Why Gingrich cant win a national election.

[DCBob]

From TPM..

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich scored a huge victory in the South Carolina Republican primary this weekend. He performed well in the debates and data suggests that drove his rise in the polls — his numbers picked up after he revved up the partisan crowd and Romney faded into the background. And then he won the actual vote by nearly thirteen points.

That’s all well and good. Republican voters are certainly happy with the fire that Gingrich is providing, as the one common thread that GOP voters share this cycle is a desire to see President Obama run out of office. But if that is their goal, then Newt’s surge doesn’t make much political sense. See the chart below.



more: http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/01/the-chart-democrats-dont-want-gop-voters-to-see.php?ref=fpa

Gingrich’s favorability among general election voters — the metric that many pollsters argue is the key to understanding how the public feels about a candidate — is not high. It certainly improved when Newt surged nationally in early December, gaining more media attention as Republicans and GOP-leaning independents started to feel better about him. But since he was crushed by negative ads in Iowa, leading to a fourth place finish there and in New Hampshire, Newt’s favorability numbers have again plunged — his unfavorability score hit 58 in a CNN poll, 56 in a Fox News survey, and 60 in Public Policy Polling (D) data.

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His positives have never got close to his negatives and they are about as far apart as ever right now. This is why the old guard GOPer establishment are freaking out.

[Angry Dragon]

1. Just sit back and let the republicans dig their own holes

[indivisibleman]

2. It would be most fun to watch Newt give his concession speech.

Especially after getting pulverized by Obama.


"I did not ask for an open marriage with that woman." -Newt Gingrich

[mahina]

3. because he's a scumbag?

because people know he's a scumbag.

[DCBob]

4. Yes, that about sums it up in a few words.

[bigdarryl]

5. Remember Bush was an idiot and couldn't possibly beat Gore and what happened

They STOLE the damn election for Bush with the help of Jed and the Supreme Court so he can win

[DCBob]

6. Yes, but I think Bush's unfavorables were nowhere near as bad as Gingrinch's..

prior to the elections. Its hard to imagine how he can overcome those numbers.

[Mopar151]

7. They might do it for Mitt

But never for Newt, cuz Newt would find some way to fuck it up.

[mahina]

9. I keep reminding people of this.

Also without the Senate and the House, Obama can't do much. Let me rephrase that...if we bring him the House and the Senate, I think we will see the change we believed in. In a big way.

aloha

[Mosaic]

8. Actually he can't win

Because of his terrible record as Mitt was accurate in attacking him in the debate tonight. He is also Catholic, which means the Protestants will stay home if he is the nom. Latinos won't vote for him for his awful remarks about the Spanish language. Only white low information voters might vote for him. Overall there is no chance he can beat Obama with his popularity still largely intact. Obama is actually a strong leader, Libya and Bin Laden will always be seen as incredible things he did as an American warrior, even by cons. So I have little doubt he'll win. My only wish is he will listen to Occupy and move this country to the left once and for all.

[mahina]

10. Unless Big Money dumps it on Obama in the form of hate advertising,

which we had better be ready for.

They are nothing if not predictable.