Who will Biden's 17% throw their support to?

[Nye Bevan]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_Democratic_Party_2016_presidential_primaries

The next few polls will be interesting......

[Agschmid]

1. Yes they will.

And it could go either way.

[upaloopa]

5. I don't think so

When they added his name to the polls it lowered Hillary's numbers, the so called Hillary slump.
Without Biden in the polls almost all the support goes to where it came from.
Hillary will be over 50% for the rest of the primary season.

[Agschmid]

7. I agree and think most will go to Hillary.

But honestly at this point who knows.

[Zorra]

2. Clinton will pick up substantially more supprt than Bernie. A fair number of those leaning

to Biden will be undecided.

[HerbChestnut]

3. I think Clinton will get the majority.

Maybe something like a 12-5 split.

[redstateblues]

12. That's what I was thinking

[winter is coming]

16. I think she'll get them. I'm not sure whether she'll keep them. n/t

[HerbChestnut]

17. Yep, that's the real question.

In my opinion, the primary officially starts now. The Biden speculation has been throwing everything off for months.

[demwing]

4. they were essentially the same candidate

75% of Biden's support goes to Hillary

[senz]

6. If they supported Biden b/c they saw through the front runner

then it's possible they'll take a fresh look at the only candidate who genuinely cares about the American people -- and that is Bernie Sanders.

Go Bernie -- we need you!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. All the available polling suggests HRC goes up when Biden's name is removed...

Just go to RCP or Huff Po, click on the aggregate polling, look at the internals of the polls or the articles that accompany them.

[randome]

9. Batman! Because haven't you always wanted to punch a Republican in the face?

[hr][font color="blue"][center]All things in moderation, including moderation.[/center][/font][hr]

[mmonk]

10. Those polls were merely name recognition polls.

[senz]

18. + 1 Good point.

[left-of-center2012]

11. I think they'll split

Some to Hillary
Some to Bernie
Maybe a couple to O'Malley

[Buns_of_Fire]

15. FAR too sensible an answer.

But one thing is for certain: the polling companies are already burning up the phone lines.

[FSogol]

13. O'Malley.

[DavidDvorkin]

21. I'd like to think so

But I'm not counting on it.

[Tierra_y_Libertad]

14. The other Neolib.

[senz]

19. !

You got it.

[0rganism]

20. 2:1 for HRC

i expect HRC to gain about 10-12% from this drop, Sanders 3-5%, and the rest scattered between O'Malley (how the hell is he not doing better than 1%?) and Chafee (why the hell is he even running?). i doubt a significant amount leak into "none of the above" or "some damn republican" categories.

[MineralMan]

22. The national poll numbers will be about 60-30 in favor of

Hillary Clinton within the next two weeks. That will be the new starting point.

That's my prediction, based on all of the current evidence.