Bernie Sanders
Related: About this forumWhy an Iowa Poll Is Unfair to Bernie Sanders
There are very good reasons to question a new Monmouth poll that shows Hillary Rodham Clinton leading by 41 percentage points in Iowa.
Most other polls have tended to show a tight race, but Monmouth shows a blowout. Why?
One possibility is that Mrs. Clinton has made gains over the last few weeks, thanks to Joe Bidens withdrawal from the race or her performance in the Benghazi hearing. But another possibility is the sampling frame of the survey. There are good reasons to believe that the Monmouth poll excludes many voters who are supporting Mr. Sanders.
Whats a sampling frame? Basically, its the people who could be selected to participate in the survey. According to the Monmouth polls methodology description, the polls sample was drawn from a list of registered Democratic voters who voted in at least one of the last two state primary elections.
These two conditions being a registered Democrat and recent primary participation exclude many of Mr. Sanderss supporters.
He fares best among unaffiliated voters in most polls, and thousands of them will participate in the Iowa caucuses. To participate in the caucuses, you have to be a registered Democrat but you can change your voter registration at the event, so people who are currently unaffiliated or even Republican could ultimately participate.
more
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/28/upshot/why-an-iowa-poll-is-unfair-to-bernie-sanders.html
cascadiance
(19,537 posts)... as noted if you read the article here too. They know who will be more working to reduce or eliminate their college debts and against guest labor programs that will work against them getting jobs too.
Also note one of the comments mentions that these polls are more about calling people's landline numbers than mobile numbers, when many of those that have mobile numbers are arguably more apt to support Bernie as well.
retrowire
(10,345 posts)The Hillary Supporters will soon attack this thread comparing us to Mitt Romney supporters from 2008 because we are doing research about polls!
Heaven forbid we use our brains!!!
smokey nj
(43,853 posts)Fawke Em
(11,366 posts)when they read your sig line, too.
I have a 16 year old. I know who Satoru Iwata is.
retrowire
(10,345 posts)Fawke Em
(11,366 posts)My 8 year old also uses his company's products, now, too.
back at you!