2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumA few more poll updates from Huffington Pollster:
Released today:
Ipso/Reuters National - Clinton 44, Sanders 27, Biden 18
Field - California - Clinton 47, Sanders 35
Others (some already posted yesterday):
PPP - North Carolina - Clinton 37, Biden 30, Sanders 17
Quinnipiac - Florida - Clinton 43, Biden 19, Sanders 19
Quinnipiac - Ohio- Clinton 40, Biden 21, Sanders 19
Quinnipiac - Pennsylvania- Clinton 36, Biden 25, Sanders 19
Latest HP Compilation of all polls:
National - Clinton 43.6, Sanders 25.4, Biden 20.2
North Carolina - Clinton 43, Biden 19, Sanders 19
Florida - Clinton 49.9, Biden 17.Sanders 17.2
Ohio -Clinton 40.0, Sanders 19.0, Biden 14.0
Pennsylvania - Clinton 36.4, Biden 24.0, Sanders 19.5
California - Clinton 47.0, Sanders 23.0, Biden 11.0
Source: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster#2016-races
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)Cali_Democrat
(30,439 posts)Yikes.
Tommy2Tone
(1,307 posts)leftofcool
(19,460 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)I've never heard my co workers ever say Bernies name but they all know Hillary Clinton
bobbobbins01
(1,681 posts)So the trend continues. Next stop, the debates!
highprincipleswork
(3,111 posts)If and when everyone who is less engaged gets to know the candidates, we'll see how it shakes out.
The only two things standing in the way of a true test are:
1. the media. Coverage of candidates other than Hillary has been measly.
2. the debates. fewer debates means less coverage for less known candidates. coverage is apparently being restricted, for some reason, by the DNC. Both by holding fewer debates and by scheduling them at odd times.
If we want a Democratic presidential candidate that everyone can stand and be acknowledged as the true, best candidate, it seems to me we should be having more debates and allowing all the candidates to become as equally known as possible.
If we want to fix the nomination process in one way or the other, we should have fewer debates and less access for lesser known candidates.
Those who support Hillary should, in my opinion, be working as hard to make sure the process is perceived as fair as anybody else. Because if it continues to feel like a power play that disenfranchises candidates that many longtime Democrats hold dear, that is bad for team spirit, for party loyalty, for donations, for volunteering, and for voting.
It's just human nature. And it's as simple as that.
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)Hillary is well know and Bernie isn't because of their positions in government over their careers. But that is not the reason for Hillary's poll numbers. More people want her to be president than they want Bernie.
I wish you could get over the unfair thing.
highprincipleswork
(3,111 posts)Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)Even Hillary's "supporters" haven't been able to articulate a reason for her to be president, other than "She has poll numbers!"
uponit7771
(90,301 posts).. what the fuck is he going to do with a GOP congress that doesn't put America first.
Hillary is outlining executive actions, can do it from day one and I don't hate her enough to distrust her with wingerish fever.
Sanders will follow her lead soon
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)uponit7771
(90,301 posts)...purity test, I can't afford them.
I can afford 2 steps forward instead of 5
Vs no steps at all
and
feeling good someone throw a middle finger to the right... I'm not that well off
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)Must be nice to have such a surplus of privilege.
uponit7771
(90,301 posts)... only available for the rich... cause they can buy their babies and the bath water... and the bathtub and the plumbing etc etc.
I can't
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)You look at Tom Cotton, or James Inhofe. They seem fairly representative of the GOP in the legislature.
In order to "get shit done" you will need to compromise with these people and their like. Okay. So. What on your list is of so little worth that you will discard it simply to get these legislators "on board"? Whose rights are of so little value to you that you regard them as wholly disposable, just to create motion - not necessarily forward motion, at that?
'Cause that's what centrism is all about. That's what your lust for compromise and bipartisanship leads o, when one of the parties in power is like the republicans.
uponit7771
(90,301 posts)Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)After all, it's one of those oft-recycled talking points you guys have been usong sicne he declared.
Anything to cover up the real reason for your antipathy, I guess
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)People do know their names, they are just not interested.
highprincipleswork
(3,111 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)highprincipleswork
(3,111 posts)Ok, the downside here is that Hillary's coverage has also had an equal number of stories about the e-mail situation. Not so good. But if you add up her minutes here, without the e-mails, it's actually over 10 to 1. If you include stories about the e-mails (under "there's no such thing as bad publicity" for name recognition) that would be about 20 to 1.
I'm sure those who support Hillary over Bernie would love to do without the e-mail coverage, so let's just take the first figure, as reported here, only one of the places I've seen this reported.
But let me ask this. Why wouldn't the DNC want to receive the kind of publicity for someone that Trump is getting through his campaign and largely the debates? He's getting twice again the coverage that Hillary is getting.
There's really only one explanation for this diminishing of energy, of expression, of largely free publicity, of getting everyone's message out there, of vetting the candidates - they are trying to protect something or someone. It has the appearance, at least, of a rigged election, which again is not good. Because supporters of the other candidates may not re-up for the winner, if it seriously looks like it's rigged. They have high principled reasons for supporting the other candidates, and they may not feel the need to support a winner that looks low-principled or that they perceive won through a low-principled process.
High principles win, if not now, then in the end. They are geared towards survival itself, in its best form not its worst.
There should be more debates, if you want a free and open and fair process, if you want to let everybody have a chance to select the best candidate, if you want the maximum number of people to support the process and the winner.
Oh, there's one more reason lurking behind limiting debate. It could be fear. Again, not your highest principled emotion. Working from fear is sometimes necessary, but in the long run as a strategy, never did anyone all that much good.
George II
(67,782 posts)the cable networks or newspapers, magazines, internet news outlets. Comparatively speaking the "major" networks are barely a factor in what you refer to as "press coverage".
Just a day or two ago there was a 6 minute interview on MSNBC (Joe Scarborough), there have been interviews on CNN, and CNN is using him (and Clinton) to push their coverage of the debate next week.
So, using just ABC, NBC, and CBS as a gauge of overall coverage is inaccurate.
highprincipleswork
(3,111 posts)I guess it would make sense that those who like Hillary can come up with an excuse for just about anything. Especially when called upon to just simply do what is right.
Those are things I wish she could do also. Simply do what is right. Like hold more debates and at better times, if for no other reason than to satisfy that significant part of the Democratic Party that shows an interest in the outcome. And quit with the excuses. And quit with the self-righteous lecturing or gloating at the same time.
Sorry, that pretty much sums up the divide. Some of us think Bernie is playing a much straighter game. Hope we'e not disappointed.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)Did you read the post I responded to?
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)You're arguing that highprincipleswork's sources "don't count," because they tell you something you don't want to hear. Instead you invent a new standard that he has to follow to "count." Which is weird, since you're the one who wanted the sources in the first place. It's kind of obvious that no answer would have been sufficient for you.
George II
(67,782 posts)....had Clinton over Sanders by a ratio of 8-1 (if I recall correctly). I asked him where he got his analysis and he cited a review of ABC, CBS, and NBC - ONLY! And it wasn't that big of a ratio anyway.
Those three networks are only a small fraction of the "press" - no mention of CNN, MSNBC, Fox (hate to mention that one), newspapers, magazines, etc, which are all part of the "press". His analysis was incomplete to say the least, but most likely majorly flawed.
So where do you come up with the stuff that I "invented"? The "logical fallacy" is in the original analysis, not my comments.
This is all WAAAAY off topic anyway.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)And you don't seem to be providing any figures or information of your own to show us that he's actually wrong.
His sources only "don't count" because they say what you don't want to hear, and you don't actually have the ability to counter it. so you need for there to be "special rules" that make you right and him wrong, even though the opposite is clearly true.
George II
(67,782 posts)....let me know where I did either of these:
"You declared him wrong"
"You proclaimed they don't count"
Then we'll continue this discussion, okay?
George II
(67,782 posts)uponit7771
(90,301 posts)LuvLoogie
(6,910 posts)This Hillary supporter feels no obligation to coddle
anyone's feelings or validate anyone's perceptions.