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babylonsister

(170,962 posts)
Sat Sep 8, 2012, 04:26 PM Sep 2012

Big Bounce Coming for Obama?

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/09/08/big_bounce_coming_for_obama.html

Big Bounce Coming for Obama?


Nate Silver says tracking polls are pointing toward "a decent-size convention bounce" for President Obama and says it's "unlikely, in fact, that the movement in the polls reflects statistical noise alone."

"What's a bit more worrisome for Mr. Romney is that Gallup's reporting of the head-to-head results in its poll occurs over a lengthy seven-day window, meaning that only a minority of the interviews in the poll were conducted after the major speeches at the Democratic convention. In fact, most of the interviews in the poll were conducted just after the Republican convention in Tampa, Fla., a period in which Mr. Romney should have been enjoying a convention bounce of his own."
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Heather MC

(8,084 posts)
9. you have to say the word, you have to say God
Sat Sep 8, 2012, 05:10 PM
Sep 2012

once again a Democrat omiting the word God shame on you!

Marsala

(2,090 posts)
4. Nate just tweeted, "Obama posts gains again in all three tracking polls."
Sat Sep 8, 2012, 04:44 PM
Sep 2012

Obama is up from +2 to +4 in Reuters/Ipsos.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
5. Obama widens lead over Romney despite jobs data: Reuters/Ipsos poll
Sat Sep 8, 2012, 04:45 PM
Sep 2012

(Reuters) - President Barack Obama, picking up support following the Democratic National Convention, widened his narrow lead over Republican U.S. presidential challenger Mitt Romney in a new Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Saturday.

The latest daily tracking poll showed Obama, a Democrat, with a lead of 4 percentage points over Romney. Forty-seven percent of 1,457 likely voters surveyed online over the previous four days said they would vote for Obama if the November 6 elections were held today, compared with 43 percent for Romney.

"The bump is actually happening. I know there was some debate whether it would happen... but it's here," said Ipsos pollster Julia Clark, referring to the "bounce" in support that many presidential candidates enjoy after nominating conventions.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/08/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE88619X20120908

TNLib

(1,819 posts)
6. I think this was just the Clint Eastwood talking to a chair bounce.
Sat Sep 8, 2012, 04:53 PM
Sep 2012

Cant wait till we see the reall bounce!

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
7. 'Obama has been running ~7-9 points ahead of Romney since the Clinton speech'
Sat Sep 8, 2012, 04:56 PM
Sep 2012

Nate Silver:

It looks to me like Obama has been running ~7-9 points ahead of Romney since the Clinton speech to have gained ground so quickly.


https://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight

gkhouston

(21,642 posts)
12. No surprise, as that was an exceptionally good speech.
Sat Sep 8, 2012, 06:12 PM
Sep 2012

Hope Clinton will be able to do some campaigning for House and Senate candidates.

Overseas

(12,121 posts)
10. Hope it keeps on growing. Hope the middle class and poor rise up against the multimillion dollar
Sat Sep 8, 2012, 05:13 PM
Sep 2012

GOP trash ads they will be subjected to.

AJH032

(1,124 posts)
11. Count my grandmother in that bounce
Sat Sep 8, 2012, 05:49 PM
Sep 2012

"After hearing Clinton's speech, I'm voting Obama" - my grandmother (who lives in Michigan)

treestar

(82,383 posts)
14. And wait until the debates
Sat Sep 8, 2012, 09:38 PM
Sep 2012

In the same room with President Obama, Rmoney has no chance of coming off better or even nearly as good.

His smarmy condescension will never win him votes.

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