Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:51 PM
stevenleser (32,886 posts)
PPP Iowa Poll has Hillary up 18 points
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_121515.pdf
On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton continues to be the clear favorite in Iowa. She’s at 52% to 34% for Bernie Sanders and 7% for Martin O’Malley. Sanders leads 47/40 with younger voters, but that’s not enough to make up for Clinton holding a 64/20 advantage with seniors. She leads by pretty similar margins of 19 points with liberals at 56/37 and 22 points with moderates at 52/30. And she also has comparable leads with both women (21 points at 55/34) and men (15 points at 49/34). Clinton’s favorability rating is 73/19 while Sanders’ comes in at 65/23.
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32 replies, 1855 views
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Author | Time | Post |
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stevenleser | Dec 2015 | OP |
Agnosticsherbet | Dec 2015 | #1 | |
stevenleser | Dec 2015 | #2 | |
Agnosticsherbet | Dec 2015 | #6 | |
brooklynite | Dec 2015 | #3 | |
Agnosticsherbet | Dec 2015 | #5 | |
upaloopa | Dec 2015 | #7 | |
workinclasszero | Dec 2015 | #21 | |
upaloopa | Dec 2015 | #4 | |
onehandle | Dec 2015 | #8 | |
Chitown Kev | Dec 2015 | #9 | |
Cali_Democrat | Dec 2015 | #10 | |
Chitown Kev | Dec 2015 | #11 | |
MeNMyVolt | Dec 2015 | #12 | |
winter is coming | Dec 2015 | #13 | |
antigop | Dec 2015 | #14 | |
bigdarryl | Dec 2015 | #24 | |
tritsofme | Dec 2015 | #15 | |
lunamagica | Dec 2015 | #16 | |
Persondem | Dec 2015 | #17 | |
riversedge | Dec 2015 | #28 | |
jfern | Dec 2015 | #18 | |
Alfresco | Dec 2015 | #19 | |
Pauldg47 | Dec 2015 | #20 | |
Alfresco | Dec 2015 | #22 | |
NurseJackie | Dec 2015 | #23 | |
Alfresco | Dec 2015 | #25 | |
tishaLA | Dec 2015 | #26 | |
Name removed | Dec 2015 | #27 | |
Jester Messiah | Dec 2015 | #29 | |
floriduck | Dec 2015 | #30 | |
MohRokTah | Dec 2015 | #31 | |
RandySF | Dec 2015 | #32 |
Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:54 PM
Agnosticsherbet (11,619 posts)
1. Well there goes the argument that it is really a tie if the difference is only ten points. nt
Response to Agnosticsherbet (Reply #1)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:57 PM
stevenleser (32,886 posts)
2. RCP has all you need to know about the race. It's not close and its not getting closer.
Response to stevenleser (Reply #2)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:03 PM
Agnosticsherbet (11,619 posts)
6. I look forward to the voting. nt
Response to Agnosticsherbet (Reply #1)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 05:58 PM
brooklynite (85,494 posts)
3. Interesting how the people saying "it could be a tie" never say "we could be behind by even more"
The MOE always works in their favor.
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Response to brooklynite (Reply #3)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:02 PM
Agnosticsherbet (11,619 posts)
5. "Why, sometimes I've believed as many as six impossible things before breakfast." The Red Queen
The act of belief is often far more convincing than math.
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Response to brooklynite (Reply #3)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:03 PM
upaloopa (11,417 posts)
7. I don't blame them. If I were going to face
an ass whipping in a few weeks I'd want to look through rose colored glasses too.
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Response to upaloopa (Reply #7)
Thu Dec 17, 2015, 01:10 AM
workinclasszero (28,270 posts)
21. And they got those rose colored glasses screwed down tight
with blinders on!
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Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:00 PM
upaloopa (11,417 posts)
4. Wow Hillary is taking men away from Bernie
Good sign
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Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:03 PM
onehandle (51,122 posts)
8. Six weeks until Hillary wins Iowa. nt
Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:04 PM
Chitown Kev (2,197 posts)
9. I wish that PPP
and the other polling outlets would put race/ethnicity in their polls for Iowa...in a Democratic caucus, knowing those numbers could be significant if the race did get close.
I say that because...iowa is a bit of a different state from New Hampshire. |
Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:07 PM
Cali_Democrat (30,439 posts)
10. ...
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Response to Cali_Democrat (Reply #10)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:10 PM
Chitown Kev (2,197 posts)
11. With poll numbers like that
Hillary will be saying "Bye, Felicia" to Sanders and O'Malley if she keeps this up.
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Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 06:46 PM
MeNMyVolt (1,095 posts)
12. A "K" for the poll #s, and an "R" for one of DU's biggest assets.
Know you're probably very busy, but wish you were around a bit more.
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Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 09:07 PM
winter is coming (11,785 posts)
13. Looks like another landline-only poll.
![]() It's an automated poll, where you press the buttons for your responses, and the order in which the candidates are mentioned doesn't vary. Poor methodology. |
Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 09:08 PM
antigop (12,778 posts)
14. HRC's Campaign Manager: "A lot of the public polling is not very reliable"
http://time.com/3920153/bill-clinton-hillary-campaign-adviser/
Mook also dismissed recent poll numbers that suggest Hillary Clinton’s favorability numbers are slipping. According to a CNN poll published last week, 57% of Americans think the former secretary of state is not trustworthy. “A lot of the public polling is not very reliable,” Mook said. “I don’t pay a whole lot of attention to it.” |
Response to antigop (Reply #14)
Thu Dec 17, 2015, 04:47 PM
bigdarryl (13,190 posts)
24. That article is from June of this year WTF!!!
Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 09:10 PM
tritsofme (15,777 posts)
15. Looks like his star is all Berned out...
Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 09:35 PM
lunamagica (9,967 posts)
16. We're getting there... slowly, but surely
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Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 11:54 PM
Persondem (1,923 posts)
17. Clinton's lead in Iowa had been well outside the MoE for about 2 months
Iowa is solidly for Clinton now. Sanders has a chance in NH which will likely be closer than Iowa but if Clinton wins in a landslide then NH undecideds will break her way and Sanders is toast. Sanders will be done anyways after NV and SC, but hanging on in NH might keep him viable until super Tuesday.
This is an especially nice data point ... "Clinton’s favorability rating is 73/19 while Sanders’ comes in at 65/23." |
Response to Persondem (Reply #17)
Thu Dec 17, 2015, 07:26 PM
riversedge (65,370 posts)
28. yes, great favorability rating for Hillary in IOWA
Hillary for Iowa Retweeted Chris Walloch @ChrisWalloch 23h23 hours ago Great @HillaryforIA crowd in Mason City for @HillaryClinton !!! #fightingforus #hillyes ![]() |
Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Wed Dec 16, 2015, 11:57 PM
jfern (5,204 posts)
18. Gold standard Selzer has Hillary up only 9
I trust that a lot more than some pollster that gets paid by the Hillary campaign.
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Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Thu Dec 17, 2015, 12:17 AM
Alfresco (1,698 posts)
19. WooHoo
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Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Thu Dec 17, 2015, 12:52 AM
Pauldg47 (640 posts)
20. Yes but, my friend, the PPP poll had Hillary up by 32% five weeks ago ( their last poll)..
....so, what does that mean to us Bernie supporters? We're not giving up!!!
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Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Thu Dec 17, 2015, 07:34 AM
Alfresco (1,698 posts)
22. AM Reality Kick
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Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Thu Dec 17, 2015, 08:19 AM
NurseJackie (42,862 posts)
23. How can Bernie expect to win with awful numbers like that??
Someone who can't even get a simple majority of democratic support during the primaries could never win the general election. FACT!
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Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Thu Dec 17, 2015, 06:59 PM
Alfresco (1,698 posts)
25. Hillary up 18 in Iowa. She is running an excellent campaign.
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Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Thu Dec 17, 2015, 07:12 PM
tishaLA (14,163 posts)
26. I'm frankly surprised Sec Clinton's favorability ratings are highter than Sen Sanders
Id always imagined that even people who weren't planning on voting for him saw him favorably--like a slightly curmudgeonly uncle.
Anyhow, those are interesting results. It's good to see MOM seemingly picking up a bit of steam in Iowa, although I fear he sadly won't last past NH |
Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Thu Dec 17, 2015, 07:31 PM
Jester Messiah (4,711 posts)
29. She just keeps losing ground, doesn't she?
It's like the Soviet propaganda they broadcast during WW2. The "magnificent victories" won by the forces of Good keep happening closer and closer to home...
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Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Thu Dec 17, 2015, 07:52 PM
floriduck (2,262 posts)
30. PPP is considered an outlier.
Go to Real Clear Politics and find every PPP poll historically. They always have Hill higher than any other poll. So their results are literally off the charts and ignored.
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Response to stevenleser (Original post)
Thu Dec 17, 2015, 08:34 PM
MohRokTah (15,429 posts)
31. K&R eom