Walker projected winner per Rachel Maddow. SHITTTTTTTTTT!!!

[babylonsister]

Gawd.

I hope that's wrong, but money talks, I guess.

[calimary]

1. Yeah. I just saw that.

Oh Dear God.

[rurallib]

2. fuck!

[sakabatou]

3. AUGH!

[Little Star]

4. oh my fuckin gawd, NO!!!

[rainy]

5. Bull shit you mean. Why are we still voting in black box machines?

[shcrane71]

6. I really don't believe it.

Our country is totally screwed.

[riverwalker]

7. only 22% in

how can they call it??

[babylonsister]

9. It's done all the time; per Ed, 'proverbial fight isn't over yet'. :( nt

[valerief]

8. So disgusting. So disheartening. So EVIL. nt

[win_in_06]

11. So predictable

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

10. How is this possible if the votes haven't been counted and there are people in line?

[Drunken Irishman]

13. Exit polls...

Unless there are 20,000-50,000 people still in line waiting to vote, which is unlikely, exit polls pretty much point to a Walker victory. NBC wouldn't call this unless they knew the vote total would be impossible to overcome.

[babylonsister]

15. Yup. nt

[FBaggins]

16. Nope - early returns compared to prior years.

If we're underperforming 2010 in most counties and 2010 was a 5-point loss... it becomes an easy call.

[babylonsister]

17. OK, and thanks. nt

[Drunken Irishman]

18. That too...

It's a mix, really. Exit poll data, historical trends, voting turnout and probably raw vote total that goes into making a call.

[ShadowLiberal]

19. But we aren't underperforming

Look at the chart at Daily Kos constantly being updated of current votes counted and how well we/Walker did in 2010, we're generally up from last time in votes overall.

Also, I'm sorry but unless the votes counted get a LOT closer these results just scream fraud to me (with Walker up almost 20 points with over 30% of the vote counted, that sounds as believable as Ahmadinejad's 75 to 25 victory in Iran's last election).

[FBaggins]

21. I'm sorry... but we are.

Here's a much clearer link. In this graph, we are outperforming in any county shown below and to the left of the diagonal line. I estimate that about 80% of the counties are on or above the line.

We need the average dot to be 5% below that line and right now there isn't a single county where we're doing that well. The best is about 2% better.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/wisconsin-recall-results#graph

Walker up almost 20 points with over 30% of the vote counted, that sounds as believable as Ahmadinejad's 75 to 25 victory in Iran's last election).

You have to understand that this is one of those states where we win big in a handful of counties and the Republicans win med-large in scores of much smaller counties - and most of their precincts report earlier. With Milwaukee still out, it's an artificially large margin right now.

I'd say it's a very low double-digit loss... but nothing like 20%.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

22. Ordinarily I would agree with you, but exit polls have not been consistent, and in fact were

apparently way off tonight.

[Drunken Irishman]

23. The problem is, it appears exit polls overestimated Barrett's support.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

24. Right. Hence, they were way off and can't be trusted, which makes me afraid of the Obama numbers.

If the exit polls show that Obama beats R-Money by 14%, how can we be certain that that number is correct if exit polls have been off?

[BamaFanLee]

12. It is NOT over!

Still too many votes not reported yet.

[lookingfortruth]

14. only 22%-25% is in and Maddow is already calling for it! The Media needs to stop making these

calls before the other networks. This is going to be Flordia 2000 all over.

[a kennedy]

20. I'm just sick.....