FiveThirtyEight Endorsement Update: Hillary 354, Biden 16, Sanders 2, O'Malley 1

[Cali_Democrat]

UPDATED 3:04 P.M. EDT | OCTOBER 12

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-endorsement-primary/

[virtualobserver]

1. One is the loneliest number that you'll ever do

Two can be as bad as one
It's the loneliest number since the number one

[left-of-center2012]

2. Turn out the lights, the party's over

Hillary wins 2008 Democratic nomination !
oops

[BernieFan57]

3. This is just stupid. Proof? Biden has 16 and isn't even running.

Our current president, on this date on 2007, not very many.

This year her endorsements are significant and serve as evidence of how f'ed up things are.

But they don't foretell the outcome of the primary or the GE.

?w=610&h=474

[procon]

4. No matter how much I might like Sanders, this is just a bridge too far.

How does he ever get past this sticking point? Sure the numbers will shift a bit, but there's simply no way to close the gap. He can't win without locking in these key endorsers.

[BernieFan57]

5. Endorsements and delegates often change to other candidates.

A great many delegates aren't spoken for and those who have can change.

It's early yet.

[procon]

6. Actually, that's not quite right.

Look, if Clinton has already secured 354 pledges out of a possible 585, that leaves 231 in play. The winning candidate needs 270. Do the math. Any way you add it up, Sanders has 2, he would need to capture every single unsecured vote, plus convince another 37 to leave Clinton and vote for him. The math won't ever add up.

There's always some confusion about the mish mashed process, but remember these are formal, legal pledges. The Electoral College votes are governed by law and states set punishment for "faithless" or rogue electors who might think to pledge their vote and then try to switch at the last moment. States have the power to replace them or void their vote, so it doesn't happen that often, and no faithless elector has ever changed the outcome of an election. Look it up.

[BernieFan57]

7. Then voting doesn't matter. That's what you're saying.

The fix is not only a theory, it's in and it's in this year, already done, no reason to even hold debates.

[BernieFan57]

8. PS, the correct number is 153 individual endorsements. Count the names.

governors count as 10, senators get 5 points.

I gotta go.

[jfern]

10. He's gone from 0 to 2 congressional endorsements in the last few days

And you decide now to complain about his lack of endorsements? LOL, great timing.

[cherokeeprogressive]

9. I suck at math... tell me again how many votes that's equal to.

[R B Garr]

11. Wow, 2 sure does look puny compared to 354.

That makes the 2 statistically nothing.