since the conventions
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 10:18 AM
Nov 2016

and so I believe she is going to win and probably convincingly.

Squinch

(50,949 posts)
28. Yes. The soccer moms (not to mention women, latinos, people of color and people with
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 10:31 AM
Nov 2016

brains) are really on the fence about him.

 

duffyduff

(3,251 posts)
32. There is NO crossover appeal for Trump.
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 10:45 AM
Nov 2016

There is massive crossover appeal to Clinton from disgusted Republicans, especially women.

 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
39. Whats a Raygun democrat?
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 10:59 AM
Nov 2016

St. Ronnie Rayguns the Great Destroyer of All Things Good in American would himself be considered waaaay to liberal for the present fascist republican party.

He only works as a dead and moldering prop for the reich wing to roll out on special occasions to fool the drooling idiots at election time.

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