2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumRW "WeAskAmerica" Ohio - Obama way up. More Republicans are moving toward the President.
Ohio has been ground zero for the President's campaign. Its where he is running ads non stop on Bain and Romney's outsourcing.
We Ask America (read Jenmito's thread about them here) a pollster based in IL that is " is a partisan Republican pollster and an arm of the pro-business Illinois Manufacturer's Association" is showing that Ohio is moving for the President 48 to 40.
But here is the big news:
http://weaskamerica.com/2012/07/27/oh-bama/
What pops out immediately is the high percentage of self-described Republicans who say they will vote for Barack Obama over Mitt Romney. An outlier? Perhaps. But we went back into the field last night to test it again. The results: almost identical. Hmmm. We going to keep an eye on that.
Since Independents are leaning toward Romney, if the wayward GOP electorate come back home to roost, this will tighten up considerably and quickly. And a rumored choice of Ohio Senator Rob Portman as Romneys VP running mate could reverse what were seeing today.
Then again, maybe those GOP voters leaning toward Obama are the result of the President working Ohio like Rocky Balboa on a side of beef breaking a few political ribs while hes at it.
And those take a long time to heal.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)demwing
(16,916 posts)cliffordu
(30,994 posts)Tarheel_Dem
(31,222 posts)cheezmaka
(737 posts)If Obama gets Ohio and Florida it's A WRAP...
adigal
(7,581 posts)Not if Repubs are going Obama. One of those must be wrong.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)doesnt really make sense.
that sticks out like a sore thumb ...
grantcart
(53,061 posts)First it is still a relatively small number.
Second Ohio is ground zero in the outsourcing wars and it is here that ads on Bain and Swiss bank accounts are going to have there strongest resonance.
Beyond that lies the question why would WeAskAmerica release a poll that appears to hurt there guy.
According to Jenimitos' article WeAskAmerica is a supported by a regional manufacturer's association.
If you were a small manufacturer under seige you c are a lot less about marginal tax rates than who is going to help you compete, the guy that helped Detroit get back on its feet or the guy that wants to take apart government.