Tue Nov 29, 2016, 01:15 AM
Quixote1818 (27,037 posts)
With unemployment under 5% Trump is starting from a very rough position for him
Chances are unemployment will be higher during the next couple of elections especially since a recession is anticipated while he is in office. Recessions are bad news but if Hillary had been in she would have been blamed and we might have lost more house and senate seats. With Trump in office Democrats could do quite well in 2018 and 2020 depending on the timing of any pending recession. http://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/2016-11-10/5-reasons-donald-trumps-presidency-will-include-a-recession
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17 replies, 1991 views
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Author | Time | Post |
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Quixote1818 | Nov 2016 | OP |
putitinD | Nov 2016 | #1 | |
davidn3600 | Nov 2016 | #6 | |
Kilgore | Nov 2016 | #7 | |
TDBroke | Nov 2016 | #8 | |
GummyBearz | Nov 2016 | #9 | |
TDBroke | Nov 2016 | #10 | |
GummyBearz | Nov 2016 | #12 | |
okieinpain | Nov 2016 | #16 | |
Farmgirl1961 | Nov 2016 | #2 | |
JI7 | Nov 2016 | #3 | |
NewJeffCT | Nov 2016 | #11 | |
Stargleamer | Nov 2016 | #4 | |
Historic NY | Nov 2016 | #5 | |
GummyBearz | Nov 2016 | #13 | |
Historic NY | Nov 2016 | #14 | |
RonniePudding | Nov 2016 | #15 | |
uponit7771 | Nov 2016 | #17 |
Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 01:17 AM
putitinD (1,551 posts)
1. Trump says the real number is over 50% ......LOL
Response to putitinD (Reply #1)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 03:02 AM
davidn3600 (6,342 posts)
6. The are going on "workforce participation" numbers
Our workforce participation is right now at 62.8%. And that actually is the lowest percentage of population working since the 70s. So they aren't totally wrong about that aspect of it.
A big problem is we have so much of our population underemployed. We got lots of college grads bartending and working cashiers. We got people who can't find full-time jobs. I know this one guy who works 3 part-time jobs, works 60 hours a week....gets no benefits. None. He's paying a small fortune for Obamacare. That guy right there I'm talking about....who do you think he voted for? |
Response to davidn3600 (Reply #6)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 10:27 AM
Kilgore (1,733 posts)
7. Bravo!!
Great point!
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Response to davidn3600 (Reply #6)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 10:33 AM
TDBroke (25 posts)
8. I'm an economics professor
and this is what I said in another thread. It mimics your point. The guy was talking about the great unemployment numbers:
This isn't totally true. Our labor participation rate is really low. It basically means people have stopped looking for jobs. I think this is the frustration of the rust belt voter. We need to figure out a way to get them to feel like they haven't been screwed over for years. Because apparently they do. |
Response to TDBroke (Reply #8)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 11:38 AM
GummyBearz (2,931 posts)
9. Posts like this will get ignored
I tried saying the same thing years ago, but most here don't want to hear it. It is party over policy more often than not, and if you have the slightest criticism when your party is in the whitehouse.... well, get used to the *close eyes, cover ears, repeat "i cant hear you"* routine
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Response to GummyBearz (Reply #9)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 11:45 AM
TDBroke (25 posts)
10. We've seen what happens
It's when we ignore the facts that we lose things like The House, The Senate and The Presidency. We can ignore it at our own peril if we want to.
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Response to TDBroke (Reply #10)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 11:52 AM
GummyBearz (2,931 posts)
12. I agree completely
But based on the tantrums thrown here we are doomed to repeat history... "bernie cost us the election", "Jill stein cost us the election", "stupid white males cost us the election"..... every excuse imaginable but no introspection.
There were so many threads in the primaries about how bernie was beating trump by a larger margin, how bernie excited people more, how republicans hate hillary so much they will turn out just to vote against her. Eyes were closed, ears were shut, mind was numb. Best bet now is winning the lottery and moving |
Response to TDBroke (Reply #8)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 03:04 PM
okieinpain (9,396 posts)
16. yeah so you vote for the people that cause the problem
I can go back all the way to the late eighties and remember those same white dudes telling me we don't need unions no more because all of that stuff is covered by government laws.
i'm really leary of putting a lot of effort into the so-called rust belt working folks vote, I think what they really want is to "make america great again". |
Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 01:20 AM
Farmgirl1961 (1,456 posts)
2. I'm sure that by the time he's done being President
it will be 50%
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Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 01:23 AM
JI7 (86,916 posts)
3. what i see happening with him is scapegoating some minority group
to blame for his disasters.
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Response to JI7 (Reply #3)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 11:48 AM
NewJeffCT (56,752 posts)
11. he will blame everybody but himself
for each disaster that he inflicts on the American people and the world.
If they repeal Obamacare and private insurance companies raise rates by 40% and college students get kicked off of a parent's health plan and there is suddenly a new lifetime limit on coverage, they'll do their best to blame it all on Obamacare and Democrats. |
Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 02:04 AM
Stargleamer (1,751 posts)
4. No doubt there'll be a recession during his term
but will it be in his first term or (yikes!!) a 2nd term?? It will rival the last one I'm afraid.
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Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 02:49 AM
Historic NY (35,763 posts)
5. There are about 5000 jobs in my NY county going unfilled.....
either because no one wants them, or they are either under or over qualified for them. Were at 4.6% unemployment here.
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Response to Historic NY (Reply #5)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 11:56 AM
GummyBearz (2,931 posts)
13. Are these all
Are these all median income jobs with health benefits and retirement plans? Or are there just a lot more wal-marts than usual in your area?
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Response to GummyBearz (Reply #13)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 12:23 PM
Historic NY (35,763 posts)
14. From health care type to warehouse jobs, etc
https://www.labor.ny.gov/jobs/regional.shtm
http://www.orangecountygov.com/eta https://regionalhelpwanted.com/hudson-valley-jobs/ http://www.orangecountygov.com/filestorage/124/1038/Fall_2016_Job_Fair_Poster.pdf http://www.co.orange.ny.us/content/124/1360/1556/default.aspx http://www.co.orange.ny.us/content/124/1360/1454/default.aspx I imagine many of the firms that are hiring professionally do offer benefits. The civil service positions do. My niece works in one of the medical centers and they even hire "travelers" nursing staff that only works for short periods of time. Just a sampling of whats around my county, the newspaper has many ads. We have many huge warehouses going in for medical supplies, a NYC brewery is shifting operations here, Angry Orchards is expanding, many small brewery, wineries and cider & liquor distillers expanding, lots of retail jobs as the super mega outlet morass expands even more. I even saw the farmers advertising for migrant workers this year. The county is getting back into full swing as a hops producer. |
Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 12:34 PM
RonniePudding (889 posts)
15. Great point.
And great thread. It provided me with two virulently anti-Obama posters for my iggy list.
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Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)
Tue Nov 29, 2016, 03:20 PM
uponit7771 (86,905 posts)
17. They will make up crap, the MSM will repeat their made up crap and the UE in 3yrs will be 2.1%
... unless the DNC does shock conversation on the matter
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