PPP Iowa Poll has Hillary up 18 points

[stevenleser]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_121515.pdf

On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton continues to be the clear favorite in Iowa. She’s
at 52% to 34% for Bernie Sanders and 7% for Martin O’Malley. Sanders leads 47/40 with
younger voters, but that’s not enough to make up for Clinton holding a 64/20 advantage
with seniors. She leads by pretty similar margins of 19 points with liberals at 56/37 and
22 points with moderates at 52/30. And she also has comparable leads with both women
(21 points at 55/34) and men (15 points at 49/34). Clinton’s favorability rating is 73/19
while Sanders’ comes in at 65/23.

[Agnosticsherbet]

1. Well there goes the argument that it is really a tie if the difference is only ten points. nt

[stevenleser]

2. RCP has all you need to know about the race. It's not close and its not getting closer.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-3195.html

[Agnosticsherbet]

6. I look forward to the voting. nt

[brooklynite]

3. Interesting how the people saying "it could be a tie" never say "we could be behind by even more"

The MOE always works in their favor.

[Agnosticsherbet]

5. "Why, sometimes I've believed as many as six impossible things before breakfast." The Red Queen

The act of belief is often far more convincing than math.

[upaloopa]

7. I don't blame them. If I were going to face

an ass whipping in a few weeks I'd want to look through rose colored glasses too.

[workinclasszero]

21. And they got those rose colored glasses screwed down tight

with blinders on!

[upaloopa]

4. Wow Hillary is taking men away from Bernie

Good sign

[onehandle]

8. Six weeks until Hillary wins Iowa. nt

[Chitown Kev]

9. I wish that PPP

and the other polling outlets would put race/ethnicity in their polls for Iowa...in a Democratic caucus, knowing those numbers could be significant if the race did get close.

I say that because...iowa is a bit of a different state from New Hampshire.

[Cali_Democrat]

10. ...

[Chitown Kev]

11. With poll numbers like that

Hillary will be saying "Bye, Felicia" to Sanders and O'Malley if she keeps this up.

[MeNMyVolt]

12. A "K" for the poll #s, and an "R" for one of DU's biggest assets.

Know you're probably very busy, but wish you were around a bit more.

[winter is coming]

13. Looks like another landline-only poll.

It's an automated poll, where you press the buttons for your responses, and the order in which the candidates are mentioned doesn't vary. Poor methodology.

[antigop]

14. HRC's Campaign Manager: "A lot of the public polling is not very reliable"

http://time.com/3920153/bill-clinton-hillary-campaign-adviser/

Mook also dismissed recent poll numbers that suggest Hillary Clinton’s favorability numbers are slipping. According to a CNN poll published last week, 57% of Americans think the former secretary of state is not trustworthy. “A lot of the public polling is not very reliable,” Mook said. “I don’t pay a whole lot of attention to it.”

[bigdarryl]

24. That article is from June of this year WTF!!!

[tritsofme]

15. Looks like his star is all Berned out...

[lunamagica]

16. We're getting there... slowly, but surely

[Persondem]

17. Clinton's lead in Iowa had been well outside the MoE for about 2 months

Iowa is solidly for Clinton now. Sanders has a chance in NH which will likely be closer than Iowa but if Clinton wins in a landslide then NH undecideds will break her way and Sanders is toast. Sanders will be done anyways after NV and SC, but hanging on in NH might keep him viable until super Tuesday.

This is an especially nice data point ... "Clinton’s favorability rating is 73/19 while Sanders’ comes in at 65/23."

[riversedge]

28. yes, great favorability rating for Hillary in IOWA

Hillary for Iowa Retweeted
Chris Walloch ?@ChrisWalloch 23h23 hours ago

Great @HillaryforIA crowd in Mason City for @HillaryClinton !!! #fightingforus #hillyes

[jfern]

18. Gold standard Selzer has Hillary up only 9

I trust that a lot more than some pollster that gets paid by the Hillary campaign.

[Alfresco]

19. WooHoo

[Pauldg47]

20. Yes but, my friend, the PPP poll had Hillary up by 32% five weeks ago ( their last poll)..

....so, what does that mean to us Bernie supporters? We're not giving up!!!

[Alfresco]

22. AM Reality Kick

[NurseJackie]

23. How can Bernie expect to win with awful numbers like that??

Someone who can't even get a simple majority of democratic support during the primaries could never win the general election. FACT!

[Alfresco]

25. Hillary up 18 in Iowa. She is running an excellent campaign.

[tishaLA]

26. I'm frankly surprised Sec Clinton's favorability ratings are highter than Sen Sanders

Id always imagined that even people who weren't planning on voting for him saw him favorably--like a slightly curmudgeonly uncle.

Anyhow, those are interesting results. It's good to see MOM seemingly picking up a bit of steam in Iowa, although I fear he sadly won't last past NH

[Jester Messiah]

29. She just keeps losing ground, doesn't she?

It's like the Soviet propaganda they broadcast during WW2. The "magnificent victories" won by the forces of Good keep happening closer and closer to home...

[floriduck]

30. PPP is considered an outlier.

Go to Real Clear Politics and find every PPP poll historically. They always have Hill higher than any other poll. So their results are literally off the charts and ignored.

[MohRokTah]

31. K&R eom

[RandySF]

32. K&R