2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDrew Westen: Obama’s three big mistakes
About the author: Drew Westen is a professor of psychology and psychiatry at Emory University and the author of The Political Brain: The Role of Emotion in Deciding the Fate of the Nation. He is the founder of Westen Strategies, a consulting firm.
What are those three mistakes?
The second mistake was squandering the goodwill that Americans felt toward the new president and their anxiety about an economy hemorrhaging three-quarters of a million jobs a month. That combination gave Obama, at the beginning of his term, a power to shape public policy that no one since Franklin Roosevelt had held. . But instead of designing a stimulus that reflected the thinking of the countrys best economic minds, he cut their recommended numbers by a third and turned another third into inert tax cuts designed to appease Republican legislators whose primary aim was to defeat him. He stimulated the economy but just enough to leave the results open to interpretation, rendering questionable what should have been an uncontested success.
Obama compounded the problem a year into his presidency, when corporate profits were on the rise while job creation wasnt. The Senate was considering a jobs program much like one the House had passed. But Obama refused to throw his support behind it. To do so, he would have had to articulate a vision in which government sets the conditions for the private sector to create prosperity and jobs, and steps in when the private sector cant or when it works against the interests of ordinary Americans. Its a vision in which leadership means knowing when to step up and when to step back, not simply passively riding the waves of market failures, business cycles and bubbles the vision that unites Herbert Hoover, George W. Bush and Romney.
But Obama chose neither to offer that vision nor to take action to put Americans back to work directly, rebuilding our broken roads, our bridges, our crumbling schools. The stimulus was a good start, but its flaws were already apparent. Instead, he began using Republican language about how the government, like ordinary families, needs to tighten its belt, as if that were a solution for people whose belts couldnt get any tighter. Government has to start living within its means, just like families do, he said in a weekly Web and radio address. Words like these not only undercut the vision behind the stimulus the whole point of which was to spark a sputtering economy with deficit spending but they came as bankers were loosening their belts, making average Americans angrier.
Full: http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/if-obama-loses-the-election-heres-why/2012/07/27/gJQAkjMREX_singlePage.html
russspeakeasy
(6,539 posts)Obviously the author has the training, but I think a lot of us were saying the same thing all along.
tk2kewl
(18,133 posts)He should have gone big with the stimulus. 1-2 trillion dollars with half going towards building alternative energy infrastructure.
progress2k12nbynd
(221 posts)Opposing parties should have no place at the table and should in fact be eliminated.
JNelson6563
(28,151 posts)Everything looks do-able and possible, on paper.
I imagine it would be fun to live in a paper world. None of those confounding restraints of reality.
Julie
elleng
(130,714 posts)I have little patience with those who ignore (conveniently) the real world in which we exist.
Rosa Luxemburg
(28,627 posts)Congress and the supreme court aren't pals. Everything looks possible from paper.
Ikonoklast
(23,973 posts)Shocked! Shocked, I say!
Obama's only mistake was that of being a reasonable, intelligent human being who wanted to fix this nation he believed he was dealing with the people who were same on the other side.
Ivory Tower Hindsight, you got to love it.
Freddie
(9,256 posts)Thinking the other side was a "loyal opposition" that actually wanted what was best for the country. And I think he knows better now and if, God willing, he wins a second term he will govern quite differently.
boxman15
(1,033 posts)Especially with regards to the stimulus. There are two reasons it wasn't bigger than it was (and should've been):
1. The extent of the crisis wasn't immediately known. Many economists knew it was going to end up being a very deep recession, but others just figured it would be closer to a "run-of-the-mill recession" than a Depression-esque downslide.
2. What they ended up passing was over twice what even some of the most liberal members of Congress were proposing at the time. It's incredible that the stimulus was as big as it was considering the political landscape.
Anyway, Obama's biggest mistake, in my opinion, was not explaining to the American people what was going on with the recession. He should've done something like what FDR did with his fireside chats and explained directly to Americans what's going on and why, and what we can do about it. 2010 never would've happened then, and right now we'd be looking at a better economy and another landslide election in 2012 because the GOP would be incredibly irrelevant, just as it was in the 1930s. Communication has been Obama's biggest disappointment, in my opinion. Going in, I thought he'd be an incredible communicator to Americans and would relate to the vast majority of us easily, but I didn't think he'd get a lot done legislatively. It's been the exact opposite: tons of landmark legislation and achievements, but little connection to Americans.
How soon many have forgotten all this.
guneydomuz
(16 posts)Allowing a bigot like Rick Warren to speak was for all intensives purposes his surrender and the GOP knew it.
President Obama and the Dems need to take no prisoners and show no mercy to Pubs at all. Pubs and their followers need to be crushed. They are the enemy and the enemy will not think twice about killing you either.
President Obama had the chance and he blew it, he may get the chance again, but I doubt he will actually do it.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)oh please.. give it up.
guneydomuz
(16 posts)absolutely nothing.
'REAL" Change will take much more then trying to be reasonable with them.
You do it, I am no longer wasting my time with the bigots, fundies and morons.
The problem is easy to see along with the solution, it just take courage and will.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)you sure are mighty critical for a newbie with 15 measly posts. You might have waited a few more days before you start bashing everything in sight.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)Had Obama just not invited him to the Inauguration, everything would be swimmingly right now! WHY DON'T PEOPLE REALIZE THIS?
Arkana
(24,347 posts)You are literally that little kid who screams at his parents because they didn't buy him the right color pony.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)The Dems needed a few R's to get anything passed due to filibustering.
Furthermore Obama ran and won on the "uniting" the country. Doesnt he remember the quote Obama used in almost every speech....
"there are no red states, or blue states, there are just the United States!"
I think the President still wants to play that role although Im sure he realizes the Rethugs dont want to have anything to with it. I suspect he has other strategies to accomplish this if he wins in Nov.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,391 posts)That's what he ran on. I don't understand how people thought he'd govern as a "take-no-prisoners" shut-Republicans-out kind of POTUS. It probably would've been more workable had the Republicans been willing to actually cooperate but, as we know, that hasn't been the case. I'm not sure how "fireside chats" would have worked given that the media don't pay as much attention to him as they do Republicans and their Tea Party masters. Stimulus plan? We were fortunate to get what we got. Getting anything more would've required more cooperation from the Republicans, which he obviously didn't get. The fact that President Obama has gotten what he has DESPITE the Republicans is pretty amazing IMHO.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)That's exaclty how I see it as well.
Avalux
(35,015 posts)bemildred
(90,061 posts)He's alive, more firmly in charge all the time, and looking at a second term with a chastened Democratic Congress.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)Obama, like every president before him, has made mistakes. Yes, the stimulus should have been bigger. No, that doesn't necessarily mean Obama's to blame for it not being larger.
Obama can't act on his own. As much as we like to pretend he, or any president, has that power - they don't. If they did, Bush would have privatized social security. What we do know is that often politics is a give-and-take, even with your own party.
In '92, on the campaign trail, Pres. Clinton ran on a pretty hefty stimulus to get the economy going again. When he became president, he announced a $31 billion economic stimulus package (trimmed down to $16 billion). He needed 60 votes (sound familiar) to pass it. He could never find those 60 votes - as many Democrats wanted to defect and no Republican was going to step over and vote for it.
The stimulus sat in limbo for a long time until it died, in April '93, because of a filibuster.
Democrats came up 4 votes short of passing it.
Knowing that Obama's stimulus passed with only the support of Collins & Snow, is anyone here confident enough in predicting that a bigger stimulus would have passed? I doubt it. I guess he could have tried and had an ugly battle on his hands that either forced him to scrap the stimulus altogether, or come at it with an even smaller stimulus than we eventually got. That's the risk with politics. As already mentioned in this thread, many Democrats thought the stimulus was too large as is.
Obama doesn't have the luxury of operating in hindsight like Mr. Westen. He didn't have the ability to know A) if the stimulus would even make a dent in the recession and B) whether he could have really gotten through a much larger stimulus.
Moreover, a great deal of the economy's lack of growth is out of our hands. Europe is just as to blame for our economic woes here at home as even the recession itself. There is not much we can do with Europe except to tell them to get their shit together. However, our progress is often left up in the air because things are so uncertain there, so many countries are either in recession or back on the brink of a recession, that it ripples out and keeps our confidence here at home low.
We're doing much better than Europe on the whole. But we're so tied to them, another recession over there will plunge us back into one - regardless of how big our stimulus here at home could have been.
MjolnirTime
(1,800 posts)JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)Tell the right Obama is a socialist, tell the left that Obama is really a Republican.
Anything to keep the election close.
riverbendviewgal
(4,252 posts)K&R
Arkana
(24,347 posts)I don't think Obama had a choice. He had run on a platform of uniting America and he was never the type to dance in the end zone. As a Senator he had friends on the Republican side of the aisle and I think he didn't realize that that friendship wasn't going to last once he hit the big chair.
I don't see anything wrong with inviting Republicans to the table initially--I just wish he'd realized sooner that they were never planning on negotiating in good faith.