Sources matter: Trump's analytics company released the poll showing 20% of Dems would vote for him

[Godhumor]

From here:

http://www.usnews.com/opinion/articles/2016-01-08/new-poll-shows-donald-trump-is-a-real-threat-to-hillary-clinton

20% of Dems would vote for Trump over Clinton! Wow! Why isn't this poll being trumpeted anywhere but an opinion piece on US News? That would be because of who the numbers come from.

Mercury Analytics was hired by Trump to gauge feedback on the resonance of his first campaign ad. They are working for Trump. Trump. In fact the CEO of Mercury Analytics, Ron Howard, is an admitted long time friend of Trump:
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"The media’s ability to influence is undeniable," says Ron Howard, a Washington-based CEO of Mercury Analytics, an online polling and research firm.

Howard is a longtime friend and conceded that while, yes, the influence is obvious, "there are some issues or topics that are easier to ignite than they are to suppress, or vice-a-versa – the fact that they could make Trump larger than life does not mean that they can as easily bring him down."

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Quote from an article titled " Trump Survives Media Bashing "
http://www.poynter.org/2015/media-clout-overstated-as-it-bashes-trump-he-clearly-survives/364607/

Please don't be a person who is going to claim the sky is falling by buying into a Trump campaign message disguised as a poll. We're better than that.

[Gothmog]

1. The sourcing of this data is indeed important

[SunSeeker]

2. K & R

[OilemFirchen]

3. And...

as I said here:

Caveat emptor: This is an advertisement for a fledgling company. Do not be duped.

[bvf]

4. Happy to rec this.

Mercury Analytics is now in my dumper.

[ucrdem]

5. As far as I can tell nothing much has changed since Christmas.

Apart from creative skewing of more or less meaningless polling that is, like how Bernie does against Marco in NH. Real relevant.

[world wide wally]

6. Bullshit

[Godhumor]

11. Care to expand on that thought

I'm pretty sure people should be critical of a firm that says Trump is doing well that are also working for Trump. But hey, I may be funny that way.

[world wide wally]

13. I wouldn't believe Trump if he even told the truth for once

[Sunlei]

7. lol, I can see that *in the republican primary* to ensure the big old republican titanic sets sail

[Fumesucker]

8. Yeah, but 27% of the country is just flat nuts...

http://kfmonkey.blogspot.com/2005/10/lunch-discussions-145-crazification.html

John: Hey, Bush is now at 37% approval. I feel much less like Kevin McCarthy screaming in traffic. But I wonder what his base is --

Tyrone: 27%.

John: ... you said that immmediately, and with some authority.

Tyrone: Obama vs. Alan Keyes. Keyes was from out of state, so you can eliminate any established political base; both candidates were black, so you can factor out racism; and Keyes was plainly, obviously, completely crazy. Batshit crazy. Head-trauma crazy. But 27% of the population of Illinois voted for him. They put party identification, personal prejudice, whatever ahead of rational judgement. Hell, even like 5% of Democrats voted for him. That's crazy behaviour. I think you have to assume a 27% Crazification Factor in any population.

John: Objectively crazy or crazy vis-a-vis my own inertial reference frame for rational behaviour? I mean, are you creating the Theory of Special Crazification or General Crazification?

Tyrone: Hadn't thought about it. Let's split the difference. Half just have worldviews which lead them to disagree with what you consider rationality even though they arrive at their positions through rational means, and the other half are the core of the Crazification -- either genuinely crazy; or so woefully misinformed about how the world works, the bases for their decision making is so flawed they may as well be crazy.

[baldguy]

9. And **FOX NEWS** says Sanders is up 13 pts in NH.

The RW sure doesn't want to have their boy face Clinton in the Fall.

[NurseJackie]

10. I figured as much.

[sufrommich]

12. This the season of Atwater like campaigning. I have no

doubt Trump embraces such nonsense with gusto.

[pamela]

14. Plus, Hillary actually WON that poll.

They buried that little factoid.

http://www.mercuryanalytics.com/hillary-clinton-vs-trump-a-tough-battle/

The results show, that if the election were held today, between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton has the edge, but would be facing a very tough competitor.

[Mc Mike]

15. Good to know, thanks. nt.

[Alfresco]

16. Right, triple checking sources may prevent future embarrassment.

[Alfresco]

17. This needs to be a sticky post.

[Cha]

18. Damn Straight Sources Matter.. to people who want to live in reality. Reeks of romney.

[Godhumor]

19. There are now THREE threads active on this "poll". Come on people n/t

[Alfresco]

20. kick