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davidpdx

(22,000 posts)
Thu Mar 10, 2016, 08:41 PM Mar 2016

5 Reasons the Clinton-Sanders Race Is Much, Much Closer Than You Think

A good read....

To watch cable news, one would think that Bernie Sanders is still in the Democratic primary race simply to send a message to Washington, be a thorn in Hillary Clinton's side, play trainer to her Rocky, or some combination of all of these. Bogus super-delegate totals have been presented to the public as though these were votes either of the two candidates can count upon -- the mass exodus of super-delegates away from Hillary Clinton in the early summer of 2008 notwithstanding.

The reality, of course, is far more complicated. It suggests a close and tightening race between Clinton and Sanders that has every bit as much drama about who will finally win it as does the Republican nominating process. With that in mind, here are five reasons the Clinton-Sanders race remains must-watch television:

1. Hillary Clinton will not be permitted to win the Democratic nomination using super-delegates.

To test this assertion, imagine for a moment that the Democratic National Convention arrives and Bernie Sanders has a narrow lead in pledged delegates -- the delegates sent to the convention in Cleveland by Democratic voters rather than by the whim of party elders. What would happen in this scenario?

First, the national media would feature wall-to-wall coverage of Clinton "losing" the national vote for the nomination to Sanders; splash headlines on television and in print would announce Sanders as the clear winner of a majority of Democratic voters.

Second, some portion of Clinton's delegates would abandon her on principle, that principle being that super-delegates should cast their convention ballot for whoever won the pledged delegate battle during primary season -- and yes, some super-delegates do believe this. Third, Democratic elders would be forced to acknowledge, as many already do, that if the loser of the pledged delegate battle is named the winner of the Democratic nomination, the Democrats will without question lose the general election in November.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/seth-abramson/5-reasons-the-clinton-sanders-race-is-much-much-closer-than-you-think_b_9415156.html?

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5 Reasons the Clinton-Sanders Race Is Much, Much Closer Than You Think (Original Post) davidpdx Mar 2016 OP
All I had to do is watch that standing O at the debate last nite to know the pollsters are full of jillan Mar 2016 #1
I like the article. But it's as if the title is wrong. Gregorian Mar 2016 #2
Excellent analysis of the Democratic Primary and where we stand. Raster Mar 2016 #3

jillan

(39,451 posts)
1. All I had to do is watch that standing O at the debate last nite to know the pollsters are full of
Thu Mar 10, 2016, 08:49 PM
Mar 2016

crap!

Gregorian

(23,867 posts)
2. I like the article. But it's as if the title is wrong.
Thu Mar 10, 2016, 08:55 PM
Mar 2016

I read that and came away with each one that the race is further apart, and spreading.

Raster

(20,998 posts)
3. Excellent analysis of the Democratic Primary and where we stand.
Thu Mar 10, 2016, 09:15 PM
Mar 2016

It does NOT look good for Clinton in oh-so-many ways.

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