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Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
Tue Dec 8, 2015, 05:12 PM Dec 2015

It's going to be a close election!!! It's December 8 and we don't know if it will be Giuliani or

Clinton who will win the general election after they both cruise to easy victories in their primaries!

Giuliani and Clinton are both so far ahead in the primary polls that I have declared victory for my party's nominee and shifted my focus to the general election already!

33 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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It's going to be a close election!!! It's December 8 and we don't know if it will be Giuliani or (Original Post) Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 OP
This tired old argument??? Gamecock Lefty Dec 2015 #1
2008 CYCLE!!!!! Dawgs Dec 2015 #4
This message was self-deleted by its author Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #6
You're kidding, right? Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #7
Any port in a storm upaloopa Dec 2015 #2
And.. Dawgs Dec 2015 #3
Right? NCTraveler Dec 2015 #11
Bwahahaha... 99Forever Dec 2015 #21
99Forever. Presidential elections are the same. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #22
That was presidential PRIMARY... 99Forever Dec 2015 #23
I didn't draw that connection. Dawgs Dec 2015 #25
None of those candidates had a plurality. OilemFirchen Dec 2015 #24
Only in a world where people's mind can't change would that be true. Dawgs Dec 2015 #27
Okay. OilemFirchen Dec 2015 #28
I made a statement of fact too. People can change their minds before they vote. Dawgs Dec 2015 #29
An irrelevant statement of fact, yes. OilemFirchen Dec 2015 #30
Oh they know, they know UglyGreed Dec 2015 #5
pretty jumpy reddread Dec 2015 #8
Things will settle down UglyGreed Dec 2015 #10
Who is frightened? You keep saying that. nt. NCTraveler Dec 2015 #17
Let me just put it UglyGreed Dec 2015 #18
Is that one of those babies for Bernie I keep hearing about? KMOD Dec 2015 #20
LOL UglyGreed Dec 2015 #32
I smell some desperation here MaggieD Dec 2015 #9
not surprising reddread Dec 2015 #13
2008 Redux leftofcool Dec 2015 #12
If only Bernie were anything like Obama! DCBob Dec 2015 #14
If only Clinton 2016's negative trustworthiness ratings were like Clinton 2008's positive ratings Attorney in Texas Dec 2015 #15
If only Clinton were 10-15 point ahead of where she was in 2007... brooklynite Dec 2015 #19
Only a matter of time before we see this: George II Dec 2015 #16
You're missing Bill Bradley Renew Deal Dec 2015 #26
The primaries/caucuses/Super Tuesday were much later in 2008. merrily Dec 2015 #31
So, returning to traditional dates is now RIGGING the election? brooklynite Dec 2015 #33

Gamecock Lefty

(700 posts)
1. This tired old argument???
Tue Dec 8, 2015, 05:18 PM
Dec 2015

Again, do the math, Bernistas. 2008 is 7 years ago. 2015 - 2008 = 7.

Remember Howard Sanders? I mean, Howard Dean?

Response to Dawgs (Reply #4)

 

Dawgs

(14,755 posts)
3. And..
Tue Dec 8, 2015, 05:20 PM
Dec 2015

On December 8 of the prior year —

2004 CYCLE
Howard Dean leads the Democratic field by 8 points. He'll lead for 55 more days.

2008 CYCLE
Hillary Clinton leads the Democratic field by 19.6 points. She'll lead for 67 more days.

Rudy Giuliani leads the Republican field by 7.4 points. He'll lead for 30 more days.

2012 CYCLE
Newt Gingrich leads the Republican field by 11.7 points. He'll lead for 27 more days.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
11. Right?
Tue Dec 8, 2015, 07:08 PM
Dec 2015

How can people look at something so wildly different and draw such a direct connection.

99Forever

(14,524 posts)
21. Bwahahaha...
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 03:30 PM
Dec 2015

"Wildly different....":

Yeah right.

One's a presidential primary and the other is.....



Whoops.

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
22. 99Forever. Presidential elections are the same.
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 03:41 PM
Dec 2015

When your analysis stops at "Presidential Election," you might be doing it wrong.

 

Dawgs

(14,755 posts)
25. I didn't draw that connection.
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 04:33 PM
Dec 2015

But it does show that one candidate leading at this point does not mean that the race is over, as many on here have claimed.

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)
24. None of those candidates had a plurality.
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 04:23 PM
Dec 2015

And, unsurprisingly, none had a majority.

See the difference?

 

Dawgs

(14,755 posts)
27. Only in a world where people's mind can't change would that be true.
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 04:37 PM
Dec 2015

And right now it's not clear if Hillary's poll numbers are a reflection of name recognition, or if they are from solid unwavering supporters.

OilemFirchen

(7,143 posts)
28. Okay.
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 04:43 PM
Dec 2015

I made a statement of fact. It's useful information when comparing disparate scenarios.

Maybe someone else is interested in your tangent.

 

Dawgs

(14,755 posts)
29. I made a statement of fact too. People can change their minds before they vote.
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 04:45 PM
Dec 2015

Is that not a fact?

Also, it's also true that neither of us know why people are choosing Hillary when they vote in polls.

UglyGreed

(7,661 posts)
18. Let me just put it
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 02:19 PM
Dec 2015

this way. When my team of choice say in Football is dominate I really don't need to put down other teams. I just sit back and watch them kick butt. It's the team's fans who feel insecure who find the need to bolster their team because deep down they fear defeat. Hillary has lost before and I'm sure it's lingers in the back of her supporters' minds, it's just human nature.

 

KMOD

(7,906 posts)
20. Is that one of those babies for Bernie I keep hearing about?
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 03:22 PM
Dec 2015

Poor little guy. He's a cutie pie.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
31. The primaries/caucuses/Super Tuesday were much later in 2008.
Wed Dec 9, 2015, 05:07 PM
Dec 2015

IIRC, the first caucus of 2016 is at the end of January. Not to mention, many more debates in 2008, giving the lesser known Obama more of a chance to make himself known to voters.

Yep. A much more thorough job of rigging this time.

brooklynite

(94,480 posts)
33. So, returning to traditional dates is now RIGGING the election?
Thu Dec 10, 2015, 03:46 PM
Dec 2015

will conspiracy theories never cease...

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