PPP: Obama +1 in NORTH CAROLINA

[TroyD]

North Carolinians are pretty intractable- Obama leads 49-48, about identical to 48-48 last week

57% of North Carolina voters think convention was a good thing for the state, 15% bad, 26% neutral

https://twitter.com/ppppolls

[Robbins]

1. So

Obama got a small boost In NC.This Is again like 2008 since Obama narrowly won NC then.

[JRLeft]

2. The Cons will win the Governorship in that state, and in 2014 it will be difficult to vote in NC.

[ProfessionalLeftist]

6. NC is gonna get SCREWED by McCrory

Economy going into the shitter there, along with the environment, voting rights, women's rights, etc.

[mnhtnbb]

15. If we can gotv for Obama, McCrory just might end up getting screwed.

[TroyD]

7. Will be interesting to see how Kay Hagan does in 2014

When Kay Hagan runs for re-election in 2014, it will be interesting to see whether she can pull the level of support she did in 2008 when she beat Elizabeth Dole.

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

3. LOL

I doubt Obama wins NC again, but as long as it remains close, it shows how awful a candidate Rmoney is and how he can't win the swing states.

[TroyD]

5. That's PPP's wording

I just copied it from their Twitter feed.

Hard to know who will win it if it's this close. Most people didn't expect Obama to win it 4 years ago, but he might be able to do so again if he maintains a solid National lead and has solid debate performances.

Remember that Obama was several points ahead of Romney until May when the gay marriage issue arose.

It may come down to who has the best ground operation.

[WI_DEM]

4. NC will be about GOTV just like it was in 2008

[speedoo]

8. Obama can win NC.

1. Lots of colleges to work.
2. Lots of retirees.
3. Who's the better candidate, Romney or McCain?

How about a 10 day bus tour: Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, North Carolina. Maybe add Missouri if that state shows any promise.

[bigdarryl]

10. They should send Bill Clinton there a few times

[musicblind]

25. That worked last time. Bill gave a speech on a porch in my town in NC and it was unreal.

People were crying.

Bill is loved by the democrats in NC.

[bigdarryl]

9. Damn that's bad was hoping for a 5 point bounce

[Jennicut]

11. It's plus 5 in Ohio. NC will be much closer

because of different demos and types of voters there. But we can still win in NC. The important thing is Obama has a chance there.

[TroyD]

12. PPP: Bill Clinton (59/34) and Michelle Obama (55/37) very popular in NC

Bill Clinton (59/34) and Michelle Obama (55/37) very popular in NC, could be effective surrogates last 8 weeks:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/09/north-carolina-remains-extremely-tight.html

[Robbins]

18. That's funny

Bill Clinton never carried NC In his 2 electoral landslides.I guess as NC has become more democratic In presidential races Clinton
has become more popular.Plus I believe the hispanic population In NC Is growing too.

NC may be one Obama state where supporting gay marrage has helped Romney somewhat.

[TroyD]

23. Bill Clinton and NC

You're right - Bill never won NC, although he came within about 3-5 points I think.

Bill won a lot of other Southern states (eg. Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee, Georgia, Kentucky, West Virginia etc.) so perhaps it wasn't a priority of the Clinton campaign since they had other targets, and like you said, the demographics were different then.

Bill also won Missouri and Arizona.

But the numbers above show Bill would easily win in North Carolina today if he could run.

[Blue Yorker]

13. Disappointing

No significant bump.

[Lex]

19. LOL. Romney is BEHIND in NC! That's not disappointing.

nt

[JoePhilly]

24. Correct ... Romney got no bump whatsoever ... very disappointing for the right wing nut jobs.

[mnhtnbb]

14. It's all going to be about gotv in NC. Obama has a strong presence on the ground here.

[RedSpartan]

16. Good. Make Willard and the Kochs dump even more money in there.

If they are struggling to hold (really, flip) North Carolina, they are in serious, serious trouble. Take nothing for granted, GOTV and can you say "Landslide"?"

[Thrill]

17. Republicans are spending a ton here in NC

We're getting a ton of Super PAC ads

[Lex]

20. And yet the polls aren't moving in favor of Romney

despite the hemorrhaging of money/ads here.

[tnvoter]

21. love it. make Romney spend all his money in N.C.

[DCBob]

22. It would be great to win NC again.

I think its very possible.

[musicblind]

26. I live in NC and I think we are going to win it again but...

...it will not be a cake walk. I see SO many Romney ads compared to Obama ads.

We have to work on getting the vote out in: Charlotte, Raleigh, Greensboro, Winston-Salem, Wilmington, Asheville, and High-Point in that order.

If we can get a huge turn out in those cities we will win. Those cities are overwhelmingly Obama, and those are the 7 biggest cities in the state.