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Undecided 38%
Joe Biden14%
Elizabeth Warren14%
Kamala Harris10%
Pete Buttigieg8%

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 01:17 PM

 

NEW Monmouth NEVADA poll: Biden 36%, Warren 19%, Sanders 13%, Buttigieg 7%

Steve Kornacki tweet:







Poll details:

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_nv_061219/


Former Vice President Joe Biden is the front-runner among likely Democratic caucusgoers in Nevada while Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren takes second place, just ahead of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. The first Monmouth University Poll of Silver State Democrats in the 2020 cycle finds that Warren has a particularly positive rating in Nevada compared to her standing elsewhere. Health care tops the list of concerns for Democratic voters, but the poll finds that immigration is more of a factor for choosing a nominee in Nevada than it is in other early states.

In a field of 24 candidates, Biden holds a clear lead with 36% support among registered Democrats and unaffiliated voters who are likely to attend the February 2020 Nevada caucuses. He is followed by Warren at 19%, Sanders at 13%, South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 7%, and California Sen. Kamala Harris at 6%. Other candidates registering at least 1% in the poll are former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke (2%), New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker (2%), entrepreneur Andrew Yang (2%), former cabinet secretary Julián Castro (1%), Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (1%), Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar (1%), and author Marianne Williamson (1%). The remaining 12 candidates earn less than 1% or were not chosen by any respondents in the poll.

Biden maintains a strong lead among voters who consider themselves moderate or conservative – 47% support him compared to 11% for Warren, 9% for Sanders, 6% for Harris, and 4% for Buttigieg. Biden also leads Warren among somewhat liberal voters but by a narrower margin of 31% to 24%, with Buttigieg coming in at 12%, Sanders at 8%, and Harris at 5% among this group. Among very liberal voters, though, the contest is between Warren (27%) and Sanders (26%), with Biden garnering just 19% along with Harris at 7% and Buttigieg at 7%. Very liberal voters make up about one-quarter of likely caucusgoers.

About 1-in-5 voters (21%) say 2020 will be the first Democratic caucus they participate in. Among these first time caucusgoers, nearly half (48%) prefer Biden, with 16% supporting Sanders, 6% for Buttigieg, and 4% each for Warren and Harris. Among those who have attended a Nevada caucus in the past, 33% support Biden, 23% are for Warren, 12% for Sanders, and 7% each for Harris and Buttigieg.

The race appears to be only somewhat tighter among Latino voters for Biden (27%), Sanders (19%), and Warren (11%), followed by O’Rourke at 6% and Yang at 5%. A sizable 20% of Latino voters do not have a candidate preference at this time. It is important to note, though, that this subsample has a larger margin of error that ranges from 7 to 10 percentage points for the top three candidates. Among white non-Hispanic voters, Biden leads Warren 37% to 23%, with Sanders at 13%, Buttigieg at 10%, and Harris at 5%. Among all other voters, the majority of whom are African-American, Biden has a clear lead of 42% with Harris (14%), Warren (12%), and Sanders (6%) trailing.

-snip-
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

16 replies, 497 views

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Reply NEW Monmouth NEVADA poll: Biden 36%, Warren 19%, Sanders 13%, Buttigieg 7% (Original post)
highplainsdem Wednesday OP
B Stieg Wednesday #1
nycbos Wednesday #2
highplainsdem Wednesday #3
Tiggeroshii Wednesday #11
B Stieg Wednesday #12
Skya Rhen Wednesday #4
George II Wednesday #5
Kahuna7 Wednesday #6
highplainsdem Wednesday #8
Kahuna7 Wednesday #9
George II Wednesday #7
highplainsdem Wednesday #10
Cha Wednesday #15
stonecutter357 Wednesday #13
comradebillyboy Wednesday #14
Scurrilous Wednesday #16

Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 01:20 PM

1. Warren rising! (again)

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

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Response to B Stieg (Reply #1)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 01:21 PM

2. I haven't made a decision on who I am supporting but I LOVE seeing Warren overtake Sanders.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided

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Response to B Stieg (Reply #1)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 01:22 PM

3. She's ahead of Sanders, just as in the Economist/YouGov poll. Still not close to Biden.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Reply #3)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 01:41 PM

11. Im quitr pleased at how well Warren seems to be performing.

 

I will be stoked if she gets the nomination. Only to a slightly lesser level than if Bernie got it.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Bernie Sanders

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Response to highplainsdem (Reply #3)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 01:42 PM

12. She is on DU!

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Elizabeth Warren

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 01:27 PM

4. Methinks that Bernie may need to shift his critiques to another candidate who is giving him a run

 

for his money...
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Skya Rhen (Reply #4)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 01:29 PM

5. His people have gone after Warren too over the last couple of weeks.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 01:30 PM

6. Is NV still a caucus state? I hope it isn't. nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to Kahuna7 (Reply #6)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 01:32 PM

8. It's still a caucus state.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Reply #8)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 01:33 PM

9. Drat. Curses! nt

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 01:31 PM

7. If things stay like that, Biden would get 65% of the delegates, Warren 35%, everyone else zero....

 

....(subject to some districts being different)
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 01:35 PM

10. Btw, Warren was the 1st candidate to hire staff in NV, has the biggest team there:

 





So she's put a lot of effort and money into this surge past Sanders.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Reply #10)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 05:05 PM

15. There was a tweet by Nate Silver

 

I think.. when EW first started rising in the polls.. that said maybe BS should be more concerned about EW catching up than Biden.

Thanks for the tweet, highplains
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 02:05 PM

13. K&R

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 02:33 PM

14. Looks like Warren is moving up in the world.

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Kamala Harris

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Response to highplainsdem (Original post)

Wed Jun 12, 2019, 06:17 PM

16. ...

 

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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