2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMcClatchy-Marist Poll: Bernie Sanders DESTROYS both Trump and Bush in Landslides.
Coat-tails baby.
In new shock poll, Sanders has landslides over both Trump and Bush
By Brent Budowsky, columnist * The Hill * Nov. 11, 2015
In a new McClatchy-Marist poll, Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) leads Republican candidate Donald Trump by a landslide margin of 12 percentage points, 53 to 41. In the McClatchy poll, Sanders also leads former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) by a landslide margin of 10 points, 51 to 41.
The huge Sanders advantage over Trump is not new. In the last four match-up polls between them reported by Real Clear Politics, Sanders defeated Trump by margins of 12, 9, 9 and 2 percentage points.
The huge Sanders advantage over Bush is new. In previous match-ups, the polling showed Sanders and Bush running virtually even, with Bush holding a 1-point lead over Sanders in most of the polls. Future polls will be needed to test whether the huge Sanders lead over Bush in the McClatchy poll will be repeated in future polling or whether the McClatchy poll is an outlier.
It is shocking that the data suggests that Sanders has a lead over Trump that could be SO HUGE that he would win a landslide victory in the presidential campaign, with margins that would almost certainly lead Democrats to regain control of the Senate and could help Democrats regain control of the House of Representative if, of course, the three polls that show Sanders beating Trump by 9 to 12 points reflect final voting in the presidential election.
It would be equally shocking if future polling shows that the Sanders lead over Bush remains at landslide margins.
http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/presidential-campaign/259812-in-new-shock-poll-sanders-has-landslides-over-both
grasswire
(50,130 posts)A LANDSLIDE.
The people are speaking. Bernie. Bernie. Bernie.
99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)I posted the link in Bernie Group, asked for recs.
let's get the word out, as this is an absolutely awesome development for Bernie.
Codeine
(25,586 posts)The people are speaking. Hillary. Hillary. Hillary.
99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)is what jumps out at me.
Dustlawyer
(10,494 posts)cannot win. The most important thing is making sure a Democrat wins because of SCOTUS appointments! This is using the logic that countless Hillary supporters have told me is the reason why they want Hillary to beat Bernie, because she is the only one that can beat the republicans. Now the shoe is on the other foot!
While any of the 3 Dems are preferable over any clown car winner, their ability to win the General election is yuuuuge!
Feel the Bern!
PaulaFarrell
(1,236 posts)thesquanderer
(11,972 posts)klook
(12,152 posts)I recced that one, too.
roguevalley
(40,656 posts)JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)Babel_17
(5,400 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)Clinton takes Trump by fourteen and Bush by eight. The party is strengthening and is only going to get stronger with the field we have put out.
Happenstance24
(193 posts)So a guy who has been getting practically ZERO negative press since announcing is doing just as good as Hillary (Who has been decimated in the media the past 6 months) against the GOP and somehow that is a good thing? Really? Guess what happens when Bernie gets a barrage of negative ads and lies thrown his way?
99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)You mean like when David Brock's nasty attack ad backfired, to generate $1.2 Million for Bernie?
Well, if that's any indication, I think it answers your question.
When there's absolutely no truth involved in a hit piece, it's likely to backfire to help the candidate
being attacked. You can't compare Hillary to Bernie on this, because of all of Hillary's mis-steps,
flip-flops, and admitted "mistakes" over time, like voting for Iraq War, etc.
BTW- and I'm not making a big deal out of it, because I've always agreed with Bernie about Hillary's
"damned emails" being a huge distraction (and a RW talking point), but the FBI has just announced
it's still continuing to dig up stuff, so there's that outlier that could blow up in Team Hillary's face
during the GE, if she's the nominee.
zeemike
(18,998 posts)The TV hardly mentions him in the news...and when they do it is usually something negative like he can't win against Hillary.
But if you think Hillary has been attacked in the media you ain't seen nothing yet...wait until she has the nomination and the GOP puts some effort into it. And they have lot's of material to work with. Where as with Sanders they will have to make a bunch of shit up because he has not been in the executive branch before.
JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)hurt her in a general election, fair or not.
Bernie has an advantage there. He just doesn't have the scandals (whether based on lies or truth) that Hillary has.
Since the 1990s, some of the ridiculous rumors about the Clintons have grabbed the attention and belief of even some people who are inclined to vote Democratic.
Hillary is not a sure thing in the general election. The public mind has been subtly turned against the Clintons and Hillary in particular for years and years.
Bernie is a better candidate for the general election. The machine against him is not as well prepared for battle. And he has a disarming personality which helps him.
Bernblu
(441 posts)They despise her more than they despise Obama. Some have grudging respect for Bernie even though they disagree with him on the issues. I think the difference is that they believe Hillary is about her ambition alone and is part of the elite whereas they believe Bernie says what he actually believes and is not part of the elite. Most dismiss him a "socialist" or as a too left but a few are open to voting for Bernie against certain Republican candidates.
merrily
(45,251 posts)JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)The first one shows Bernie's visit to the city's dump.
Watch it. And you will realize that it is going to be very difficult to throw negative ads at Bernie. He has always been about good government and caring for the people. That hasn't changed, and negative ads can easily be answered by the people of Vermont and the videos and pictures of Bernie always doing his job -- governing well and caring for the people without regard for his own interests.
Hard to throw negative ads at that. Bernie is not a guy who makes speeches for thousands and thousands of dollars a throw. Bernie is the guy who is voting in the Senate even while campaigning.
Negative ads will not be a problem for Bernie. He will meet them with the truth about who he is and what he has done in his life.
Todays_Illusion
(1,209 posts)99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)I just was reading this on AlterNet.
Obsessive Polling of Unrepresentative America Warps our Politics
http://www.alternet.org/news-amp-politics/obsessive-polling-unrepresentative-america-warps-our-politics
in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)Todays_Illusion
(1,209 posts)talking point is straight from the very influential libertarian think tank AEI.org.
http://www.aei.org/publication/imagining-a-world-without-polls/
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)nominee.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)and Mr. Sanders would win by a LOT.
(Just like he would against Trump and Bush.)
Like carson i feel GOP will never nominate a non-white at this time.
Jester Messiah
(4,711 posts)Feel the BERN baby!
tecelote
(5,122 posts)Dont call me Shirley
(10,998 posts)jalan48
(13,842 posts)MissDeeds
(7,499 posts)K&R
in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)Bernie is the only one who can beat the crazies!
PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE
George II
(67,782 posts)....Clinton beats all six republicans that they were matched up against, whereas Sanders only beats five (losing to Carson)
99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)so often being used to try to intimidate and guilt-trip Bernie supporters into abandoning
Bernie Sanders to support the presumptuous 'inevitable' nominee, HRC.
arcane1
(38,613 posts)Duckfan
(1,268 posts)That's why I let this "Bernie Can't" nonsense go in one ear and out the other.
Duval
(4,280 posts)The media is going to have to pay attention sooner or later. If all they do is disparage Bernie, may we all make phone calls or go to their websites to protest.
99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts).. and the M$M .. well, they won't be able to ignore him quite so well, once he starts winning
early primary states.
reformist2
(9,841 posts)thirdchildhood
(1 post)Just letting them keep the money and get taxed more doesn't solve the wealth inequality problem
AzDar
(14,023 posts)Bernie!!
abakan
(1,815 posts)I hope we are not falling into a trap that will crush us primary night.
red dog 1
(27,782 posts)how does Bernie do against Ben Carson?
Carson & Trump are now essentially tied for the lead among GOP candidates; so Bernie beating Trump & Bush means nothing if Ben Carson leads Bernie in the latest polls.
Hillary leads Trump in both North Carolina and Michigan, and is tied with Trump in Iowa.
From a U.S. News article 2 days ago:
"Some GOP operatives have privately griped that a Trump nomination essentially would grant Clinton a bye to the presidency and prove disastrous for Republicans down the ticket."
"Surprisingly, it's Carson who has shown to be the most threatening candidate to Clinton, with two national polls since October demonstrating he would vanquish her by double digits."
http://www.usnews.com/news/the-report/articles/2015/11/09/countdown-to-election-2016-the-state-of-play
I would like to know how well Bernie does against Carson; so if anyone has that answer, please post it.
99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)I don't. Not for a second. For some obvious reasons, like Carson is a borderline idiot with
foot-in-mouth disease; and some less obvious reasons, like that much of Carson's votes are
from "ANYone but the Establishment" Republicans. Bernie gets 25% of GOP voters in his
home state to vote for HIM and NOT the GOP candidate, PLUS Bernie is both an 'insider' in
that he's been in DC for decades (so he kNOWS DC inside & out), yet he strongly appeals
as well as an 'outsider' NON-establishment candidate.
Bernie has a LOT going for him, maybe even more-so in the GE, than in the Primary.
As for this poll, I think it's take-away is it clearly illustrates that Bernie is very, very
competitive in the GE against most or all GOP candidates, winning with landslides that
could Blue-up the Senate and make huge gains in the House.
pnwmom
(108,959 posts)With geniality and a self-deprecating sense of humor.
The media would paint Carson as the sunny, hopeful candidate, and Sanders as the grump.
Lochloosa
(16,061 posts)not even close.
And, no I never met RR....but I knew him well.
pnwmom
(108,959 posts)the media reaction to him.
I think they would fall all over themselves to worship a black Dr. Bennie.
red dog 1
(27,782 posts)And, (although this may surprise you), I support Bernie, and have contributed to his campaign.
Also, I agree with you about Carson being a "borderline idiot"
But, the fact remains, Carson now has as much a chance of getting the GOP nomination as Trump does; so the polls' showing Bernie easily defeating Trump & Bush are meaningless
if (God forbid,) Carson becomes the GOP nominee.
rhett o rick
(55,981 posts)The Republicons may be crazy, but the Oligarchy isn't and they won't let a loose canon, esp a black loose canon be their nominee. It will have to be someone that they can manipulate. Carson and Trump are distractions. Rubio and Bush get to hide under their desks until push comes to shove, then Trump and Carson will fade away.
CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)...don't you agree?
Someone is doing their oppo-research and due diligence. It's flying at Carson like rocket-fire. It's certainly not any Democrats doing this. He's no threat to us.
It's the Republicans.
I think the Kochs have figured out who their "golden boy" is--the candidate that they can put their billions behind--and it's certainly not Carson. Walker was their guy, but that tanked. I think they've got their sights set on Rubio.
Carson is winning in Iowa. Iowa Republicans tend to pick religious nut-job candidates, and if Carson wins Iowa that will give him some bona fides, media attention and momentum going into the other states.
I think major Republican mucky mucks are attempting to destroy that.
rhett o rick
(55,981 posts)Eric J in MN
(35,619 posts)Under Monday, November 9 at
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
red dog 1
(27,782 posts)Eric J in MN
(35,619 posts)...between a canddiate who wants a flat-tax and one who wants higher estate taxes.
pnwmom
(108,959 posts)and Bush barely makes the grown up table.
Response to pnwmom (Reply #43)
Name removed Message auto-removed
pnwmom
(108,959 posts)And welcome to Democratic Underground.
Response to pnwmom (Reply #57)
Name removed Message auto-removed
pnwmom
(108,959 posts)the next Ronald Reagan -- except with a Rethug congress to do his bidding.
Eric J in MN
(35,619 posts)Look under Monday, November 9
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
merrily
(45,251 posts)Enthusiast
(50,983 posts)Response to 99th_Monkey (Original post)
Corruption Inc This message was self-deleted by its author.
leftcoastmountains
(2,968 posts)Early Bernie supporters knew from the start that he could win in the general. It's good to see the polls finally showing that. The hardest task for bernie was the primary. Let's make this happen.
GO BERNIE!
WillyT
(72,631 posts)youceyec
(394 posts)Beats trump by 15.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Bernie is not considered the front runner so the Republicans and RW media has layed off of him and focused only on Hillary so far. If he would somehow miraculously become the front runner then the RW "Attack Dogs of Hell" would be unleashed on him and no doubt would have an impact. Hillary has already taken the brunt of their attacks and so far is handling it quite well. Im not sure Bernie would fare the same.
moobu2
(4,822 posts)everybody knows he cant win the primary.
stupidicus
(2,570 posts)or more far leftwing lunacy designed to cast a long and unnecessary shadow on the bright and chosen one.
Iwillnevergiveup
(9,298 posts)is on Bernie's side. He has staying power.
K&R
Feeling the Bern
(3,839 posts)Response to 99th_Monkey (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
YOHABLO
(7,358 posts)told. That is for most. I would imagine that most DUers are the most informed about our recent and not so recent state of political affairs. I'm not trusting of polls or any other pundit telling me ''what the American people think". My biggest concern is that people keep saying ''oh that Sanders guy, he's a socialist''. They don't even know what socialism is, or for that matter that socialism and capitalism can and does coincide. It does now, right here in the good ole capitalist U.S. of A. They just can't seem to wrap their little heads around it.
lovemydog
(11,833 posts)Response to 99th_Monkey (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)And I believe he will.
99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)didn't you know that only women have butts?
Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)maybe only women have butts anyone cares about?
99th_Monkey
(19,326 posts)fbc
(1,668 posts)billhicks76
(5,082 posts)He is clearly their only candidate besides Jeb and hopefully the Bush name is dirt by now.