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Kamala Harris8%

Mon Jun 10, 2019, 10:13 AM

 

How Mike Gravel Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary

FiveThirtyEight

Many things, most of them unlikely, would have to transpire for former Alaska Sen. Mike Gravel to win the Democratic nomination for president.

A few possibilities: All the other candidates drop out, and no successful write-in campaign is waged. A capricious President Trump orders a catastrophic invasion of another nation, lending massive credibility to Gravel’s perennial anti-war stance (he helped put the Pentagon Papers into the public record). The Democratic primary electorate all of a sudden decides that it would prefer an octogenarian candidate to the current septuagenarian front-runners. (Gravel is 89 years of age; meanwhile, Bernie Sanders is a youthful 77 years old, and Joe Biden is a spring chicken, at 76.)

But last week, Gravel became the 23rd Democrat to count as a “major” presidential candidate by FiveThirtyEight criteria, pushed over the edge from minor to major candidacy by his inclusion in a majority of polls. And that means we have to imagine what we call the “theory of the case” — how can Gravel win the Democratic nomination?

It would be easy to laugh at Gravel’s campaign — while he has said he is running to win, he hasn’t campaigned, and he has turned his operation over to a handful of teenagers who voice his Twitter account with the dually earnest and sneering cadences of the internet. And his political performance art ads have certainly left him open to mockery. But while he’s not likely to win the nomination, Gravel is carrying on a grand American tradition: the protest candidate.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Pete Buttigieg

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Arrow 9 replies Author Time Post
Reply How Mike Gravel Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary (Original post)
brooklynite Jun 2019 OP
Shell_Seas Jun 2019 #1
rampartc Jun 2019 #2
irisblue Jun 2019 #4
hlthe2b Jun 2019 #9
irisblue Jun 2019 #3
brooklynite Jun 2019 #5
irisblue Jun 2019 #6
CentralMass Jun 2019 #7
irisblue Jun 2019 #8

Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jun 10, 2019, 10:22 AM

1. Who?

 

Seriously, though. Sounds like a long-shot.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Julian Castro

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Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jun 10, 2019, 10:22 AM

2. we could do much worse.

 

mike gravel is a great American.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Response to rampartc (Reply #2)

Mon Jun 10, 2019, 10:25 AM

4. He did the country a huge service reading the Pentagon Papers

 

Into the Congressional Record.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to irisblue (Reply #4)

Mon Jun 10, 2019, 11:22 AM

9. Exactly. That's the one reason I won't ridicule him... No, he doesn't have a chance, but

 

maybe he has another reason for running...
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jun 10, 2019, 10:24 AM

3. Malone is usually a better writer then this.

 

Why did this see print?
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to irisblue (Reply #3)

Mon Jun 10, 2019, 10:28 AM

5. FiveThirty undertakes an exercise to develop an electability theory for every candidate...

 

They're not saying it's remotely likely.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Pete Buttigieg

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Response to brooklynite (Reply #5)

Mon Jun 10, 2019, 10:29 AM

6. I know, this one is a wowsa.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jun 10, 2019, 10:38 AM

7. This seems like an extremely remote possibility

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Mon Jun 10, 2019, 11:01 AM

8. And she posted this tweet a few days back

 

Clare Malone (@ClareMalone) Tweeted:
https://t.co/DLNGXVlbUg




Brooklynite is she stuck on reporting on this guy?
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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