2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumVice chair of DNC accuses Debbie Wasserman Schultz of lying about consulting on debate schedule Rea
Vice chair of DNC accuses Debbie Wasserman Schultz of lying about consulting on debate scheduleVice chairman R.T. Ryback and Rep. Tulsi Gabbard both claim that Wasserman Schultz's statement that she consulted with members of the DNC when she decided to hold six Democratic debates is "simply not true," and Gabbard is questioning the chairman's judgment and her ability to continue in her position.
http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2015/10/vice_chair_of_dnc_accuses_debbie_wassermanschultz_of_lying_about_consulting_on_debate_schedule.html
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)It was like a spigot of cash was turned on and rained money into Sander's coffers.
Those debates galvanized and energized his supporters.
jeff47
(26,549 posts)CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)Limited debates. Debates during times when people won't watch. Media favoritism of Hillary and Bernie barely being covered by the media.
These things aren't working.
Clinton's crowd sizes at her last Iowa rallies:
--Ft. Dodge, Iowa--200
--Living History Farms, Urbandale Iowa--200
--Waterloo, Iowa--400
--Iowa City 300-400
Bernie's crowd sizes at his last Iowa rallies:
--Dubuque, Iowa--2000+
--Waterloo, Iowa--1450
--Mt Vernon, Iowa--1125
The campaign season hasn't peaked here in Iowa and won't until Jan. Sanders is within 9 according to the "gold standard" of polls, Ann Selzer's Iowa poll. The Clinton camp must be in full meltdown mode.
This is the reason for the hysteria we see.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)That explains a lot. Thanks for bringing it up.
CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)There are scads of articles about Selzer's impeachable polling results. Both Democrats and Republicans hold their breath until she releases her Iowa poll. Because Iowa is the first state to vote, it's important. The Iowa Poll shows the campaigns exactly where they are. Selzer's methodology is based on science. She uses the registered-voter rolls and only polls likely caucus goers.
This way, her sample captures younger voters, first-time caucus goers, Independents who will cross over into the Dem/Rep camps to caucus. This is why Selzer predicted the 2008 caucus results and many other races.
If I want to know if an Iowa poll is valid, I compare it to Selzer's results. If they're far off, I know their methodology is screwed.
Bernie being behind by only 9--before the peak Iowa campaign season--is absolutely devastating to the Clinton camp. So much happens during that final push. It's crazy season, and it's when most Iowans solidify their final choice.
Here's a video of Selzer discussing her polling, as well as Bernie's path to victory (which, interestingly, is the same path to victory that Obama took).
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/videos/2015-11-13/it-s-not-over-for-bernie-sanders-in-iowa-ann-selzer
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)ismnotwasm
(42,495 posts)Really?
I get that conservative sources are de jour on DU these days, but this one is pretty bad.
Betty Karlson
(7,231 posts)This desperate attempt to make one candidate win at all costs is an expression of just how hollow and visionless the Third Way really is.