Mon Nov 7, 2016, 05:46 PM

Patrick Murphy now leading Rubio 49/48

Patrick Murphy ‏@PatrickMurphyFL
BREAKING: Brand new poll shows us taking the lead, 49%-48%! Vote tomorrow to defeat Marco Rubio. #FLSen

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58 replies	Author	Time	Post
Patrick Murphy now leading Rubio 49/48 (Original post)	misterhighwasted	Nov 2016	OP
Reliable pollster. This was expected. And, this makes for a 51-49 current prediction.	Coyotl	Nov 2016	#2
Yup. One more Senator to support President Clinton	misterhighwasted	Nov 2016	#6
"Little Marco" may be going down.	yellowcanine	Nov 2016	#3
A couple thoughts	Cosmocat	Nov 2016	#4
I hear they are counting votes in Florida.	Demsrule86	Nov 2016	#5
The DNC messed up on this one. nt	onehandle	Nov 2016	#7
Fifty state strategy works.	Iggo	Nov 2016	#18
For once, yay to tightening!	treestar	Nov 2016	#11
I'm sure my contribution put him over the top.	Baitball Blogger	Nov 2016	#14
C'mon Florida voters -- You got this!!	malchickiwick	Nov 2016	#16
I hope it is true. Nate Silver rates Survey Monkey C- though	still_one	Nov 2016	#17
I'll take it anyway!	misterhighwasted	Nov 2016	#21
so will I	still_one	Nov 2016	#23
Lol. IKR!	misterhighwasted	Nov 2016	#28
I rate Nate Silver C-	nevergiveup	Nov 2016	#33
Wouldn't that be something!	SticksnStones	Nov 2016	#19
OH be still my thumping heart	HAB911	Nov 2016	#22
Oh yea!!!	kwolf68	Nov 2016	#24
Marco is sweating now...	Fahrenthold451	Nov 2016	#26
I would love to see whinny ass Rubio defeated! n/t	RKP5637	Nov 2016	#27
If Rubio Loses.	PoorMonger	Nov 2016	#29
if we win this-- HUGE	kevink077	Nov 2016	#30
So it is written, please let it be so.	OnDoutside	Nov 2016	#31
Please let it be so	JDC	Nov 2016	#32
not a very valid poll, sorry to bubble burst	Grey Lemercier	Nov 2016	#35
Not buying that. Not tonight. It's not over till the last vote is counted	misterhighwasted	Nov 2016	#39
So let me get this straight, you thoroughly accept all the meta poll aggregators when they say	Grey Lemercier	Nov 2016	#42
At this point in the game I'll forego it all for a positive "C'mon Florida"!!	misterhighwasted	Nov 2016	#54
I will cheer too, and hope all the entire polling industry and myself are dead wrong!	Grey Lemercier	Nov 2016	#56
K&R	jg10003	Nov 2016	#63
Several polls have this race within 1%. And you're completely ignoring early voting numbers.	RAFisher	Nov 2016	#71
So, as you are taking Survey Monkey as gospel, then you must expect these outcomes	Grey Lemercier	Nov 2016	#47
Geezus. SM is hardly gospel. Much like most of the pollsters.	misterhighwasted	Nov 2016	#57
These pretzels	Bob Loblaw	Nov 2016	#37
Marco Rubio deserves to lose because he stands for NOTHING.	TrekLuver	Nov 2016	#41
EXACTLY.	MBS	Nov 2016	#51
Bye-bye rubio	Equinox Moon	Nov 2016	#43
I'll believe it when I see it	bucolic_frolic	Nov 2016	#44
oh yes PLEASE!! PLEASE!!	MBS	Nov 2016	#48
didn't the DSCC pull out already?	pstokely	Nov 2016	#50
K & R	Coyotl	Nov 2016	#52
I live here and Rubio's pretty popular.. I will be totally amazed if Murphy pulls this out!	secondwind	Nov 2016	#53
Same	Awsi Dooger	Nov 2016	#59
I think Survey Monkey is online polling	edhopper	Nov 2016	#58
YAS! Florida, YAS! This is all I want for Christmas!	Firebrand Gary	Nov 2016	#60
I'm going with a Murphy win. Polls or no polls	misterhighwasted	Nov 2016	#61
Could happen	voteearlyvoteoften	Nov 2016	#64
Schumer and DSCC dropped the ball when they bailed on Murphy	jg10003	Nov 2016	#65
C'mon give Marco his due, ...	CRH	Nov 2016	#66
Please GOTV in Florida	Stargleamer	Nov 2016	#70
Excellent!	KewlKat	Nov 2016	#72
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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 05:49 PM

Coyotl (15,262 posts)

2. Reliable pollster. This was expected. And, this makes for a 51-49 current prediction.

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Response to Coyotl (Reply #2)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 05:50 PM

misterhighwasted (9,148 posts)

6. Yup. One more Senator to support President Clinton

This would be a gift. Wow..C'mon Florida!!

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 05:50 PM

yellowcanine (35,501 posts)

3. "Little Marco" may be going down.

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 05:50 PM

Cosmocat (14,309 posts)

4. A couple thoughts

we are seeing some of these senate races bounce back a bit after the comey hit job.

Keep in mind here though, this is a race where 1/3 of the vote is in.

And, Survey Monkey is pretty all over the place.

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 05:50 PM

Demsrule86 (65,494 posts)

5. I hear they are counting votes in Florida.

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 05:53 PM

onehandle (51,122 posts)

7. The DNC messed up on this one. nt

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Response to onehandle (Reply #7)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:08 PM

Iggo (46,442 posts)

18. Fifty state strategy works.

Whatever the fuck DWS has been doing the last eight years does not work.

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 05:59 PM

treestar (81,131 posts)

11. For once, yay to tightening!

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:01 PM

Baitball Blogger (45,209 posts)

14. I'm sure my contribution put him over the top.

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:05 PM

malchickiwick (1,406 posts)

16. C'mon Florida voters -- You got this!!

Send Little Marco back to that rock from under which he crawled. Meanwhile we'll be doing the same to Heck Schmeck here in NV by sending CCM to the Senate to keep Harry's seat blue. Please Please Please!!

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:06 PM

still_one (87,263 posts)

17. I hope it is true. Nate Silver rates Survey Monkey C- though

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Response to still_one (Reply #17)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:14 PM

misterhighwasted (9,148 posts)

21. I'll take it anyway!

C'mon Florida

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Response to misterhighwasted (Reply #21)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:16 PM

still_one (87,263 posts)

23. so will I

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Response to still_one (Reply #23)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:24 PM

misterhighwasted (9,148 posts)

28. Lol. IKR!

That looks pretty darned nice right now

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Response to still_one (Reply #17)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:11 PM

nevergiveup (4,479 posts)

33. I rate Nate Silver C-

so maybe it is a wash

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:08 PM

SticksnStones (2,108 posts)

19. Wouldn't that be something!

And to be rid of Rubio to boot!

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:15 PM

HAB911 (8,217 posts)

22. OH be still my thumping heart

if only

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:17 PM

kwolf68 (7,114 posts)

24. Oh yea!!!

If the Republican hate machine takes a bunch of these guys down then our nation just may survive.

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:21 PM

Fahrenthold451 (436 posts)

26. Marco is sweating now...

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:23 PM

RKP5637 (64,863 posts)

27. I would love to see whinny ass Rubio defeated! n/t

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:28 PM

PoorMonger (844 posts)

29. If Rubio Loses.

Then I fully expect him to set a new record in the earliest 2020 presidential run announcement. As the Republicans are still not self aware of what they have done to themselves given the changing electoral picture I guess they will again ignore any meaningful policy change and recommit to 'appear' to be welcoming to Latinos by nominating Rubio.

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 06:39 PM

kevink077 (354 posts)

30. if we win this-- HUGE

Although I am preparing for a narrow loss on this one. I suspect the Hispanic surge may actually save Rubio here. Plus I don't trust this pollster. Dems win NH, NV, IL, WI, and narrow PA....Upset surprise just may come out of Missouri....

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:03 PM

OnDoutside (19,705 posts)

31. So it is written, please let it be so.

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:05 PM

JDC (9,472 posts)

32. Please let it be so

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:21 PM

Grey Lemercier (1,429 posts)

35. not a very valid poll, sorry to bubble burst

Murphy is done and dusted

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/florida-election-forecast.html

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/florida/

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Response to Grey Lemercier (Reply #35)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:38 PM

misterhighwasted (9,148 posts)

39. Not buying that. Not tonight. It's not over till the last vote is counted

C'MON FLORIDA..DO IT!!!

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Response to misterhighwasted (Reply #39)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:45 PM

Grey Lemercier (1,429 posts)

42. So let me get this straight, you thoroughly accept all the meta poll aggregators when they say

Clinton will win (as do I), but THEN, when confronted with an even higher probability of confidence, FROM THE EXACT SAME people, you dismiss it, simple because it goes against your and my wishes?

That is illogical and projection and not based in reality, and I am a Democratic party member because I am reality and science based.

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Response to Grey Lemercier (Reply #42)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:16 PM

misterhighwasted (9,148 posts)

54. At this point in the game I'll forego it all for a positive "C'mon Florida"!!

I've watched the polls for so long now.
Give me one positive one against Rubio and I can take it from there.

Murphy would be a gift. I'll be cheering him on till the end.

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Response to misterhighwasted (Reply #54)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:18 PM

Grey Lemercier (1,429 posts)

56. I will cheer too, and hope all the entire polling industry and myself are dead wrong!

GOTV!

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Response to Grey Lemercier (Reply #42)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:36 PM

jg10003 (950 posts)

63. K&R

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Response to Grey Lemercier (Reply #42)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 09:05 PM

RAFisher (466 posts)

71. Several polls have this race within 1%. And you're completely ignoring early voting numbers.

Poll aggregators don't look at early voting numbers. Why is it illogical to hope, based on early voting, that Murphy has a shot?

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Response to misterhighwasted (Reply #39)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:59 PM

Grey Lemercier (1,429 posts)

47. So, as you are taking Survey Monkey as gospel, then you must expect these outcomes

Wisconsin

Colorado

Nevada

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Response to Grey Lemercier (Reply #47)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:19 PM

misterhighwasted (9,148 posts)

57. Geezus. SM is hardly gospel. Much like most of the pollsters.

Stop raining on my hopeful little parade with detailed stats.
I don't care about them.

C'MON FLORIDA!!

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:36 PM

Bob Loblaw (1,900 posts)

37. These pretzels

are making me thirsty!

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:39 PM

TrekLuver (2,573 posts)

41. Marco Rubio deserves to lose because he stands for NOTHING.

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Response to TrekLuver (Reply #41)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:04 PM

MBS (9,688 posts)

51. EXACTLY.

Rubio is the very definition of lack of responsibility, standing for nothing and working for nothing other than his career. Please, floridians, send this empty suit back to the hole where he belongs.

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:45 PM

Equinox Moon (6,344 posts)

43. Bye-bye rubio

That means he won't be running for Pres. again either.

I remember the media report of Latino's booooing him. Big message!

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 07:53 PM

bucolic_frolic (36,043 posts)

44. I'll believe it when I see it

Our Dem stars have been hitting FL hard for this reason, wondered
why we trailed for so long

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:01 PM

MBS (9,688 posts)

48. oh yes PLEASE!! PLEASE!!

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:03 PM

pstokely (10,334 posts)

50. didn't the DSCC pull out already?

better to give directly to the candidates

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:05 PM

Coyotl (15,262 posts)

52. K & R

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:06 PM

secondwind (16,881 posts)

53. I live here and Rubio's pretty popular.. I will be totally amazed if Murphy pulls this out!

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Response to secondwind (Reply #53)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:23 PM

Awsi Dooger (14,565 posts)

59. Same

There are Rubio signs all over the place in Miami. The nearby homes that always have rightwing signs in the front yard this year are absent of Trump material but doubled up on Rubio.

I'll be astonished if this actually happens. I think Hillary needed to win Florida by 6-8 points to drag Murphy along.

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:22 PM

edhopper (30,637 posts)

58. I think Survey Monkey is online polling

not reliable.

Unfortunately, Rubio still has a 4 - 5 point lead.

Sorry.

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:25 PM

Firebrand Gary (5,044 posts)

60. YAS! Florida, YAS! This is all I want for Christmas!

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Response to Firebrand Gary (Reply #60)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:28 PM

misterhighwasted (9,148 posts)

61. I'm going with a Murphy win. Polls or no polls

Murphy for the win.

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:41 PM

voteearlyvoteoften (1,716 posts)

64. Could happen

Let's do this

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:45 PM

jg10003 (950 posts)

65. Schumer and DSCC dropped the ball when they bailed on Murphy

Huff Post: Murphy - 43%, Rubio - 48%.

The DSCC canceled $16,000,000 in advertising for Murphy.
Murphy has little name recognition, has a 4 to 1 disadvantage in TV ads, and is running against a nationally known incumbent in a very large state. If he can get within 5 points with all that against him, Imagine how he would do with $16,000,000 to spend on his campaign.

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 08:47 PM

CRH (1,553 posts)

66. C'mon give Marco his due, ...

after all, he gave us ' Trump has small hands, and therefore …'.

Course he didn't work a lick, legislate or much else, for two years while on the government dole. Just lost to Trump, small hands down.

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 09:01 PM

Stargleamer (1,841 posts)

70. Please GOTV in Florida

I know otherwise Rubio try to inflict harm on this country in 2020

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Response to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Mon Nov 7, 2016, 09:08 PM

KewlKat (5,337 posts)

72. Excellent!

hope everyone makes it to the polls.

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