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Grown2Hate

(2,010 posts)
Wed Sep 12, 2012, 01:36 AM Sep 2012

PPP: (AZ Senate Race) Carmona (D) 43%, Flake (R) 44%

I keep getting the sense that this race will actually be close, and here is yet ANOTHER poll showing it to be so (PPP also had them tied at 38 apiece in July). In ARIZONA (I live in Phoenix, BTW).

If we can get Pima County to turn out HUGE, and work the Phoenix area, we might actually pull this off. This race seems to be off of the radar somewhat, but I get the sense AZ isn't AS deep red as it appears to be (hell, President Obama only lost by 9% in 2008 to McCain, in his home state!).

This has me excited. Time to donate to Carmona!!!

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Grown2Hate

(2,010 posts)
4. I keep hearing people attempt to refute this, but I sense it myself (without empirical data).
Wed Sep 12, 2012, 01:55 AM
Sep 2012

It does seem to bias toward Democrats, but not on the order of a Rasmussen slanting toward R's. At least that's my sense. Still, it's promising. At least there's a SHOT.

David__77

(23,369 posts)
8. If this is closer than 10 points on election day, Obama is reelected for sure.
Wed Sep 12, 2012, 02:59 AM
Sep 2012

If it's closer than 5, then it's an excellent night for Democrats. For the Democrat to win this race would require a truly massive registration and mobilization effort to change the basic composition of the electorate.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
9. How did Bill Clinton do it?
Wed Sep 12, 2012, 07:56 AM
Sep 2012

If Bill Clinton could do it in 1996, that shows that it's doable for another Democrat as well.

Particularly since there is now a larger Latino population and changing demographics compared to the 1990's.

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