HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » 2016 Postmortem (Forum) » With unemployment under 5...

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 01:15 AM

With unemployment under 5% Trump is starting from a very rough position for him

Chances are unemployment will be higher during the next couple of elections especially since a recession is anticipated while he is in office. Recessions are bad news but if Hillary had been in she would have been blamed and we might have lost more house and senate seats. With Trump in office Democrats could do quite well in 2018 and 2020 depending on the timing of any pending recession. http://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/2016-11-10/5-reasons-donald-trumps-presidency-will-include-a-recession

17 replies, 1991 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 17 replies Author Time Post
Reply With unemployment under 5% Trump is starting from a very rough position for him (Original post)
Quixote1818 Nov 2016 OP
putitinD Nov 2016 #1
davidn3600 Nov 2016 #6
Kilgore Nov 2016 #7
TDBroke Nov 2016 #8
GummyBearz Nov 2016 #9
TDBroke Nov 2016 #10
GummyBearz Nov 2016 #12
okieinpain Nov 2016 #16
Farmgirl1961 Nov 2016 #2
JI7 Nov 2016 #3
NewJeffCT Nov 2016 #11
Stargleamer Nov 2016 #4
Historic NY Nov 2016 #5
GummyBearz Nov 2016 #13
Historic NY Nov 2016 #14
RonniePudding Nov 2016 #15
uponit7771 Nov 2016 #17

Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 01:17 AM

1. Trump says the real number is over 50% ......LOL

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to putitinD (Reply #1)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 03:02 AM

6. The are going on "workforce participation" numbers

 

Our workforce participation is right now at 62.8%. And that actually is the lowest percentage of population working since the 70s. So they aren't totally wrong about that aspect of it.

A big problem is we have so much of our population underemployed. We got lots of college grads bartending and working cashiers. We got people who can't find full-time jobs. I know this one guy who works 3 part-time jobs, works 60 hours a week....gets no benefits. None. He's paying a small fortune for Obamacare.

That guy right there I'm talking about....who do you think he voted for?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to davidn3600 (Reply #6)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 10:27 AM

7. Bravo!!

Great point!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to davidn3600 (Reply #6)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 10:33 AM

8. I'm an economics professor

 

and this is what I said in another thread. It mimics your point. The guy was talking about the great unemployment numbers:

This isn't totally true. Our labor participation rate is really low. It basically means people have stopped looking for jobs. I think this is the frustration of the rust belt voter. We need to figure out a way to get them to feel like they haven't been screwed over for years. Because apparently they do.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to TDBroke (Reply #8)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 11:38 AM

9. Posts like this will get ignored

 

I tried saying the same thing years ago, but most here don't want to hear it. It is party over policy more often than not, and if you have the slightest criticism when your party is in the whitehouse.... well, get used to the *close eyes, cover ears, repeat "i cant hear you"* routine

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to GummyBearz (Reply #9)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 11:45 AM

10. We've seen what happens

 

It's when we ignore the facts that we lose things like The House, The Senate and The Presidency. We can ignore it at our own peril if we want to.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to TDBroke (Reply #10)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 11:52 AM

12. I agree completely

 

But based on the tantrums thrown here we are doomed to repeat history... "bernie cost us the election", "Jill stein cost us the election", "stupid white males cost us the election"..... every excuse imaginable but no introspection.

There were so many threads in the primaries about how bernie was beating trump by a larger margin, how bernie excited people more, how republicans hate hillary so much they will turn out just to vote against her. Eyes were closed, ears were shut, mind was numb. Best bet now is winning the lottery and moving

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to TDBroke (Reply #8)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 03:04 PM

16. yeah so you vote for the people that cause the problem

I can go back all the way to the late eighties and remember those same white dudes telling me we don't need unions no more because all of that stuff is covered by government laws.

i'm really leary of putting a lot of effort into the so-called rust belt working folks vote, I think what they really want is to "make america great again".

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 01:20 AM

2. I'm sure that by the time he's done being President

it will be 50%

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 01:23 AM

3. what i see happening with him is scapegoating some minority group

to blame for his disasters.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to JI7 (Reply #3)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 11:48 AM

11. he will blame everybody but himself

for each disaster that he inflicts on the American people and the world.

If they repeal Obamacare and private insurance companies raise rates by 40% and college students get kicked off of a parent's health plan and there is suddenly a new lifetime limit on coverage, they'll do their best to blame it all on Obamacare and Democrats.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 02:04 AM

4. No doubt there'll be a recession during his term

but will it be in his first term or (yikes!!) a 2nd term?? It will rival the last one I'm afraid.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 02:49 AM

5. There are about 5000 jobs in my NY county going unfilled.....

either because no one wants them, or they are either under or over qualified for them. Were at 4.6% unemployment here.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Historic NY (Reply #5)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 11:56 AM

13. Are these all

 

Are these all median income jobs with health benefits and retirement plans? Or are there just a lot more wal-marts than usual in your area?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to GummyBearz (Reply #13)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 12:23 PM

14. From health care type to warehouse jobs, etc

https://www.labor.ny.gov/jobs/regional.shtm

http://www.orangecountygov.com/eta

https://regionalhelpwanted.com/hudson-valley-jobs/

http://www.orangecountygov.com/filestorage/124/1038/Fall_2016_Job_Fair_Poster.pdf

http://www.co.orange.ny.us/content/124/1360/1556/default.aspx

http://www.co.orange.ny.us/content/124/1360/1454/default.aspx

I imagine many of the firms that are hiring professionally do offer benefits. The civil service positions do. My niece works in one of the medical centers and they even hire "travelers" nursing staff that only works for short periods of time.

Just a sampling of whats around my county, the newspaper has many ads. We have many huge warehouses going in for medical supplies, a NYC brewery is shifting operations here, Angry Orchards is expanding, many small brewery, wineries and cider & liquor distillers expanding, lots of retail jobs as the super mega outlet morass expands even more. I even saw the farmers advertising for migrant workers this year. The county is getting back into full swing as a hops producer.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 12:34 PM

15. Great point.

 

And great thread. It provided me with two virulently anti-Obama posters for my iggy list.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Quixote1818 (Original post)

Tue Nov 29, 2016, 03:20 PM

17. They will make up crap, the MSM will repeat their made up crap and the UE in 3yrs will be 2.1%

... unless the DNC does shock conversation on the matter

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread