My goodness! That upward trend is getting pronounced...

[brooklynite]

YouGov/Economist: 61%
Gravis: 58%
Morning Consult: 56%
ABC: 54%

[zappaman]

1. Whatever.

Wait until the American people hear about Bernie!

[brooklynite]

7. You're right!

If only they'd let him attend a debate...



or give a speech to the Party leaders...



or be interviewed by the national media...





or even the local media...


or hold a rally or two...



It's as if they've hidden him away!

[workinclasszero]

22. After America saw Bernie at the first debate, this happened...

Texas: Clinton 59% Sanders 10% O'Malley 3% Undecided 28%
http://www.democraticunderground.com/110723972

Lone Star State Poll -Hillary Clinton 59% Bernie Sanders 10%
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251736969

Palmetto State Poll-Clinton -43% Sanders 6% 0'Malley 3%
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251734319

International Longshoremen's Association to endorse Hillary Clinton this Saturday
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251735010

Loras College Poll (IOWA) - Clinton 62% Bernie Sanders 24% Martin O'Malley 3%
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251733510

Clinton is rising in North Carolina
PPP's new North Carolina poll finds Hillary Clinton with her largest lead in the state since May. 61% of Democrats in the state support Clinton to 24% for Bernie Sanders
http://www.democraticunderground.com/110723689

BREAKING: New Loras poll gives Hillary 38 point lead over Sanders in Iowa
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251732960

Two new polls give HRC huge leads in Iowa
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251732917

BREAKING: Senator Sherrod Brown Endorses Hillary Clinton for President.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251732053

Key Union Endorses Clinton - AFSCME
http://www.democraticunderground.com/110722738

Clinton Holds Massive Lead in Iowa
October 27, 2015By Taegan Goddard


A new Monmouth University Poll in Iowa finds Hillary Clinton with a huge lead over Bernie Sanders, 65% to 24%, with Martin O’Malley at 5% and Lawrence Lessig at 4%.

Key findings: “Clinton enjoys a large lead over Sanders among both male (55% to 33%) and female (73% to 16%) voters. She also has an edge across the ideological spectrum, leading among voters who are very liberal (57% to 34%), somewhat liberal (68% to 22%), and moderate (69% to 19%).”

A new Loras College poll finds Clinton leading Sanders, 65% to 24%, with O’Malley at 3%.

http://politicalwire.com/2015/10/27/clinton-holds-massive-lead-in-iowa/

*******************************************************

America heard Bernie alright.....

[MohRokTah]

2. The polling trends...

they Bern!

[rbrnmw]

3. But they didn't call the zillion 18 year olds that endorse Bernie

[Tipperary]

6. They did not call this much older person

who supports Hillary either. But I will be voting!

[BooScout]

15. Have they registered to vote yet?

[workinclasszero]

23. Damn kids on their cell phones!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. The crazy thing is she is basically where she was three years ago!

eom

[bravenak]

5. As much of a gap betwen her and the next competitor as that person has in point!! Amazing woman!

[Hiraeth]

8. is there any demographic information to go with this poll?

[brooklynite]

9. Here are the topline details

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/uobybjo8zg/econToplines.pdf

[Rilgin]

16. What kind of site is Yougov?

This is a poll of people who self select to join Yougov and want to share their opinions. It is not random. After surveying their members, Yougov adjusts the numbers by some formula based on demographics and answers to questions. However, the orginal sample is not random. It is only participants in Yougov's opt-in panels.

Why this is important is easily shown by thinking of how polls would be different between a Fox News Opt-In Panel as the sample polled and a MoveOn Opt-In Panel.

This poll maybe accurate for all I know which means people who sign up for Yougov are actually representative and proportionate of the electorate or the adjustments they make are actually mathematically correct. However, these adjustments can not be ultimately be more than opinion.

I am more curious about the intiial sample. I tried to google YouGov opt-in panels to see what YouGov's demographics are but could not really tell so I am bringing this question to this site. What demographic of political citizens joins YouGov.

[brooklynite]

18. No it isn't

YouGov uses online polling, but for things like a Presidential Primary, they select and invite respondents.

[Rilgin]

19. sheesh

I went to the link you posted. I read the survey cause I was curious and at the bottom they explain their methodology.

You can look for it yourself. The respondants are picked from the "YouGov Opt-In Panel". I did some further research and it means people who sign up to their site (volunteers not random) who agree to participate in polling and surveys for incentives.

Just read your own link. After the polls from particpants from the YouGov Opt-In Panel" they do statistical adjustments to try to in their estimation adjust for the differences between their voluntary participants and a random sample of the electorate. This mathematical adjustment may be valid. I just want to know details about their original sample.

Do not get bent out of shape if someone asks you a reasonable question about your own link and reference. You might not know the answer to who joins YouGov and participates in the YouGov Opt-In Panel. After posting and trying to research it myself I did find out that the chairman of YouGov used to be the chairman of Clear Channel which owns a lot of the right wing radio stations. A lot of media companies seem to be using YouGov for their polling. This maybe because their methodology is good but the fact that the orginal sample is Opt-In raises at least one question on what type of people self select to join YouGov in the first place.

READ YOUR OWN LINK AT THE BOTTOM.

I will even provide the quote. Under respondents. "Sampling method Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in Internet panel using sample matching."

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. YES

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/f5io906oik/econTabReport.pdf

[rbrnmw]

10. These polls need unskewed just ask President Romney

He won by a landslide.

[JaneyVee]

11. Basically wiped out all losses.

[Armstead]

12. Yeah this may well continue....Until sometime in the fall of 2016

That's about when Clinton Fatigue will set in.

No more discussion of core issues. Get ready for months of personalized politics, Rah,Tah Tiger Beat nonsense, triangulation, Democratic Centrist Waffling vs. GOP Conservative Clarity (awful as it may be, the GOP is good at packaging shit), Desire for Change in the WH, Bill, Monicagate 2, Benghazi, Gaffes, Swing Voters .......

All of the familiar and mold encrusted Reality TV that passes for politics these days. And, unless the GOP really screws the pooch, 8 years of Republican rule.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

21. Yes Clinton fatigue will set in

[Bread and Circus]

13. It looks like a very serious Biden Bump and interestingly Bernie isn't trending down...

In this pic.

He seems to have a very slight uptick as well.

However Clinton is obviously way ahead and I predict Sanders has a very steep uphill battle from here without a major 47% moment from Clinton.

Nonetheless Sanders is doing pretty awesome given where he started. Hillary has been the odds on favorite for years in this race and I predict she will win. Goodness though at least Sanders had the courage to challenge her when so many other Party heavyweights were too intimidated.

Definite Biden bump though.

[Hiraeth]

17. one might could even call it the Biden Spike.

Last edited Wed Oct 28, 2015, 08:34 PM - Edit history (1)

indeed. it has a definite appearance of a spike does it not.

[Bread and Circus]

20. absolutely