538 now-cast - I like it's coloring ;)

[Dem2]

[Lithos]

2. It takes about a week for 538 to catch up

One of the faults of Nate's model - it does not handle dynamic situations.

On Edit: I think this is the base map for tomorrow. There may be a surprise or two with Ohio, Arizona and/or the the two single EV zones in NE and ME, but for the most part this is it.

[apnu]

3. Yeah but the Senate is a big worry.

Bayh is dying in IN, MO is slipping away and NC seems to have doubled down on Burr.

The upside is we're probably protecting Reid's seat, picking up seats in WI and IL and PA. Hopefully we'll get NH too. But we need one more.

[kwolf68]

4. Florida????

[apnu]

6. I have no idea what's going on in Florida

Rubio was running away with it, but a Dem surge is coming on strong. It all depends on Hillary's performance and if her coat tails are long enough to overcome Rubio's advantages there.

Because of that volatility, I left FL off the list.

But if we pick up that Senate seat, stick a fork in the GOP, its OVER!

[GWC58]

8. I'm guessing the "good"'folks in

North Carolina liked when Burr said he'll fight any Hillary SC appt. NC must like having two worthless Senators. As for Indiana? "Two Democrat senators? Hell no! We're Indiana!!" Some of these red states I just don't understand. Ron Johnson in WI should have NO chance to win! He is worthless!!

[vadermike]

5. Rubio

May come up short Murphy might be closing in on him Kander actually looks like he may pull it out I think we get to 50 plus 1 more possibly

[sunweaver]

7. It would be nice if you could send Rubio, Cruz, and Mitch McConnell all packing.

A pipe dream, I know, but worth asking the genii for this one!

[GWC58]

9. Didn't mean to imply

WI is a red state.🙄

[sunweaver]

11. I know -

I was just having a moment of wishful dreaming!