CBS poll - Obama at 36% favorability? WTF?

[democrat_patriot]

How do Dems get blamed for Republican obstruction?

Republicans are taking the Dems stance from last summer - and it's good?

Is this real?

[bigdarryl]

1. link please!!!!

[MgtPA]

2. Morning Joe, a few minutes ago...

[democrat_patriot]

3. What MgtPA said

A chart on Morning Joe (CBS/New York Times?)

[Kalidurga]

4. That is way off according to this

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/obama_favorableunfavorable-643.html. This is the first time I have seen a more favorable than unfavorable rating.

[brush]

5. 36%?

I'm pretty sure they have that reversed. I just saw a likability poll on another network yesterday that had the President as 70% to 30% more likable than Romney.

[JaneQPublic]

6. Here's a collection of all favorability ratings:

http://pollingreport.com/obama_fav.htm

[unc70]

13. Notice possible effect of. "haven't" on results

On a quick glance at your link. It looks like mentioning "haven't enough information" or similar options shifts the unfavorables higher. Compare different poll questions at roughly the same time. Wonder if that is true in general.

[qazplm]

7. obviously an outlier

and would explain why they found Romney ahead, there is no reason to believe anything has happened to cause a 10+ decrease in his favorability ratings.

[WI_DEM]

8. that was stunning, I checked CBS site and yes it's 36/48 fav

I've never seen it that low. I'd like to see the CBS demos.

[GoCubsGo]

9. Wanna bet it was an Internet poll?

[WI_DEM]

11. No it wasn't. It does say it was both land line and cell phones

but I'd like to see what the partisan divide was, etc.

[Liberalynn]

10. Hoping CBS Polls are Crap

Yeah I question this CBS poll because they had Romney up by several points in handling the economy. Where I thought Obama was ahead on this because of all the questions about Romey's outsourcing at Bain, his not releasing his tax returns, and the fact that the majority don't blame Obama but are still blaming Bush for the economy.

I heard about this poll on Current during Bill Press.

I am hoping CBS is full of bullcrap. If not those people answering are complete morons.


I am trying not to let the polls worry me at this point. I think they are mostly full of crap.

[WI_DEM]

12. but Obama is president and the job market is crap

so of course he is going to get some of the blame.

[MiniMe]

14. How hard did Joe Scar have to search to find one that was as bad as that one?

quoting a CBS poll on NBC. Poor taste Joe

[Igel]

15. Seems low.

Probably an outlier.

After all, they go for calculated margin of error that means something like "if we ran this poll as we did 1000 times, we'd expect 950 or so to be within the margins of error that we publish." If they're assumptions are wrong in adjusting their data, if their sample was skewed, then the resulting number is just wrong. If that's the case, it'll be contrasted with lots of other polls giving other results or with the same company's polling next time 'round. Flukes aren't just flatworms.

Obama's favorability is usually in the 43-45% range, with some polls consistently a point or two lower and some 3-4 points higher.