About the latest polls
Last edited Thu Mar 24, 2016, 01:27 PM - Edit history (2)
A poll showing Clinton and Sanders in a tie among democrats. Good news.
The other poll is about PA, showing Clinton with more than 20% lead. Here is what CNN has to say about this PA poll.
"The poll also does not use weighting to correct for older voters' being more likely to respond to surveys. That means older voters may be over-represented in the poll's results. About 4-in-10 respondents to this poll are 65 or older, and just 8% are in the 18-34 year-old demographic, which may have tilted the scales in Clinton's favor. Sanders has shown a consistently significant lead over Clinton among younger voters in past primary contests."
Exit polls reveal that the % of 65 and older constitutes 22% of the total democratic voters, while the 18-39 constitutes 35% (couldn't find 18-34 data.). I'm in the process of doing some rough calculation to do the weighting, but a statistician (if there is one around here) would definitely do a better job. I'm a simple engineer.
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