From Nate Silver - "Being only tied in the polls immediately after his own convention is ...

[NRaleighLiberal]

"Being only tied in the polls immediately after his own convention is unambiguously a bearish sign for Mr. Romney — and probably the most tangible sign to date that Mr. Obama is the favorite."

Whole thing is worth a read. My feeling is that Nate is underestimating the bounce that will come from Charlotte.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[JRLeft]

1. I do not expect a big bounce. If dems vote in mass dems win.

[NRaleighLiberal]

2. indeed!

[TroyD]

3. North Carolina polls will be interesting to see

If Obama can pull ahead of Romney in North Carolina this month, then we will know that Romney is going down.

[a kennedy]

4. CNN was just babbling about the "NASCAR white male voter"

saying the President has lost ground since 2008. POTUS doesn't need the fat, white, male, nascar voter anyway.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

5. Did he ever even have them?

[NRaleighLiberal]

6. "CNN" and "mindless babbling" are synonyms!

[Ikonoklast]

10. Women vote in presidents now.

The White male vote is increasingly irrelevant each voting cycle.

[flamingdem]

7. to Da Greatest page

with this good news

[greiner3]

8. Nate is MUST reading for me;

About 5 times a DAY!

Obama 76.3% chance of winning this with a 3.5 point plurality!!!!!

Nate has already given Obama 310 EVs!!!!!!!!!!!

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

9. Nate is a nerd's nerd. I love the guy (nt)