Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
Wed Jul 18, 2012, 10:49 PM Jul 2012

Obama's Intrade # is highest its been since the end of May...

I'm guessing the Bain attacks have shifted it, along with the uptick on Wall Street today. We'll see if it continues the next month or so. Once we get to the end of August, if Romney hasn't overtaken Obama in the polls (and I guess on Intrade), I'm not so sure where he makes his move.

9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Obama's Intrade # is highest its been since the end of May... (Original Post) Drunken Irishman Jul 2012 OP
Kind of strange given how Romney is surging in all the polls woolldog Jul 2012 #1
No polls show Romney surging... Drunken Irishman Jul 2012 #2
So he actually went DOWN in that CBS poll. Boy Howdy you wouldn't know THAT annabanana Jul 2012 #5
You certainly wouldn't leftynyc Jul 2012 #6
Now why would you say something like that without cites? Sheepshank Jul 2012 #7
Aw c'mon, woolldog Jul 2012 #9
K&R SunSeeker Jul 2012 #3
just noticed that myself Douglas Carpenter Jul 2012 #4
That is so good to hear. The President's poll numbers are getting trashed out there in the real jillan Jul 2012 #8
 

woolldog

(8,791 posts)
1. Kind of strange given how Romney is surging in all the polls
Thu Jul 19, 2012, 03:34 AM
Jul 2012

I've seen recently.

Intrade is great but it's not infallible. Remember the Supreme Court striking the mandate in the ACA was trading at 73% or so just before the ruling was released. We all know how that turned out.

 

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
2. No polls show Romney surging...
Thu Jul 19, 2012, 04:07 AM
Jul 2012

Even the CBS poll that shows him up 1 had him up 3 last go around.

As for the ACA, that was not based on anything but gut. No one knew how the Court would rule because it was a nine-person decision - not an election where there are polls and other events to cement results. Apples & oranges, really.

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
6. You certainly wouldn't
Thu Jul 19, 2012, 07:38 AM
Jul 2012

I haven't looked it up....was Romney up by more than 1 in the prior poll?

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
7. Now why would you say something like that without cites?
Thu Jul 19, 2012, 10:47 AM
Jul 2012

oh wait...this post is from woolldog. Pretty much says it all.

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»Obama's Intrade # is high...