Red State: If The Election Were Held Today Barack Obama Would Win

[brooklynite]

Erick Erickson:

Contra Dick Morris, Mitt Romney is not winning this election. At least Mitt Romney is not winning the election right now. Conservatives are obsessing over every poll, the turn out models used, and the media bias that is on ful display. Yes, some of the polling models seem screwy, though we all forget the pollsters apply a secret sauce known only to them on top. Yes, reporters are fully beclowning themselves to get their god-king re-elected. But while we may be focused there, the fact is the Romney campaign isn’t functioning well. Lucky for you and me the election is not today. But something needs to happen in Boston and I am less and less hopeful anything will happen.

It would be easy to dismiss me by saying I never cared for Romney or I’m somehow actually rooting against him. So let me put it to you this way: Jenn Rubin and I are on the same page. That’s either a sign of the apocalypse or there is something really dysfunctional happening within the Romney campaign.

Having refused to get on the “campaign shake up” bandwagon when Rupert Mourdoch and Jack Welch were claiming a shake up needed to happen, count me in now. Like it or not, spin it or not, put your head in the sand or not, attack me as the messenger or not, the very simple truth is that Mitt Romney has failed to close any deal with the voters and his message is so muddled no voter really knows what they are getting.

[railsback]

1. The southern states are now 'leaning Romney'

Shouldn't even be close. Of course, Mittens will most likely win the Tennessee, Georgia and South Carolina, but the fact that Obama has closed that gap is a sign of the times that the GOP has gone way too far.

[1StrongBlackMan]

2. Wow ...

the very simple truth is that Mitt Romney has failed to close any deal with the voters and his message is so muddled no voter really knows what they are getting.

Sad to say Erick ... the (gop) voters are telling the gop that they know exactly what they would be getting in romney; nothing good!

I guess the gop pundits are finally recognizing that the gop voters are rejecting the "I have a plan ... the cure for what ails America; You just have to elect me to find out what it is" argument.

That's to say, the gop voters have read Jack and the Beanstalk and are unwilling to trade their family cow for romney's handful of magic beans.