David Sirota: Bernie would win a brokered convention

[brooklynite]

Link to tweet

[Me.]

1. So Many Dreamers This Time Around

[George II]

11. Indeed. Which Democratic delegates, when released after a first ballot doesn't determine....

....the nominee, are going to side with a candidate who has been demonizing the Democratic Party for about 40 years? It's not going to happen.

[Me.]

16. No To Mention Get Rid Of Them

because their presence wasn't convenient last time around.

[aikoaiko]

35. He may not win, but I'm confident that a substantial number of delegates like Bernie

Bernie hasn't been demonizing the Democratic party. Criticizing, yes.

[MineralMan]

2. What brokered convention? What nonsense!

Blather.

[lapucelle]

3. "Myself and Krystal Ball asked David Sirota"...

"Myself asked..."

[Me.]

17. Good Grief, Is She Still Around

looking to cash in?

[Fresh_Start]

4. wishful thinking...nt

nt

[hlthe2b]

5. David Sirota? may as well have Kellyanne Conway lecture us on Dem politics

[Qutzupalotl]

6. David Sirota is the new H.A. Goodman.

[Turin_C3PO]

7. A brokered convention would be bad for the party.

Plus, I think Biden would prevail in that scenario.

[LibFarmer]

8. They have to keep the devotees' wallets emptying nt

[rampartc]

9. the brokered convention will feature superdelegates and "smoke filled rooms"

i'm all for it if the Colorado delegation is hosting the smoke filled rooms.

but seriously. a few ambassadorships and a cabinet post or 6 will be dealt for enough delegates for biden to win. Bernie will not be his vice president, but maybe warren will. just kidding. a younger female from the Midwest will be vp. klobachar maybe?

[still_one]

10. Ask Hillary hater, what would you expect him to say? Whoever has the most delegates going into a

brokered convention would be favored, and from what I can see outside Sander’s base he has very little traction

Perhaps Sirota should pay attention to how fast Warren and Mayor Pete has been gaining

In my view Sanders would have problems with a brokered convention because throughout the years he has wanted to remain outside the Democratic Party, but still receive its benefits. That in my view alone will be an obstacle for him to convince other delegates and SD to jump on his wagon

The other candidates don’t have that problem

Time will tell, but after Super Tuesday it should be obvious who are the viable candidates

[Me.]

18. It's Called Biting The Hand You Want To Feed You

[still_one]

26. Well said.

[msongs]

12. and here I thought the bernie crowd opposed brokered conventions etc nt

[comradebillyboy]

38. They are all for whatever they think will help Bernie.

[SouthernProgressive]

13. In a brokered convention situation...

I would put my money on a coalition builder, not a lone wolf.

Seems like expectations are being set.

[Docreed2003]

14. Um...ok David, sure

[awesomerwb1]

15. Cool story bro.

[Politicub]

19. I can't help but read or hear what David Sirota says without thinking of it like this:

David Sirota: "BeRniE woUld WiN A brokEred cONvenTioN"

[Tarheel_Dem]

37. I see what you did there!

[honest.abe]

20. Very very unlikely we will have a brokered convention regardless of how many candidates we have now.

There have been many election cycles where people were predicting a brokered convention but the last actual one occurred in 1952.

Plus the fact we do have a clear front runner who will likely have enough to lock it down fairly early in the process.

[Gothmog]

21. There are a large number of real democrats who will not support sanders for good reasons

sanders may not get any delegates in a number of states due to the 15% rule. I doubt that sanders will be around after Super Tuesday. If it comes to a brokered convention, sanders will not be the nominee. If sanders is the nominee, trump will win 45+ states

There are a large number of real democrats who have long memories and who will not forget or forgive

[StevieM]

22. His ability to win a brokered convention is contingent on his ability to convince people

that he is being robbed if he doesn't get the nomination.

That won't be as easy without a female opponent who people are easily convinced is getting preferential treatment, all evidence to the contrary.

[tishaLA]

23. Oy.

[Drunken Irishman]

24. If Bernie's only hope is to win this thing via a brokered convention, we're fucked as a party...

A brokered convention would be a disaster for the Democrats.

[left-of-center2012]

25. Thanks for the laughs

1. A 'brokered' convention

2. Sanders the winner

[Anon-C]

27. The Nile (link provided).

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nile

[SidDithers]

28. Remember, super delegates get to vote on the second ballot..nt

Sid

[SouthernProgressive]

30. I really do think that was one of the more funny means of appeasement.

Finally, consider the third rail of Democratic primary politics: superdelegates, the unpledged party leaders and elected officials who have automatically been seated at the convention in the past. In 2016, Mrs. Clinton won a clear majority of pledged delegates in the primaries and didn’t need these party elders’ help to prevail. But a common misconception among supporters of Bernie Sanders that this collective of “insiders” robbed him of the nomination played right into Mr. Trump’s assertion that Democrats had “rigged” the primaries for Mrs. Clinton.

In 2020, Democrats have sought to tamp down the superdelegate hysteria by barring these leaders and officials — currently 765 of them — from casting votes on the initial ballot at the convention. But here’s the ultimate irony: They can still cast votes on successive ballots, so they could be more influential than ever if the Democratic primary devolves into a floor fight. And the potential for back-room deal-making or heavy-handed Democratic National Committee refereeing could only further fuel grass-roots suspicion that the party’s elites are running the show, setting ablaze the prospect of party unity.

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/03/13/opinion/democratic-primary-rules-trump-2020.html

[SouthernProgressive]

29. Remember this ass hat?

Link to tweet

[Gothmog]

32. I was at that so-called "open" convention and it was not fun

[GulfCoast66]

34. John Lewis agrees...nt

[Gothmog]

31. Warren leapfrogs Sanders in a new pair of 2020 polls

Link to tweet

[TeamPooka]

33. I didn't think anything would be funnier than The Big Bang Theory finale this week but that beats it

[LongtimeAZDem]

36. See, this is the problem with legalizing marijuana