Reuters: Clinton +8 in 4 days to 49%. Erases 10 point drop from last week

[Godhumor]

C - 49%
S - 24%
B - 17%

http://polling.reuters.com/#!response/TR131/type/smallest/filters/PARTY_ID_:1/dates/20150808-20151013/collapsed/false

I didn't participate in the 10 points in 5 days silliness, because it is an easy way to be accused of being a partisan whiner. So instead I will do it when my candidate has a meteoric rebound.

Reuters is shit. The methodology is shit. The always open invited participant polling is shit. The 5 day rolling average that allows single days of polling to first cause a spike and then a valley when it rolls off is shit.

And when we're talking about something statistically impossible in Reuters, like a candidate hemmoraging 20% of her supporters in less than a week, maybe everyone can remember to not take it seriously.

But, I am sure we will be sitting through weekly posts on how Reuters shows the tide is turning or there is a Bern out or something else that is true for exactly 5 days before being wrong again.

And in case anyone believes the graph above is not how Reuters reported their data last week http://polling.reuters.com/#!

The lead headline on Clinton's bounce back leads right to the above chart.

[Godhumor]

1. Bumping due to changed title n/t

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. What is embarrassing is news organizations like Newsweek ran with it.

Maybe that is why it was last sold for $1.00.

I am pretty sure that figure is correct despite the absurdity of it. I assume that is because the new owner had to assume the debt.

[Godhumor]

5. News organizations use poll press releases almost verbatim these days

Not a lot of questions on what poll organizations release for public consumption these days.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. I even saw that poll cited on local L A news

eom

[72DejaVu]

2. I'm sure that all the outlets that trumpeted her "plummet"

will be sure to give these numbers equal coverage.

I'm sure they will.

Uh huh.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. See Post 3

eom

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. You gov uses a rolling internet panel but I don't think it is open

eom

[Godhumor]

8. I don't particularly like yougov either

Or the new SurveyMonkey silliness for that matter.

[AtomicKitten]

9. You mean the Reuters poll you guys "debunked?"

Transparent as all get out.

[Godhumor]

10. Did you even read my OP?

I mean, seriously, read it then revisit your comment.

[AtomicKitten]

12. The duplicit hypocrisy you guys engage in is hilarious.

Last edited Tue Oct 13, 2015, 05:04 PM - Edit history (1)

This is an overall commentary on what I've read from you guys here and elsewhere about polling. You believe what you want, not what is true and factual.

[Fred Sanders]

13. To repeat...did you read the post at all?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

17. Some folks will never miss a shot to give a shot./nt

[Fred Sanders]

18. At least put something in the chamber before firing, would be my advice to these folks!

[Godhumor]

14. Reuters is crap regardless of who is up or down

Which was the entire point of the OP.

[Hortensis]

23. Really? Come again? LOL!

I can't imagine living a life where I was in alt with one poll and slinging furious denials at another, up and down all day. Are they really going to keep this up until the November after next?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

24. This headline is embarrassing

"Hillary bounces back after bad week"

The only thing that is bad is their social science research.

[dsc]

21. can you even read

I mean really, can you read. You certainly didn't read.

[Fred Sanders]

11. Reuters weekly "polling" is shit...was last week, and is this week. Unscientific: entertainment.

[Godhumor]

15. Yes absolutely

Apparently we're hypocrites for pointing out that Reuters is a crap poll both when Clinton is doing poorly and is doing well. I'm not sure how that makes us hypocrites and duplicitous but apparently it does.

[Fred Sanders]

16. The opposite of "hypocrite" is "consistent". Folks parroting this poll last week, not so much today.

[Skidmore]

19. I want to know how you feel about that

Isidewith poll.

[Godhumor]

20. Oh, I was involved in that wonderful thread

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=651147

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=651305

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=651182

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=651274

[Dem2]

22. I didn't even bat an eye at the -10 poll

Seemed pretty obvious that a poll pointing to her going to 0% in 5 weeks as an anomaly.

[riversedge]

25. i do not trust that Reuters rolling poll. I tried

to ignore that thread also (can't recall if i did ). dah....

[DCBob]

26. That poll is weird.

but good to see Hillary back up again.